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Daily/Intraday Momentum Analysis

  • #1,261
  • Nov 29, 2007 7:45pm Nov 29, 2007 7:45pm
Quoting juliekhan
AUS here in China the blogspot is banned can you put the charts here
Thanks

Wow, have they banned aus's blogspot alone or the whole site?
  • #1,262
  • Nov 30, 2007 2:07am Nov 30, 2007 2:07am
Aus,
My question about the 15min signal, I have read the new 15min strategy on a post of yours' b4. But my concern was that even if the arrow has nt shown and qqe 60 has crossed (dot)and qqe5 has crossed 50 to bullish and price is above Gann and 1hr 100sma, is it safe to take the Long signal. Taking the Mom of other TF into consideration.
I made an analysis about the bullish movement on my own of starting before the end of the first 4hr Mom today (MT4: 1c touch 0 to bearish but bend nt too sharp,14c above 0, 10c above 0= 1c slight retracement bearish, then 10c & 14c wud come to play later bullish) around 1.30GMT,(hope the analysis was okay. I was stressed up yday, i slept off 30min b4 the bullish move started and woke up 30min after. Did the 15min give the signal for the long trade?
I am a novice trying to clarify hw to take the 15min signal appropriately. I want to be able to make some good analysis on my own, check with yours b4 any making any decision.
Your reply would go a long way in helping to build my analytical skills. Thanks
  • #1,263
  • Nov 30, 2007 3:08am Nov 30, 2007 3:08am
can anyone tell me whats wrong with Geppy.Monthend / NFP effect? I'm out of dis market till NFP.Aus i think dis is the tight market condition u needed to test the new mom strat and ow it works under harsh conditions
  • #1,264
  • Nov 30, 2007 3:10am Nov 30, 2007 3:10am
Price action is extremely choppy . 4hr 100sma is currently holding the price from going up. If we get the current 4hr bar close above 100sma , there could be a good break out to the upside.
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  • #1,265
  • Nov 30, 2007 3:12am Nov 30, 2007 3:12am
Quoting Poeo
Aus,
My question about the 15min signal, Thanks
Yes we got the 15mon strategy signal 6 hrs ago.. and it's still on.
  • #1,266
  • Nov 30, 2007 4:25am Nov 30, 2007 4:25am
is 229.08 the target?

Thanks
  • #1,267
  • Nov 30, 2007 4:28am Nov 30, 2007 4:28am
Ok guys.. I'm done for the week.. Todays, 15min strategy TP target was hit at 229.10 after 8hrs of chopping. I'll see you guys next week.
  • #1,268
  • Nov 30, 2007 4:57am Nov 30, 2007 4:57am
AUs, 15min signal
On my VT charts, i got the dot first before 19:00GMt, i got the arrow around 1:30GMT and the qqe5 and 1 cross 50 line at 2:00GMt, If i took the trade,i would still be on Long but i slept off. Price went above 1hr gann at that time.
Was it valid or nt, and if nt please give me and insight into what i have to be more concerned about on 15min to avoid volatlity spikes?
  • #1,269
  • Nov 30, 2007 5:13am Nov 30, 2007 5:13am
weekly 14C is refusing to point up even after a 500 pip bullish rally. This means there will be a last minute pull back by 14C before the weekly bar close.Technically the weekly candle should close at or below 226.50 level. This doesnt mean that the fundies could push this another 100+ pips from todays high. Just becautious with your trades. It's freaky Friday NY and last day of the month. I'm done for the week. Hope you all have a good weekend.
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  • #1,270
  • Nov 30, 2007 5:15am Nov 30, 2007 5:15am
Quoting Poeo
AUs, 15min signal
On my VT charts, i got the dot first before 19:00GMt, i got the arrow around 1:30GMT and the qqe5 and 1 cross 50 line at 2:00GMt, If i took the trade,i would still be on Long but i slept off. Price went above 1hr gann at that time.
Was it valid or nt, and if nt please give me and insight into what i have to be more concerned about on 15min to avoid volatlity spikes?

