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Attachments: based.on MACD300 pip/month article as reference on 4H-TF-GBPJPY>+88% backtest
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based.on MACD300 pip/month article as reference on 4H-TF-GBPJPY>+88% backtest

  • #21
  • Sep 22, 2007 5:20am Sep 22, 2007 5:20am
test it with nu data from alpari
  • #22
  • Oct 8, 2007 9:54am Oct 8, 2007 9:54am
EA is categorized as:


1. EA that use the probability
EA which is
believe that there are good probabilty of
a price breaktru

for example:

pivot EA

or something like this:

stastician have a good xx % probability
that the last high substract by today low
more than yy pips
for the last ten years in a pair

mostly doesn't use "time series forecast"
this EA use formula with variabel of previous data
like last hi, last lo etc

*******


2. EA full indy , that use the indicator as executor
open or close depend on the signal
of the indicator
mostly use trailing stop and not prefer to use TP


*******


3. EA that that use tight rule of TP and SL and
use indicator only to determine the direction of the chart


*********



4. EA that has learn ability / artificial inteligence EA, i call it as AI-EA, we will learn about this, after that.. :-)
the input is "output + input"
the output is multi layer weight matrix
process "input pattern" with "multi layer weight matrix = matrix" to produce "output pattern"

input pattern could be combination of indicator pattern, formula and previous price/bar/candle parameter/pattern
output pattern could be amount of reversal, produce about when the reversal happened
in the future within certain period,

this artificial inteligence EA
has an ability to show us when and how many reversal
that will happen during X period in the future

use some genetic algorithm coding
for example backpropagation, scale conjugate, fuzzy, or other "supervised neural network",

this EA choose their own combination of a few indicator and its period/parameter
and do some systematical trial and error to make the best combination
of formula or indy include its parameter that represent more then 80% accuracy of the price movement

the final output of the algoritm is multi matrix
it could be fundamental matrix or technical matrix

to train of this EA need a huge memory and more than ten years data, why?
example: 500 week to the past is needed to train the AI-EA for making 65 week ahead forecasting
:-( i don;t thing that's a cheap stuff
  • #23
  • Oct 10, 2007 6:26pm Oct 10, 2007 6:26pm
95% trade are win for 5 years
(notice that : my PM is getting slower than my Email = MPMISTME)

the period is important !!
and completely different
with the MACD original
300-pip version

i get this period
from systematical trial and error
which is done by the "genetic algorithm"


Let see the 5 years backtest of weda
i hope some one modify it
for better performance
and share it with all of us

cek it out
for 5 years the SL hit 7 times only
and 95% of your trading are win

if someone getting rich with this strategy
please,, just don't forget me | :-D qqqqqqqqqqqq
i hope i can get out from this trunk

put some Qty management
coding on this "weda period"
there will a amazing balance
increament



last thread:
may be this can help you

for daily range expectation
lets see your expectation about daily range, with freeware

for the GBPUSD behavior expectation
GBP behavior 99.998 %

for simple and powerful strategy
based.on MACD300 pip/month article as reference on 4H-TF-GBPJPY>+88% backtest

about numbering signal
99.999 % from GBP/JPY prove it ! with VB


see you next time,.................
i'll continue the lesson




dedicated to

Prof. Dr. Ir Nadjadji Anwar MSc, Phd
Prof. Havid Rahdian Indrajaya, ST

surabaya institute of technology
bandung institute of technology
angel for true love


NB:
additional information of EA categorize
in my point of view
EA is categorized as:

*******!!

1. EA that use the probability
EA which is
believe that there are good probabilty of
a price breaktru

for example:

"pivot EA"

or something like this:

stastician have a good xx % probability
that the last high substract by today low
more than yy pips
for the last ten years in a pair

mostly doesn't use "time series forecast"
this EA use formula with variabel of previous data
like last hi, last lo etc



********!!

2. EA full indy , that use the indicator as executor
open or close depend on the signal
of the indicator
mostly use trailing stop and not prefer to use TP



********!!

3. EA that that use tight rule of TP and SL and
use indicator only to determine the direction of the chart
*****************we will learn about this EA first*******************



