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Daily/Intraday Momentum Analysis

  • #361
  • Nov 13, 2007 9:38pm Nov 13, 2007 9:38pm
Quoting blunt
hey aus saw your new signature and saw it was edited all the way back to the beginning of this thread. Hope your not going anywhere and if you do we definately want to follow. I tried the web address but wasn't able to get anywhere with it. I am not really great on a computer .....is there something more i need to know? Once again thanks for all you do for all of us. Blunt
You will have to copy the address to your web browser.
  • #362
  • Nov 13, 2007 10:11pm Nov 13, 2007 10:11pm
AUS?C-1 MOM is above 100 and Slow Stoch is turned up how will this effect us?? I see good bearish movement in London..Any quotes?
Quoting auslanco
You will have to copy the address to your web browser.
  • #363
  • Nov 13, 2007 10:17pm Nov 13, 2007 10:17pm
Quoting turn1to100
AUS?C-1 MOM is above 100 and Slow Stoch is turned up how will this effect us?? I see good bearish movement in London..Any quotes?
which TF?
  • #364
  • Nov 13, 2007 10:21pm Nov 13, 2007 10:21pm
I exit my longs... Daily 5sma holding the price. I will wait for a 15min strategy short trade to go south. sweet 300-400 pips there .
  • #365
  • Nov 13, 2007 10:31pm Nov 13, 2007 10:31pm
Quoting auslanco
I exit my longs... Daily 5sma holding the price. I will wait for a 15min strategy short trade to go south. sweet 300-400 pips there .

So thats the end of G/J Upside move?
  • #366
  • Nov 13, 2007 10:34pm Nov 13, 2007 10:34pm
Quoting auslanco
I exit my longs... Daily 5sma holding the price. I will wait for a 15min strategy short trade to go south. sweet 300-400 pips there .
15M QEE 60 crossed down...lets see if it holds for this 15M Candle.
Are we ready to go south if it holds.
Success has a Thousand Fathers.
  • #367
  • Nov 13, 2007 10:37pm Nov 13, 2007 10:37pm
aus..thanks for your sharing and teaching in this journal...yesterday i had loss almost half of my account..however you had rescue me from making mistake again...and cover all the loss that i made...thanks and solute to you aus..hope you still will guide us in future...thanks and regard
  • #368
  • Edited 11:02pm Nov 13, 2007 10:46pm | Edited 11:02pm
Quoting auslanco
I exit my longs... Daily 5sma holding the price. I will wait for a 15min strategy short trade to go south. sweet 300-400 pips there .
normally, you wouldnt place a short trade (using 15min strategy) when the price is above the daily pivot (asian session). correct?

i understand that right now, everyone is anticipating this drop and the 15min is a great way to get in at a good price. however, i was just looking at the chart and the 100sma is within a few pips of the daily pivot so i would imagine that would be a rather strong support level.

http://www.jvovrt.com/15minchart.jpg
  • #369
  • Nov 13, 2007 10:49pm Nov 13, 2007 10:49pm
Quoting alanz76
aus..thanks for your sharing and teaching in this journal...yesterday i had loss almost half of my account..however you had rescue me from making mistake again...and cover all the loss that i made...thanks and solute to you aus..hope you still will guide us in future...thanks and regard

Wow you risked 1/2 your account. You shouldn't risk much more than 2% per trade. The Geppy is like a loaded gun. With that mentality you'd be safer playing Russian roulette.
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  • #370
  • Nov 13, 2007 10:53pm Nov 13, 2007 10:53pm
Too early to pick the top...
  • #371
  • Nov 13, 2007 10:56pm Nov 13, 2007 10:56pm
Quoting pipdiddy
Wow you risked 1/2 your account. You shouldn't risk much more than 2% per trade. The Geppy is like a loaded gun. With that mentality you'd be safer playing Russian roulette.
...thats my mistake..maybe my mental preparation is so weak..... and no proper MM...
  • #372
  • Nov 13, 2007 10:58pm Nov 13, 2007 10:58pm
Quoting DaddyWarbuck
normally, you wouldnt place a short trade (using 15min strategy) when the price is above the daily pivot (asian session). correct?

