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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #38,781
  • Oct 10, 2007 6:57am Oct 10, 2007 6:57am
Quoting Zoran
I closed my short for around 100 pips. I needed some green ones.
lol @ need some green ones

I banked 64 pips myself, still room to go down though, low 239s high 238
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #38,782
  • Oct 10, 2007 6:58am Oct 10, 2007 6:58am
As I posted two and a half hours ago:


"This last rally from yesterday afternoon has put on 400 pips and so far stopped at the Weekly R1 - 240.35. It has also completed a good (IMO and subject to Zoran´s confirmation) Bearish Butterfly pattern and thus should fall. Lower momentum on several TFs supports this. However, Daily Time Lines give an HSSH day due on Saturday - so active from tomorrow till Tuesday - thus a higher high is still expected although this should not exceed the WR2 at 241.79.

So, despite the falling momentum and completed pattern, the trend is still up and should be respected."

****************
Its great when price hits one of these pivots to the pip and turns....now its at the 5m 200ema, how far back will it bounce?
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #38,783
  • Oct 10, 2007 6:58am Oct 10, 2007 6:58am
Quoting maheswara
anyone thinks the pair is goin up ? looks like everyone here favor the bears ... i closed my short when 4h completed its 5sma retracement 1 hr ago ... my 4h qqe is crossed up 1 hr ago on the closed of last candle ...
I'm still thinking down but it's going to take time. I have lots of short entries waiting but I wouldn't like to see it go higher than 240.5 otherwise I might have to reverse my suit.
  • #38,784
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:10am Oct 10, 2007 7:10am
Quoting karmostaji
lol @ need some green ones

I banked 64 pips myself, still room to go down though, low 239s high 238
Sticking to the target area.
Indicators show the past. Price Action "Indicates" the future.
  • #38,785
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:12am Oct 10, 2007 7:12am
with stop loss at be.

Looking 150 pips on the short, but ready to close before if I see a serious retracement up.

Dow is giving us shorts a hand, so far!

Good Trades to all!

Pepe
  • #38,786
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:15am Oct 10, 2007 7:15am
Quoting karmostaji
lol @ need some green ones

I banked 64 pips myself, still room to go down though, low 239s high 238
I have some open shorts (red pips) sitting just below that. I'm waiting for a change in colour.
  • #38,787
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:16am Oct 10, 2007 7:16am
Quoting my2buoys
One more post before bedtime. "Hey, Pipchick! Are you sure you wanna be in bed with this guy?"

M2B
M2b,,
Could you please explain what exactly you mean by this comment? Also explain how I fit into all of this. It would be greatly appreciated.
  • #38,788
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:19am Oct 10, 2007 7:19am
Quoting Islander
As I posted two and a half hours ago:


"This last rally from yesterday afternoon has put on 400 pips and so far stopped at the Weekly R1 - 240.35. It has also completed a good (IMO and subject to Zoran´s confirmation) Bearish Butterfly pattern and thus should fall. Lower momentum on several TFs supports this. However, Daily Time Lines give an HSSH day due on Saturday - so active from tomorrow till Tuesday - thus a higher high is still expected although this should not exceed the WR2 at 241.79.

So, despite the falling momentum and completed pattern, the trend is still up and should be respected."

****************
Its great when price hits one of these pivots to the pip and turns....now its at the 5m 200ema, how far back will it bounce?
Hi Islander, Thanks for your analysis. If the butterfly has a B point at 78.6 then I think karmo already posted it.
  • #38,789
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:23am Oct 10, 2007 7:23am
Quoting Zoran
Hi Islander, Thanks for your analysis. If the butterfly has a B point at 78.6 then I think karmo already posted it.
The one I posted with a B point at 78.6 was for EJ 1h chart.

The GJ 4hr/D bearish butterfly has the point B at 88.6 on my chart.
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #38,790
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:27am Oct 10, 2007 7:27am
Quoting karmostaji
The one I posted with a B point at 78.6 was for EJ 1h chart.

The GJ 4hr/D bearish butterfly has the point B at 88.6 on my chart.
OK, not sure about the 88.6 one.

Anyway, I knocked the bulls on the head with my wedge. Lets see if it worked!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: guppy4h.gif Size: 19 KB
  • #38,791
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:31am Oct 10, 2007 7:31am
Quoting nickjon
Please

.
Hi nick, Just sent you an email.
  • #38,792
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:33am Oct 10, 2007 7:33am
hmmm guess mktjong s gone to sleep , the 15m failed to pass thru the ichimoku cloud , was wondering if its a warning sign to ichimoku users ... anyone to answer ?
To Live is the rarest thing in the world , Most people exist , that is all
  • #38,793
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:34am Oct 10, 2007 7:34am
I thought I would throw in a possible leading indicator regarding the impending stock crash.

Here is dow jones industrial average (DJIA) and dow jones transportation average (DJT) plotted together during the internet crash.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: djtdji1.JPG Size: 194 KB


you can see both indexes peaked together in May of 99. They then diverged and DJT started down. It wasn't until 9 months later that DJIA began it's real crash.

Here are the indexes today.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: djtdji2.JPG Size: 191 KB


Once again, you have dual peaks followed by a divergence. If DJT doesnt set a new high, I think we will see a repeat of 1999-2000 very shortly. With the poor numbers being seen in container shipping and consumer sales, there is very little chance that the transportation index is going to be setting a new high.
  • #38,794
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:36am Oct 10, 2007 7:36am
Cloud is thinning and will break through on the 15 min in one hour is my opinion.
  • #38,795
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:37am Oct 10, 2007 7:37am
Quoting markam
I thought I would throw in a possible leading indicator regarding the impending stock crash.
Awesome analysis !
To Live is the rarest thing in the world , Most people exist , that is all
  • #38,796
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:39am Oct 10, 2007 7:39am
Quoting karmostaji
The one I posted with a B point at 78.6 was for EJ 1h chart.

The GJ 4hr/D bearish butterfly has the point B at 88.6 on my chart.
LOL, I guess that we´re both using Zup 69 and getting the same patterns, but darn it, I missed the EJ one, instead I posted one of UJ! I guess you know where to find my posts, so I wont clutter this thread with too much off topic analysis and charts.
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #38,797
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:41am Oct 10, 2007 7:41am
Quoting Islander
LOL, I guess that we´re both using Zup 69 and getting the same patterns, but darn it, I missed the EJ one, instead I posted one of UJ! I guess you know where to find my posts, so I wont clutter this thread with too much off topic analysis and charts.
lol I'm in the UJ trade from 117.52, let's see how it turns out good luck bro
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #38,798
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:44am Oct 10, 2007 7:44am
Quoting maheswara
hmmm guess mktjong s gone to sleep , the 15m failed to pass thru the ichimoku cloud , was wondering if its a warning sign to ichimoku users ... anyone to answer ?
Well it still can IMO. I personally will not be considering a short unless brice breaks through the cloud and then possibly even 239.00
  • #38,799
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:47am Oct 10, 2007 7:47am
238.65 is London Daily Pivot .. Until the price pass through that level.. there wont be a 15min strategy short trade..
  • #38,800
  • Oct 10, 2007 7:47am Oct 10, 2007 7:47am
At the moment, if you look on the hourly charts this looks to be just a retrace from the last move upwards. It's gone to the bottom of the retrace so I am personally thinking of buying this when the hourly candle closes. It will be closing with indecision by the way.
I dream, therefore I become.
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