********!!

4. EA that has learn ability / artificial inteligence EA, i call it as AI-EA, we will learn about this, after that.. :-)
the input is "output + input"
the output is multi layer weight matrix
process "input pattern" with "multi layer weight matrix = matrix" to produce "output pattern"

input pattern could be combination of indicator pattern, formula and previous price/bar/candle parameter/pattern
output pattern could be amount of reversal, produce about when the reversal happened
in the future within certain period,

this artificial inteligence EA
has an ability to show us when and how many reversal
that will happen during X period in the future

use some genetic algorithm coding
for example backpropagation, scale conjugate, fuzzy, or other "supervised neural network",

this EA choose their own combination of a few indicator and its period/parameter
and do some systematical trial and error to make the best combination
of formula or indy include its parameter that represent more then 80% accuracy of the price movement

the final output of the algoritm is multi matrix
it could be fundamental matrix or technical matrix

to train of this EA need a huge memory and more than ten years data, why?
example: 500 week to the past is needed to train the AI-EA for making 65 week ahead forecasting
:-( i don;t thing that's a cheap stuff



today posting ended here...................
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ax88-weda-5years-backtest.gif Size: 5 KB
Attached File(s)
File Type: zip ax88-2002-2007-OCT-backtest-90%win.zip   160 KB | 611 downloads
File Type: zip ax88-weda-2002-2007-backtest-95%win.zip   14 KB | 606 downloads
  • #24
  • Oct 18, 2007 10:10am Oct 18, 2007 10:10am
i have the poooweerrr
sound's like He Man

some of an old two dimensional superhero

(shades)



Quoting chivas88chi
please watch all the attachment, it will more clearly understand
to get detail of the stop loss please read the txt.file

good morning world.... :-)
this from chivas88chi

with 40 pip profit taking
0.1 lots
on GBPJPY-4H

notice---!!!!!!
use on long position only
is suitable on 4H TF only
balance from 10000 to 19000 USD
cek the 1 minutes (not recomended)

make your own stop loss based on the max drawdown about 8 % drawdown

i hope some one give me better than this trading strategy
and i hope there is "an order code" included
with
exact/constant profit taking
exact/constant stop loss
exact and constant lots

thank's before
it will be the best on u

with complete 4h backtest
on "every tic" model

next time i will use VisualBasic-A to test it


this backtest use MACD 300 pip/month article as the reference
stop loss is needed when
there are stupid "heck tic" (ever 1600 pip) in second
on chart

i hope any one to tell me
where do i have to find
any
step by step and
clear article about artificial intelligence on forex
especially about conjugate gradient
on supervised learning


the prototipe ANN is programmed with VB and C++
i still work on my neural network
for forex

by the way anyway busway...............
i am still have to learn more about forex
from all of you, most nice community in the world :-)
  • #25
  • Oct 30, 2007 6:48pm Oct 30, 2007 6:48pm
so the current MACD is ignored

please give me an explanation

Quoting mbaklur99
try it and post it
  • #26
  • Nov 8, 2007 5:28am Nov 8, 2007 5:28am
the signal occure on the last of october 2007 twice!

Quoting chivas88chi
please watch all the attachment, it will more clearly understand
to get detail of the stop loss please read the txt.file

good morning world.... :-)
this from chivas88chi

with 40 pip profit taking
0.1 lots
on GBPJPY-4H

notice---!!!!!!
use on long position only
is suitable on 4H TF only
balance from 10000 to 19000 USD
cek the 1 minutes (not recomended)

make your own stop loss based on the max drawdown about 8 % drawdown

i hope some one give me better than this trading strategy
and i hope there is "an order code" included
with
exact/constant profit taking
exact/constant stop loss
exact and constant lots

thank's before
it will be the best on u

with complete 4h backtest
on "every tic" model

next time i will use VisualBasic-A to test it


this backtest use MACD 300 pip/month article as the reference
stop loss is needed when
there are stupid "heck tic" (ever 1600 pip) in second
on chart

i hope any one to tell me
where do i have to find
any
step by step and
clear article about artificial intelligence on forex
especially about conjugate gradient
on supervised learning


the prototipe ANN is programmed with VB and C++
i still work on my neural network
for forex

by the way anyway busway...............
i am still have to learn more about forex
from all of you, most nice community in the world :-)
  • #27
  • Nov 10, 2007 5:09am Nov 10, 2007 5:09am
cek this weda on 26th october 2007

