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Tiki Trader Trades

  • #341
  • Jan 22, 2008 8:26pm Jan 22, 2008 8:26pm
now I could be all wrong but i am long and will add to them with a tight SL the way the markets are right now

up is down and down is up but its all been good money in the bank so I;m not complaining

my euro count it is doing wave 4 up, (when it ends, Fib level at 38.2%),
then wave 5 down to complete sub 1.43

BOE minutes and GBP GDP will tell us much this morning and should be good for 2 or 300 pips on the pound also, gonna be a nice morning for pips
Don't chase the market, Let the market come to you
  • #342
  • Jan 22, 2008 8:28pm Jan 22, 2008 8:28pm
and DO not count out another rate cut EOM
Don't chase the market, Let the market come to you
  • #343
  • Jan 22, 2008 9:00pm Jan 22, 2008 9:00pm
Agreed !!! To all three of your posts above.... The waves are too complicated for me... I promised that if I make pips... it will have to be in simple ways...

I too was super duper happy to see the Bullish englufing.... !!! but on that time frame... it's effect will not be enough to get me back up to BE... price must be turning back up NOW for a while if I will have any chance on this trade.... though the divergence Idea is still quite valid too... which is why I have not dropped out of the trade...

I am aware of the rate change possibilities.... in fact I expect another next week for 0.25% but all that will not change the real problem... only time will get us out of it, and I am sure the problem is only just now sticking up it's ugly head.... so I figure markets will still continue down overall....

And perhaps I have it wrong.... but weaker economy means stronger dollar, NO ???

Quoting Tmac
and DO not count out another rate cut EOM
  • #344
  • Jan 22, 2008 9:08pm Jan 22, 2008 9:08pm
Quoting Tiki Trader
Agreed !!! To all three of your posts above.... The waves are too complicated for me... I promised that if I make pips... it will have to be in simple ways...

I too was super duper happy to see the Bullish englufing.... !!! but on that time frame... it's effect will not be enough to get me back up to BE... price must be turning back up NOW for a while if I will have any chance on this trade.... though the divergence Idea is still quite valid too... which is why I have not dropped out of the trade...

I am aware of the rate change possibilities.... in fact I expect another next week for 0.25% but all that will not change the real problem... only time will get us out of it, and I am sure the problem is only just now sticking up it's ugly head.... so I figure markets will still continue down overall....

And perhaps I have it wrong.... but weaker economy means stronger dollar, NO ???
yes dollar will strengthen, it really has to with the global economy the way it is, like it or not the global IS based on the dollar, gold oil, everything is dollar based so for the world to get its sh!t together the dollar must get stronger..thats my grass roots approach to all of this. Notice the .75 did not make a huge impact? why? the above statement in favor of the dollar

anyhow all my charts show a stronger dollar and I am banking pips on it short and long term. play the bounces down all the way around on the usd crosses
Don't chase the market, Let the market come to you
  • #345
  • Jan 22, 2008 9:25pm Jan 22, 2008 9:25pm
Tiki
I wish I could push the CHF up 200 pips on your behalf and get you out of this one. As you know I am a 'trendie. You were right with the trend. We were, according to me, in an uptrend, when you entered. A good entry was on Jan 16 to catch this little uptrend. So trend wise you were doing ok, although much earlier off the daily would have been good.

To where now off the daily ? Sadly I see more down than up. I wish and hope ( for your part) from here it will go up. I look at completely different things than you guys. So my perspective is way different than yours. Not to say one is wrong and one is right. It will be a good sign if we all now see the same direction.

On daily now I do see slight signs of O sold, but overall I see more signs of the previous down trend may continue for a while.

I had a look at 4h chart that looks a little more bullish and being in O sold territory big time( which is good news for your trade) Still most indicators are trading under the 50 line which tells me we are not out of the woods yet.
1h says mixed perhaps with some O sold.

Do you consult 4h and 1h charts before you enter off the daily?
  • #346
  • Jan 22, 2008 9:44pm Jan 22, 2008 9:44pm
So question is... have we hit bottom on CHF and Top on EUR....

Quoting Tmac
yes dollar will strengthen, it really has to with the global economy the way it is, like it or not the global IS based on the dollar, gold oil, everything is dollar based so for the world to get its sh!t together the dollar must get stronger..thats my grass roots approach to all of this. Notice the .75 did not make a huge impact? why? the above statement in favor of the dollar

anyhow all my charts show a stronger dollar and I am banking pips on it short and long term. play the bounces down all the way around on the usd crosses
  • #347
  • Jan 22, 2008 10:01pm Jan 22, 2008 10:01pm
Quoting Tiki Trader
So question is... have we hit bottom on CHF and Top on EUR....
LOL I dont have an answer for that

in 2006 people ask the same thing, its all about waves like the ocean, ride them and go to the bank. Too many time people want to make this so complicated and it really is not, market goes up, market goes down. If you are not greedy and wait for the market to come to you, you make money but if you chase it then it takes your money everytime.

I love to trade the gbp/jpy but it only presents itself as a good trade to me maybe 2 or 3 times a week but those are worth 150+ pips everytime. Right now is a perfect eaxmple, I am short at 210.15 and trail 35 pips all the way down to pivot and if it breaks then down to 206 have 140 pips locked in and its an early night.
Don't chase the market, Let the market come to you
  • #348
  • Jan 22, 2008 10:07pm Jan 22, 2008 10:07pm
Well, don't get me wrong... I am not chasing tops and bottoms... just relating it to my current CHF trade which I took before feds stuck their noses in...

Ah well... Que sera sera.... going to bed... price still heading back down... my loss if I lose... less than 1%... no biggie...

