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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #1,201
  • Dec 28, 2007 9:46am Dec 28, 2007 9:46am
Hi cesarnc,
i want to know your opinion....
will cable hold to stay above 2.0 today? because , i think , us data (new home sales) have the fuel for cable to stay above 2.0 but still i think there's something i haven't know: can a bhutto effect do such thing.
To be or not to be, that's the question
  • #1,202
  • Dec 28, 2007 9:47am Dec 28, 2007 9:47am
LEAVE BRITNEY ALONE!!!

http://img.youtube.com/vi/GqtjOn9qVg4/default.jpg

This is so f#$$@#$@ funny


Inserted Video


http://i2.photobucket.com/albums/y28/cesarnc/finger.jpg

I wonder what would this guy say if he reads this thread LOLLLLL
  • #1,203
  • Dec 28, 2007 9:53am Dec 28, 2007 9:53am
Quoting hoezhiens
Hi cesarnc,
i want to know your opinion....
will cable hold to stay above 2.0 today? because , i think , us data (new home sales) have the fuel for cable to stay above 2.0 but still i think there's something i haven't know: can a bhutto effect do such thing.
I think it's possible in the end of the day, provided the stock market doesn't panic on the news.

For January I'm in want-and-see mode.

Questions now are
- is US slowing down?
- is US coming to a recession?

and THIS IS the most important
- is China able to balance the global economy in case of US slowing down / recession?
  • #1,204
  • Dec 28, 2007 9:56am Dec 28, 2007 9:56am
Thks, you opened up my mind!

To be or not to be, that's the question
  • #1,205
  • Dec 28, 2007 9:57am Dec 28, 2007 9:57am
The china equities markets are a huge bubble waiting to explode imvho.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,206
  • Dec 28, 2007 10:03am Dec 28, 2007 10:03am
Quoting DutchTrader
The china equities markets are a huge bubble waiting to explode imvho.
I agree. Wouldn't that be a good time to go long on USD/YEN?
Humble Lifetime Member
  • #1,207
  • Dec 28, 2007 10:05am Dec 28, 2007 10:05am
Quoting Ash
I agree. Wouldn't that be a good time to go long on USD/YEN?

Around 108 ish
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,208
  • Dec 28, 2007 10:07am Dec 28, 2007 10:07am
Quoting DutchTrader
Around 108 ish
107-108 will be very tough to break. I agree- a great buy.
  • #1,209
  • Dec 28, 2007 10:09am Dec 28, 2007 10:09am
Quoting DutchTrader
The china equities markets are a huge bubble waiting to explode imvho.
So said the entire world for the entire year. So far, it's ok.

But actually I meant whether or not China's economy will be able to balance a possible US slow down. Not via stock market, but the economy at large.

Keeping the good work they can sustain commodities and commodities-related companies as well as several industries. In this case, the US slow down or recession won't spread across the globe like a virus.

That's what experts say. They also say there is not "right answer". It's wait-and-see.
  • #1,210
  • Dec 28, 2007 10:18am Dec 28, 2007 10:18am
Quoting cesarnc
So said the entire world for the entire year. So far, it's ok.

But actually I meant whether or not China's economy will be able to balance a possible US slow down. Not via stock market, but the economy at large.

Keeping the good work they can sustain commodities and commodities-related companies as well as several industries. In this case, the US slow down or recession won't spread across the globe like a virus.

That's what experts say. They also say there is not "right answer". It's wait-and-see.
Oh I don't know lol, I know their equities index prop up the Yen, or drag down the yen. So we shall see.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,211
  • Dec 28, 2007 11:22am Dec 28, 2007 11:22am
Quoting Big Wave Rider
Oh Shit Bohogirl Is Here!!!!

EDIT, Was here
Yes dear? You called?
Cable is my sugardaddy
  • #1,212
  • Dec 28, 2007 12:47pm Dec 28, 2007 12:47pm
Just want to wish everyone a very Happy 2008 and many pips to you...

HOLLA
  • #1,213
  • Dec 28, 2007 1:00pm Dec 28, 2007 1:00pm
Wassup?