Quoting chivas88chi
please watch all the attachment, it will more clearly understand
to get detail of the stop loss please read the txt.file

good morning world.... :-)
this from chivas88chi

with 40 pip profit taking
0.1 lots
on GBPJPY-4H

notice---!!!!!!
use on long position only
is suitable on 4H TF only
balance from 10000 to 19000 USD
cek the 1 minutes (not recomended)

make your own stop loss based on the max drawdown about 8 % drawdown

i hope some one give me better than this trading strategy
and i hope there is "an order code" included
with
exact/constant profit taking
exact/constant stop loss
exact and constant lots

thank's before
it will be the best on u

with complete 4h backtest
on "every tic" model

next time i will use VisualBasic-A to test it


this backtest use MACD 300 pip/month article as the reference
stop loss is needed when
there are stupid "heck tic" (ever 1600 pip) in second
on chart

i hope any one to tell me
where do i have to find
any
step by step and
clear article about artificial intelligence on forex
especially about conjugate gradient
on supervised learning


the prototipe ANN is programmed with VB and C++
i still work on my neural network
for forex

by the way anyway busway...............
i am still have to learn more about forex
from all of you, most nice community in the world :-)
  • #28
  • Nov 11, 2007 12:34am Nov 11, 2007 12:34am
something new on chivas blog
Quoting mbaklur99
try it and post it
  • #29
  • Nov 12, 2007 9:42pm Nov 12, 2007 9:42pm
something new with GBPUSD
[chivas blog]
Quoting mbaklur99
something new on chivas blog
  • #30
  • Nov 16, 2007 7:16am Nov 16, 2007 7:16am


Quoting mbaklur99
something new with GBPUSD
[chivas blog]
  • #31
  • Dec 1, 2007 3:07am Dec 1, 2007 3:07am
http://chivas88chi.blogspot.com
  • #32
  • Dec 3, 2007 6:07am Dec 3, 2007 6:07am
E-mail : [email protected]
Comment:
hi,i cant use your two indicators for MT on chart...weda gbp/jpy

Quoting chivas88chi
please watch all the attachment, it will more clearly understand
to get detail of the stop loss please read the txt.file

good morning world.... :-)
this from chivas88chi

with 40 pip profit taking
0.1 lots
on GBPJPY-4H

notice---!!!!!!
use on long position only
is suitable on 4H TF only
balance from 10000 to 19000 USD
cek the 1 minutes (not recomended)

make your own stop loss based on the max drawdown about 8 % drawdown

i hope some one give me better than this trading strategy
and i hope there is "an order code" included
with
exact/constant profit taking
exact/constant stop loss
exact and constant lots

thank's before
it will be the best on u

with complete 4h backtest
on "every tic" model

next time i will use VisualBasic-A to test it


this backtest use MACD 300 pip/month article as the reference
stop loss is needed when
there are stupid "heck tic" (ever 1600 pip) in second
on chart

i hope any one to tell me
where do i have to find
any
step by step and
clear article about artificial intelligence on forex
especially about conjugate gradient
on supervised learning


the prototipe ANN is programmed with VB and C++
i still work on my neural network
for forex

by the way anyway busway...............
i am still have to learn more about forex
from all of you, most nice community in the world :-)
  • #33
  • Dec 12, 2007 6:22pm Dec 12, 2007 6:22pm
i have the EA on gbpjpy since 04/12 and it did not open any trades.

what could be the problem? thanks
  • #34
  • Dec 14, 2007 2:03pm Dec 14, 2007 2:03pm
the full version of the EA will post soon

but maybe u can see at the bottom of my blog
http://chivas88chi.blogspot.com

both of my target are hit
2.0547 and 2.0277
this week

the previous prediction upper target only and not has been hit
but the lower are hit

any opinion to make strategy with the probability
of the target ?


Quoting giraia_br
i have the EA on gbpjpy since 04/12 and it did not open any trades.

what could be the problem? thanks
  • #35
  • Last Post: Dec 21, 2007 4:32pm Dec 21, 2007 4:32pm
Quoting chivas88chi
the full version of the EA will post soon

but maybe u can see at the bottom of my blog
http://chivas88chi.blogspot.com

both of my target are hit
2.0547 and 2.0277
this week

the previous prediction upper target only and not has been hit
but the lower are hit

any opinion to make strategy with the probability
of the target ?
but are you running the MACD ea in any demo or real account? What are the results?

what exactaly i must see at the bottom of your site? the 25dd ea001 or vega35?

they have fastatic results like the MACD EA? If yes i want it

thanks for reply
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