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Daily/Intraday Momentum Analysis

  • #1,141
  • Nov 27, 2007 5:11am Nov 27, 2007 5:11am
New 12 hr bar opened at 11:00 GMt
1C pointing down supported by 14C at good angle and below 100, and 10C flat, StochRSI at oB levels.

4hr 1C is also pointing down supported by 10C and StochRSI rolling over from OB levels
Regards
  • #1,142
  • Nov 27, 2007 6:32am Nov 27, 2007 6:32am
Aus bro,

have you noticed oanda fxmanager is back online ?
it will nice if you start updating there again.

Thanks in advance
  • #1,143
  • Nov 27, 2007 6:40am Nov 27, 2007 6:40am
Hi guys,
I'm having problems with my VT charts. As 1hr formed below the Gann HiLo 10?
  • #1,144
  • Nov 27, 2007 6:42am Nov 27, 2007 6:42am
Aus.
Is it start 15 Min strategy ? My MT NF look QQE 60 Crossdown 50 @1 Hr ? QQE 5 and QQE 60 down below 50 line @ 15 M TF
  • #1,145
  • Nov 27, 2007 6:47am Nov 27, 2007 6:47am
Quoting Kirai
Aus.
Is it start 15 Min strategy ? My MT NF look QQE 60 Crossdown 50 @1 Hr ? QQE 5 and QQE 60 down below 50 line @ 15 M TF
15min trade is on from 223.60
  • #1,146
  • Nov 27, 2007 7:08am Nov 27, 2007 7:08am
Ok guys .. This may go further down to Daily 5sma Low after the US news ..I'm done for the day.. I'll see you guys tommorrow.
  • #1,147
  • Nov 27, 2007 7:18am Nov 27, 2007 7:18am
Quoting auslanco
Ok guys .. This may go further down to Daily 5sma Low after the US news ..I'm done for the day.. I'll see you guys tommorrow.
aua

u still short gbp/usd?
TRIALS THAT SHAKE SOME, CONFIRM OTHERS!
  • #1,148
  • Nov 27, 2007 7:26am Nov 27, 2007 7:26am
Quoting auslanco
Ok guys .. This may go further down to Daily 5sma Low after the US news ..I'm done for the day.. I'll see you guys tommorrow.

yeah aus, u are d man..........still on the trade till london close
The pips is trending for you to catch, just catch it wisely.....
  • #1,149
  • Nov 27, 2007 8:54am Nov 27, 2007 8:54am
Quoting AussieAl
Interbank 10C is still showing bullish. I looked back at the answer from Aus for M2B's and I think it has to do with when the daily becomes a daily. If you go on NY then I figure it is different than GMT. Can someone confirm that for me . Thanks.
Aussie

I think you are right.

My daily mo's all pointing up today, whereas Aus clearly down. My daily bar starts at 00:00 GMT and (against Aus momentum strategy) it is safe to say they delivered as the daily bar belted up to the 5sma high then retreated back. Aus analysis was posted at 08:10GMT (after my bar had already blown the high) so I suspect his reading of the mom indicators would have been based on a start time close to that.
Katte, kabuto no o wo shime yo. Size doesn't matter, leverage is the killer
  • #1,150
  • Nov 27, 2007 11:51am Nov 27, 2007 11:51am
Just checking
  • #1,151
  • Nov 27, 2007 1:28pm Nov 27, 2007 1:28pm
Quoting auslanco
14C and 1C was bullish. and it pushed the price upto daily 5sma(high). -That was the daily high when the bar forms within the channal. Now it's 10C 's turn to drag the price down at least down to 5sma(close) from 5sma (high).

Aus, pls i avnt get something right, when you say 5sma (high), 5sma (close). how do you mean, and how do you get this points
The pips is trending for you to catch, just catch it wisely.....
  • #1,152
  • Edited 3:34pm Nov 27, 2007 1:43pm | Edited 3:34pm
I haven't been able to grasp momentum and how it is used by Auslanco,but the fact that he uses it so well convinces me its a powerful tool.