Here is a lil story on the guys who have te great idea of lending money to people that can't pay

"The credit crunch and housing crisis led to some high-profile firings, most notably Merrill Lynch's Stan O'Neal and Citigroup's Chuck Prince. Still, while they lost their jobs, these executives didn't lose their shirts.

A review of Securities and Exchange Commission filings of 14 companies where CEOs stepped down found only one sent its CEO packing without any kind of payout."
  • #1,214
  • Dec 28, 2007 6:34pm Dec 28, 2007 6:34pm
Quoting DutchTrader
The china equities markets are a huge bubble waiting to explode imvho.
According to a survey of world's Stock Market, China was up 98% - the best for the 2007. Japan was down 10% - the worst. USA and UK are also at the bottom with small ~10% increase.

Chinese Households have very strong "savings" all thanks to their One-Child Policy. And ever wonder why China have weak "domestic economy"? They put their hard earned savings into stocks instead that drives this bubble bigger and bigger.

There is little let up in this frenzy. Some chinese know its a bubble waiting to pop, but where do they put their savings? Once chinese starts to spend more, the chinese stock market will pop.
  • #1,215
  • Dec 28, 2007 8:00pm Dec 28, 2007 8:00pm
indees china stock maket is bobble. when it blew up, i say after olympic game.
china is diffirent contry. first thing the government thinking is not economy, it's polity. right now whole contry crasy about olympic. government want everything perfect before the game. but after that, we'll see.
  • #1,216
  • Dec 29, 2007 5:45am Dec 29, 2007 5:45am
Quoting yellowbrick
indees china stock maket is bobble. when it blew up, i say after olympic game.
china is diffirent contry. first thing the government thinking is not economy, it's polity. right now whole contry crasy about olympic. government want everything perfect before the game. but after that, we'll see.
I've seen several comments in this direction during 2007. "We'll see" is the best take here.

Bubbles can just go bigger and bigger and bigger for several years before something happens. And in China even more, 1- because China indeed works in different ways and 2- on the reasons pointed out by Burger King.

I say it's something we must watch. But it's not something we should start considering trading in anticipation. Not even with 0.01 lot for 2008, imo
  • #1,217
  • Dec 29, 2007 5:50am Dec 29, 2007 5:50am
Come on, people! Time to start thinking about New Year's Resolutions!!!!

http://www.sangrea.net/free-cartoons...resolution.jpg
  • #1,218
  • Dec 29, 2007 6:32am Dec 29, 2007 6:32am
Carry traders' paradise...

Stock market volatility returned with a vengeance in 2007 and is not going away anytime soon.

The rise in volatility was reflected in the kind of year financial markets had, marked by big market swings due to the worsening global credit environment.
"We believe that the markets have shifted to a higher volatility regime," said Edward Tom, head of equity derivatives strategy at Credit Suisse.

I love "volatility"

http://www.towndock.net/images/456_2...hwingguage.jpg
  • #1,219
  • Dec 29, 2007 8:48am Dec 29, 2007 8:48am
Quoting cesarnc
I've seen several comments in this direction during 2007. "We'll see" is the best take here.

Bubbles can just go bigger and bigger and bigger for several years before something happens. And in China even more, 1- because China indeed works in different ways and 2- on the reasons pointed out by Burger King.

I say it's something we must watch. But it's not something we should start considering trading in anticipation. Not even with 0.01 lot for 2008, imo

That is so true, just look at the US housing situation, I knew at least back in 2004 that it couldn't last. Homes were increasing in value every week. Folks got excited wanting to get in the game, so the lenders created more loans to make more money...greed kicked in and now the rest of the story is unfolding.

We could be looking at credit cards next and then automobiles.....it sure will be a jumpy market in 2008.

Then once the Olympics is over in China...who knows....

They had a 98% increase for their market in 2007...come on, that can't last too much longer.........or can it???????

HOLLA
  • #1,220
  • Dec 29, 2007 8:51am Dec 29, 2007 8:51am
Quoting cesarnc
Come on, people! Time to start thinking about New Year's Resolutions!!!!

http://www.sangrea.net/free-cartoons...resolution.jpg
This reminded me of a going away speech I tried to make after drinking So-Ju, when I was stationed in Okinawa, Japan.......they told me I fell twice while making the speech.....talk about a good bottle of So-Ju!!!!

HOLLA
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