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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #45,981
  • Oct 30, 2007 8:34pm Oct 30, 2007 8:34pm
Quoting brucehvn
I just noticed this on my 4H charts. However, I'm not sure how valid it can be since the candles are Alpari mixed before and after the time change.
i think karm already posted this?
TRIALS THAT SHAKE SOME, CONFIRM OTHERS!
  • #45,982
  • Oct 30, 2007 9:46pm Oct 30, 2007 9:46pm
Quoting Zoran
I can see the politics. Anyway, Moscow and St. Petersburg are the two places I'd like to visit (one day). Maybe when the kids are a little bit older.

Форекс!

I'm in a middle of reading 20+ pages, can't get your status on gbp/jpy?
  • #45,983
  • Oct 30, 2007 10:21pm Oct 30, 2007 10:21pm
Hi Guys -- Anybody out there? Does anyone expect this pair to break down at all? Possibly during London? I know you don't have a crystal ball -- just wondering. I need another of Karmo's patience pills.
  • #45,984
  • Oct 30, 2007 10:21pm Oct 30, 2007 10:21pm
Rumor is that Goldman Sachs is going to announce a big write-off tomorrow. If so, they are obviously timing it with the fed announcement hoping it gets lost in a big bull run.
  • #45,985
  • Oct 30, 2007 10:52pm Oct 30, 2007 10:52pm
The Geppy is pulseless, maybe the Brits have a defibrillator. See ya all at the open of London. I'm going take another Karm pill and take a nap.
  • #45,986
  • Oct 30, 2007 11:31pm Oct 30, 2007 11:31pm
Quoting jules
auslanco

thank you for continuing you education with us, i know it takes patience and generositiy.
I have downloaded vt trader charts and playing with the indicators you mentioned in the other thread. looking forward to understanding
j
Hi,

Can you tell me which thread it was so I may read up and apply the same?

Thanks.
  • #45,987
  • Oct 30, 2007 11:40pm Oct 30, 2007 11:40pm
If you want to see something scary, take a look at this.

Attached Image


This is the index of the pool of Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities. We are rapidly approaching the point that anybody holding CDOs are going to find out that their value is zero. We are not talking about taking a hit on the value, we are talking about them having absolutely no value.

Pensions, 401ks, private investments, etc., etc. This is going to go downhill fast.
  • #45,988
  • Edited Oct 31, 2007 12:03am Oct 30, 2007 11:43pm | Edited Oct 31, 2007 12:03am
Quoting anthonykay
ok i get ur idea my leverage is 500.1
Read these and maybe you'll understand why 90% of retail traders blow their accounts:

http://www.margin-strategies.info/Leverage1.pdf

http://www.margin-strategies.info/Leverage2.pdf
  • #45,989
  • Oct 30, 2007 11:45pm Oct 30, 2007 11:45pm
Quoting markam
If you want to see something scary, take a look at this.

Attachment

This is the index of the pool of Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities. We are rapidly approaching the point that anybody holding CDOs are going to find out that their value is zero. We are not talking about taking a hit on the value, we are talking about them having absolutely no value.

Pensions, 401ks, private investments, etc., etc. This is going to go downhill fast.

scary doesn't do this justice, was there perhaps an article that went with this.
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #45,990
  • Oct 31, 2007 12:01am Oct 31, 2007 12:01am
Quoting maestr2
scary doesn't do this justice, was there perhaps an article that went with this.
No it was being discussed on another forum. Here, however, is an example of what the end result is going to be. Just wait until they have to start admitting that hundreds of billions in mortage security investments are worth nothing.

Tetragon says $68 mln in mortgage securities worth nothing
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/stor...&dist=hplatest
  • #45,991
  • Oct 31, 2007 12:04am Oct 31, 2007 12:04am
Another related article. The mortgage securitization market is gone and dead. All the fed cuts in the world aren't going to bring it back. This was the source for huge amounts of credit which was being pumped into the market for new loans, etc.

Bell tolls for ABX index as subprime securitizations dwindle


http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/391a0660-7...b5df10621.html

Quote
So far, only USD 9.9bn of home equity loan securitizations have come to the market since 1 July – a 95% decline from the USD 200.9bn in the first half of this year and a roughly 92% decrease from the same time period last year, according to JPMorgan Chase.
  • #45,992
  • Oct 31, 2007 12:24am Oct 31, 2007 12:24am
Quoting markam
Another related article. The mortgage securitization market is gone and dead. All the fed cuts in the world aren't going to bring it back. This was the source for huge amounts of credit which was being pumped into the market for new loans, etc.

Bell tolls for ABX index as subprime securitizations dwindle


http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/391a0660-7...b5df10621.html

Thanks for the links, very informative and thought provoking
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #45,993
  • Oct 31, 2007 12:30am Oct 31, 2007 12:30am
thanks markam
  • #45,994
  • Oct 31, 2007 1:10am Oct 31, 2007 1:10am
Quoting let'erpip
Hi Guys -- Anybody out there? Does anyone expect this pair to break down at all? Possibly during London? I know you don't have a crystal ball -- just wondering. I need another of Karmo's patience pills.
If I were you, I would wait until the US interest rate decision. Nobody wants to take any large positions before that important event - this thing can be very volatile. Simple things like an article in the WSJ that the Fed might not cut rates - sent GJ crashing down.. then another source will say yes they are cutting by 50 bps.. back up.

I'll trade once all the dust has settled.
  • #45,995
  • Oct 31, 2007 1:18am Oct 31, 2007 1:18am
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  • #45,996
  • Edited 1:39am Oct 31, 2007 1:25am | Edited 1:39am
long from 236.96 & 237.04.....I'm expecting a bounce from the 52% of the psycholocal line...a break below 50% will bring back the "Bears" in control.....thats where I'll hedge my positions @ the 49% psychological line....as long as the pair holds above the 52% lvl...it shows signs of improovement.....now its a waiting game.

Profitable trading
Breeze
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  • #45,997
  • Oct 31, 2007 1:36am Oct 31, 2007 1:36am
anyone holding their shorts from yesterday?
  • #45,998
  • Oct 31, 2007 1:51am Oct 31, 2007 1:51am
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Quoting turn1to100
Attachment
  • #45,999
  • Oct 31, 2007 1:54am Oct 31, 2007 1:54am
Quoting gau2902
anyone holding their shorts from yesterday?

yes, my target is 234,67
  • #46,000
  • Oct 31, 2007 1:59am Oct 31, 2007 1:59am
Quoting willy_ukky
yes, my target is 234,67

haha...going to SL later.
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