I have been using it in a different fashion though. I'll post 2 screenshots below the 1st is a 4hr chart the 2nd is a daily.

From my very very amateur analysis we are heading up folks, the great crash isnt happening this week. The 1st chart is a 4hr and drawing trendline we are heading up on both the 14 and 10 period momentum, we are finally above the zero line.

I post the 2nd chart to show where this uptrend will end. I have marked trendlines in purple and put a check where the uptrend will probably stall and retrace/reverse

This is not to say that we wont retest or make newer lows, but I dont see the crash to 210 happening like people are saying.

It should be said I am not trading this live, but I am demo trading this and long from 224.00 and will exit on a break of the 4hr 14 period trendline or my daily trend line is hit and this is a long term position.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 4hr.gif Size: 9 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: day.gif Size: 11 KB
  • #1,153
  • Nov 27, 2007 4:54pm Nov 27, 2007 4:54pm
today
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: fr31.jpg Size: 47 KB
  • #1,154
  • Nov 27, 2007 5:16pm Nov 27, 2007 5:16pm
Aus, based on my own analysis I am in 100% agreement with yours, but today's market behaviour is the reason why I doubt my own validity sometimes to interpret this beast. In my opinion we had every factor in place for a strong move down, but instead we got a huge rally on almost unimportant news.

Shorts still alive, hoping some sense returns
  • #1,155
  • Nov 27, 2007 5:34pm Nov 27, 2007 5:34pm
Quoting HeavensGate
Aus, based on my own analysis I am in 100% agreement with yours, but today's market behaviour is the reason why I doubt my own validity sometimes to interpret this beast. In my opinion we had every factor in place for a strong move down, but instead we got a huge rally on almost unimportant news.
Shorts still alive, hoping some sense returns
Remember the 00.00GMT daily bar was bullish yesterday(all three Mom)? Therefor the price was suppose to rally up to comply with the 00.00GMT. That was the last minute upward move we saw.
  • #1,156
  • Nov 27, 2007 5:49pm Nov 27, 2007 5:49pm
Quoting auslanco
today
Hi Aus, just a quick question. On IntrebankFX I have the triple mom. indicator pointing up on the daily and the daily candle is closing in 15min and it looks like a bullish engulfment. What are your thoughts?

ADB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.jpg Size: 201 KB
Think BIG!
  • #1,157
  • Nov 27, 2007 5:51pm Nov 27, 2007 5:51pm
Quoting lepiricus
I haven't
Thanks for the analysis bro. I also doubt we may reach 210. How ever weekly momentum is strong enough to break august Low's as long as the price stays below 226.50
  • #1,158
  • Nov 27, 2007 5:55pm Nov 27, 2007 5:55pm
Aus, I'm feeling good. Today I have come up with the same as you by using what I have learned from the thread. Thanks!!! I am seeing that w/ the bullish candle on the daily, and the higher high, higher lower over the last 24 hours, do you think that there could be a temporary up trend taking place before another big fall?

Thanks

John
  • #1,159
  • Nov 27, 2007 6:10pm Nov 27, 2007 6:10pm
Quoting 1ADB
Hi Aus, just a quick question. On IntrebankFX I have the triple mom. indicator pointing up on the daily and the daily candle is closing in 15min and it looks like a bullish engulfment. What are your thoughts?

ADB

My analysis are purley based on the Momentum ignoring most of the other chart patterns. Can you post a new 00.00daily bar. thanks
  • #1,160
  • Nov 27, 2007 6:14pm Nov 27, 2007 6:14pm
Quoting fxstman
Aus, I'm feeling good. Today I have come up with the same as you by using what I have learned from the thread. Thanks!!! I am seeing that w/ the bullish candle on the daily, and the higher high, higher lower over the last 24 hours, do you think that there could be a temporary up trend taking place before another big fall?

Thanks

John

depends on what your interpretation of a big fall. we are not going to have 1000 pip fall. my profit target are within the 5sma channel.
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