i understand that right now, everyone is anticipating this drop and the 15min is a great way to get in at a good price. however, i was just looking at the chart and the 100sma is within a few pips of the daily pivot so i would imagine that would be a rather strong resistance level.

http://www.jvovrt.com/15minchart.jpg
better stay calm ....wait and see what next...rather no trade than loss
  • #373
  • Nov 13, 2007 11:02pm Nov 13, 2007 11:02pm
Quoting auslanco
I exit my longs... Daily 5sma holding the price. I will wait for a 15min strategy short trade to go south. sweet 300-400 pips there .
the daily 5sma also happens to be at the same level as the weekly 5sma (low) so that is a pretty strong resistance level.
  • #374
  • Nov 13, 2007 11:03pm Nov 13, 2007 11:03pm
Quoting Srikanth
So thats the end of G/J Upside move?
It may not be.. It's risky to chase 100pips to the upside when the daily momentum is bearish. There for I will stay away until the 15min strategy short signal to enter.
  • #375
  • Nov 13, 2007 11:04pm Nov 13, 2007 11:04pm
Quoting kayman
15M QEE 60 crossed down...lets see if it holds for this 15M Candle.
Are we ready to go south if it holds.
yehh.. it's crossed down. if you want to play safe.. wait until the price dips below the Tokyo pivot( 229.22) to enter short. - a proper 15min startegy short trade.
  • #376
  • Nov 13, 2007 11:07pm Nov 13, 2007 11:07pm
Quoting DaddyWarbuck
normally, you wouldnt place a short trade (using 15min strategy) when the price is above the daily pivot (asian session). correct?

i understand that right now, everyone is anticipating this drop and the 15min is a great way to get in at a good price. however, i was just looking at the chart and the 100sma is within a few pips of the daily pivot so i would imagine that would be a rather strong support level.

price could go beyond the 1hr 100sma to cover the week end gap before a reverse
  • #377
  • Nov 13, 2007 11:07pm Nov 13, 2007 11:07pm
The Daily 5SMA has held price so far, I was really expecting the Gap to be filled still going to a high of 231.34 would complete that.

Also I was expecting a retrace to the level of 234.04 where I have a fairly large Short waiting.

Remember one thing - it is still tuesday, and wednesday is a triple interest payoff, so I am thinking Longs are going to ride this up a little further still.

I started taking shorts on EJ already, but it is a slower mover then the GJ, I will wait for a firm area of short, which the 5SMA on the daily here at 230.60 is a great start.

Let me know what you think on the 15Min when you get a signal.

Thanks, KEN
  • #378
  • Nov 13, 2007 11:11pm Nov 13, 2007 11:11pm
Quoting monarch
The Daily 5SMA has held price so far, I was really expecting the Gap to be filled still going to a high of 231.34 would complete that.

Also I was expecting a retrace to the level of 234.04 where I have a fairly large Short waiting.

Remember one thing - it is still tuesday, and wednesday is a triple interest payoff, so I am thinking Longs are going to ride this up a little further still.

I started taking shorts on EJ already, but it is a slower mover then the GJ, I will wait for a firm area of short, which the 5SMA on the daily here at 230.60 is a great start.

Let me know what you think on the 15Min when you get a signal.
Thanks, KEN
sure bro.. 15 QQE 60 has crossed down already , indicating a reversal coming soon. However the price can shoot up another 100+ pips , while the 15min QQE60 crossed down.

Below 229.10 will activate the 15min strategy short trade. I got "stop sell" orders waiting at that level.
  • #379
  • Nov 13, 2007 11:16pm Nov 13, 2007 11:16pm
Quoting auslanco
price could go beyond the 1hr 100sma to cover the week end gap before a reverse
I was actually looking at the 200 EMA on the Hourly, that would be 233.30 area or lower depending on how long price takes to reach upwards.

I mainly use the 89 and 200 on my charts.

If you took the HIGH at 241.35 and the recent LOW at 224.17, that would be a 1718 pip move downward, the 50% median would be 232.76, which is very near the 200EMA on the hourly and also would be within 10 pips of the closing price on the big move down 10/22/2007 on the DAILY chart.
  • #380
  • Nov 13, 2007 11:16pm Nov 13, 2007 11:16pm
New 4hr Bar
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