Quoting Tmac
LOL I dont have an answer for that

in 2006 people ask the same thing, its all about waves like the ocean, ride them and go to the bank. Too many time people want to make this so complicated and it really is not, market goes up, market goes down. If you are not greedy and wait for the market to come to you, you make money but if you chase it then it takes your money everytime.

I love to trade the gbp/jpy but it only presents itself as a good trade to me maybe 2 or 3 times a week but those are worth 150+ pips everytime. Right now is a perfect eaxmple, I am short at 210.15 and trail 35 pips all the way down to pivot and if it breaks then down to 206 have 140 pips locked in and its an early night.
  • #349
  • Jan 22, 2008 10:16pm Jan 22, 2008 10:16pm
Tiki do you think CHF went down almost 200 pips because of the Feds?

I just put up a 8h chart and it shows heavy O bought right where you entered. I am not blaming you mate.. we all get into trades we wish we did not take to begin with.

I am wondering now,,, did the markets long before the announcement already knew this ? that we will have this down turn? Or is technical analysis still good by showing us these things before we enter ?
  • #350
  • Jan 23, 2008 6:21am Jan 23, 2008 6:21am
Quoting Eklavya
I did not take the NZDUSD either. Did not meet my confirmation. I did however take short GY and short GU and both of them netted me some pips. Right now I am letting these and my long UC ride. Waiting for further setups.
Looks amazingly like NZD/USD has gotten right back into the channel...!!! Price has even come back down to test the channel line once again, and now up we go...??? We will see... if all this dust can settle.... I would maybe like to try here... but for today no trades... still too messy for me...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusd.gif Size: 13 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: zzz.GIF Size: 10 KB
  • #351
  • Jan 23, 2008 7:13am Jan 23, 2008 7:13am
CHF trade stopped out... Well, at least I've got that off my back today...
  • #352
  • Jan 23, 2008 7:44am Jan 23, 2008 7:44am
I like your journal Tiki. I like the fact that you post pics of your charts and we can see your thought process.



Keep up the good work. Remember! trading is a business!
  • #353
  • Jan 23, 2008 7:50am Jan 23, 2008 7:50am
Thank you !! I was always told not to say anything unless I can post a chart too....

Thinking of posting jokes too... but then I would have to charge addmission... And then there might also not be enough seating available... !!!

Quoting hilmy83
I like your journal Tiki. I like the fact that you post pics of your charts and we can see your thought process.



Keep up the good work. Remember! trading is a business!
  • #354
  • Edited 8:23pm Jan 23, 2008 7:12pm | Edited 8:23pm
Alrighty.... I am moving on...

Going SHORT USD/CAD @ 1.0240 STOP @ 1.0375 ( but considering to move to smaller stop soon ).... TARGET 1.0000

Risk 1.5% Potential 2.5+%

Reasons... several as shown in charts... first.... we are making 123 reversal... next, I see Head and Shoulders.... next... divergence.... also bouncing down off the 200 ema... Target 62 ema or there abouts...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdcad.gif Size: 9 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: zzz.GIF Size: 9 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: zzzz.gif Size: 11 KB
  • #355
  • Jan 23, 2008 7:24pm Jan 23, 2008 7:24pm
OK kissfan.... just for you... I see enough here to take the trade with you... are you willing...??? Hope so... I have placed my trade already... !!!

SHORT @ 7475 STOP @ 7615 TARGET 7200.......

Risk 0.5% Potential just about 1%

EUR/GBP is slow moving... take a nap meanwhile...

Reason for trade.... First... Head and Shoulders..... next, waiting for 123 reversal to pan out ( hope hope ) This why we put stop up there a bit, because who knows where 2 might end...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurgbp.gif Size: 9 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: zzz.GIF Size: 9 KB
  • #356
  • Jan 23, 2008 7:27pm Jan 23, 2008 7:27pm
My trades tonight equal risk of 2% of my account... if I lose both... I am at BE for the year...
  • #357
  • Jan 23, 2008 7:36pm Jan 23, 2008 7:36pm
OK... AUD/CAD

I agree there is good chance for up... but not as much for the Pinnish bar/s... BUT because I say it is bouncing up from all my MAs....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audcad.gif Size: 12 KB
  • #358
  • Jan 23, 2008 9:01pm Jan 23, 2008 9:01pm
I should still think about trading this... stole this idea from someone... Long here...?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusd.gif Size: 10 KB
  • #359
  • Jan 23, 2008 9:16pm Jan 23, 2008 9:16pm
Quoting Tiki Trader
OK kissfan.... just for you... I see enough here to take the trade with you... are you willing...??? Hope so... I have placed my trade already... !!!

SHORT @ 7475 STOP @ 7615 TARGET 7200.......

Risk 0.5% Potential just about 1%

EUR/GBP is slow moving... take a nap meanwhile...

Reason for trade.... First... Head and Shoulders..... next, waiting for 123 reversal to pan out ( hope hope ) This why we put stop up there a bit, because who knows where 2 might end...
Maybe in a couple of days we'll see a deformed looking silhouette of a guy with a long left arm
  • #360
  • Jan 23, 2008 9:19pm Jan 23, 2008 9:19pm
Quoting Tiki Trader
OK kissfan.... just for you... I see enough here to take the trade with you... are you willing...??? Hope so... I have placed my trade already... !!!

SHORT @ 7475 STOP @ 7615 TARGET 7200.......

Risk 0.5% Potential just about 1%

EUR/GBP is slow moving... take a nap meanwhile...

Reason for trade.... First... Head and Shoulders..... next, waiting for 123 reversal to pan out ( hope hope ) This why we put stop up there a bit, because who knows where 2 might end...
short .7482
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