You must enetr th 15min strategy from the start. Never enter in the middle of a trend.
  • #1,271
  • Nov 30, 2007 11:34am Nov 30, 2007 11:34am
Quoting auslanco
weekly 14C is refusing to point up even after a 500 pip bullish rally. This means there will be a last minute pull back by 14C before the weekly bar close.Technically the weekly candle should close at or below 226.50 level. This doesnt mean that the fundies could push this another 100+ pips from todays high. Just becautious with your trades. It's freaky Friday NY and last day of the month. I'm done for the week. Hope you all have a good weekend.
Aus in your statement above you mention that technically because of the 14C bearishness even after a +500 pip week price could close at or below the 226.50 area.

Do you arrive at that number because that is the weekly 5 SMA low?
And if so could you explain further the line of reasoning?

Thx again for all the knowledge you share!!
"Quitting while you are ahead is not the same as quitting".
  • #1,272
  • Nov 30, 2007 11:35am Nov 30, 2007 11:35am
Quoting auslanco
You must enetr th 15min strategy from the start. Never enter in the middle of a trend.
Aus,

How do you identify when a market is entering into a ranging mode?
I remember way back in the M15 Strategy you mentioned that you were experimenting with 2 Stop Level Reverse settings, however I have searched the thread and can't find any further reference to these.

Thanks.
  • #1,273
  • Nov 30, 2007 3:40pm Nov 30, 2007 3:40pm
Aus, I donwnloaded your 15m and 4H template are they still usable or out dated? There seems to be a lot of arrows and dots in it are they still usable?
  • #1,274
  • Dec 2, 2007 4:07pm Dec 2, 2007 4:07pm
Hello all, Good evening, and welcome to a new week.

NF has started updating.

Today is goin to be a bearish to possibly 227.10 (daily pivot), though the
Daily mom 14 C is bullish which is possibly going to fill the last week gap but will later come down to daily 5(L) according to the mom 1C and 10C.

Aus, i'm I right with this analysis, still learning bro....
The pips is trending for you to catch, just catch it wisely.....
  • #1,275
  • Dec 2, 2007 5:30pm Dec 2, 2007 5:30pm
Quoting olacurrency
Hello all, Good evening, and welcome to a new week.

NF has started updating.

Today is goin to be a bearish to possibly 227.10 (daily pivot), though the
Daily mom 14 C is bullish which is possibly going to fill the last week gap but will later come down to daily 5(L) according to the mom 1C and 10C.

Aus, i'm I right with this analysis, still learning bro....
nice analysis, u learn fast
THE TREND IS UR FRIEND
  • #1,276
  • Dec 2, 2007 6:08pm Dec 2, 2007 6:08pm
im showing the mom 14 as bearish and the 1 10 is bullish on the daily any thoughts.
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  • #1,277
  • Dec 2, 2007 6:38pm Dec 2, 2007 6:38pm
Daily momentum..

I personally would not take this trade for the following reason:

price above the 5sma and 1hr 100sma

Highly possible TP target at Daily 5sma close(227.60) but the Risk to reward is not satisfactory .
10C is super bullish.. Indicating a possibly bounce from daily 5sma( close)
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  • #1,278
  • Dec 2, 2007 7:00pm Dec 2, 2007 7:00pm
I will only take the Scenario 1 trade on the 15min strategy long signal set up.
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  • #1,279
  • Dec 2, 2007 7:03pm Dec 2, 2007 7:03pm
Quoting auslanco
Daily momentum..

I personally would not take this trade for the following reason:

price above the 5sma and 1hr 100sma

Highly possible TP target at Daily 5sma close(227.60) but the Risk to reward is not satisfactory .
10C is super bullish.. Indicating a possibly bounce from daily 5sma( close)
Aus Bro,

How do u see the Monthly and Weekly MoM (MT4) ?
Success has a Thousand Fathers.
  • #1,280
  • Dec 2, 2007 7:07pm Dec 2, 2007 7:07pm
Quoting kayman
Aus Bro,

How do u see the Monthly and Weekly MoM (MT4) ?
Possible Monthly Price action
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