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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #27,981
  • Sep 17, 2007 2:40pm Sep 17, 2007 2:40pm
Quoting jamesbond007700
HI MARKAM THE FED CUT SHUD BE GOOD FOR THE STOCKS RIGHT?
Hell if I know. I think they will move down within a day or two after the fed decision, but we will just have to wait and see.

One segment of the market seems to have decided whats going on. Both oil and gold are at record high levels, and were both up today. Not a good indicator for future strength of the dollar.
  • #27,982
  • Edited 2:44pm Sep 17, 2007 2:44pm | Edited 2:44pm
Quoting markam
Hell if I know. I think they will move down within a day or two after the fed decision, but we will just have to wait and see.

One segment of the market seems to have decided whats going on. Both oil and gold are at record high levels, and were both up today. Not a good indicator for future strength of the dollar.
You are absolutely correct.

Crude Oil Rises to Record $80.70 on Signs of Interest-Rate Cut
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...C4Q&refer=home
Humble Lifetime Member
  • #27,983
  • Sep 17, 2007 2:44pm Sep 17, 2007 2:44pm
Does anyone know historically how the gpd/jpy normally (even though I know there is no such thing) reacts to the Fed's rate decision? Does it spike fairly large? Does it just shoot in one direction? Does it just stay put and not really react much? I don't see that it would react incredibly largely.
I dream, therefore I become.
  • #27,984
  • Sep 17, 2007 2:45pm Sep 17, 2007 2:45pm
Watching the 4HR candle... will it close above 229.78?

That might loosely constitute an bullish engulfing pattern and trend
reversal.

Still, any close above the 1/2 way point on the previous bearish candle
in a downtrend is considered bullish and is called a 'piercing line - reversal'.

Careful all you shorts.
  • #27,985
  • Sep 17, 2007 2:51pm Sep 17, 2007 2:51pm
Quoting markam
Hell if I know. I think they will move down within a day or two after the fed decision, but we will just have to wait and see.

One segment of the market seems to have decided whats going on. Both oil and gold are at record high levels, and were both up today. Not a good indicator for future strength of the dollar.
FED CUT MAY BE STOCK POSITIVE(SPECIALLY IF ITS 50 BP INSTEAD OF 25) BUT THE $ MIGHT LOSE VALUE WHICH IN TURN MIGHT REFLECT IN GBP/JPY WHICH MEANS THE PAIR MIGHT NOT CORELATE ON THIS OCCASION RIGHT?
  • #27,986
  • Sep 17, 2007 2:54pm Sep 17, 2007 2:54pm
Quoting jamesbond007700
FED CUT MAY BE STOCK POSITIVE(SPECIALLY IF ITS 50 BP INSTEAD OF 25) BUT THE $ MIGHT LOSE VALUE WHICH IN TURN MIGHT REFLECT IN GBP/JPY WHICH MEANS THE PAIR MIGHT NOT CORELATE ON THIS OCCASION RIGHT?
why are you yelling?
  • #27,987
  • Sep 17, 2007 2:57pm Sep 17, 2007 2:57pm
Quoting jamesbond007700
FED CUT MAY BE STOCK POSITIVE(SPECIALLY IF ITS 50 BP INSTEAD OF 25) BUT THE $ MIGHT LOSE VALUE WHICH IN TURN MIGHT REFLECT IN GBP/JPY WHICH MEANS THE PAIR MIGHT NOT CORELATE ON THIS OCCASION RIGHT?
Deleted comment. Not thinking.
  • #27,988
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:03pm Sep 17, 2007 3:03pm
Quoting digitizer123
Listen you little punk . . leave it alone - enough is enough - we are constantly trying to make people understand the importance of proper money management and your Forex cowboy attitude is exactly what will send the wrong messege to a lot of new trader. Like I said before some of us are trading real account with real money - and any serious trader couldn't even think about trading with 100 leverage. While this kind of cowboy trades are fine for a demo or even a small account - not everyone here is trading mini lots - careful. Stop trying to be evasive - I don't care If you quadruple your mini account every hour but be careful posting cowboy trades.

Again I have absolutely nothing with you but If you don't stop this nonsense I promise I will come and find you in Brooklyn. I grew up in NY - won't be too long for me to trace you down starting with a trace of your IP address. Be careful - when dealing with people in a forum like this - you don't know who you are dealing with - not everyone in here is a college kid with a wishful thinking.

For the last time -drop the matter and stop calling me names
you are wasting my time and alot of people are being bothered.
oh snap! :surprised
  • #27,989
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:05pm Sep 17, 2007 3:05pm
Everybody is concantrated on the rate decision. But as an intraday trader I have to remind you other datas which will be coming tom and I hope to see a volatile market before the rate decision.
  • #27,990
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:06pm Sep 17, 2007 3:06pm
The Fed interest rate statement is scheduled at 18:15 GMT.
That 22 hours from now. Will the market go into a narrow range
until then?

Depending on your 4HR charts, the engulfling pattern didn't quite
materialize but came very close. Nevertheless, the piercing line -
reversal is in place confirming that stong downward movement or
momentum that had developed over the past 48 hours has been halted.
  • #27,991
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:10pm Sep 17, 2007 3:10pm
Tuesday, September 18th, 2007 (2:15 p.m. New York Time) USA
Then, we will have U.S. Interest Rate decision out of the United States. It is mostly expected that the US will cut the rate by 0.25%. If they cut the rate by 0.50%, I think GBP/USD may possibly go up by 50 pips or more in the first hour of the report. If they hold the rate at 5.25%, I think GBP/USD may possibly go down by 50 pips or more in the first hour of the report. There should be comments accommodating the statement, and comments are going to be important. Even if they are going to cut by 0.25% but some interesting comments are released, it may be a very tradable report.

@secretforexsociety.com
  • #27,992
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:11pm Sep 17, 2007 3:11pm
Quoting Basmati
why are you yelling?
SORRY BASMATI SOMETHING WRONG WITH MY CAPS KEY IT GOES ON AND OFF BY IT OWN. DONT LIKE TO PRESS SHIFT AND TYPE SUCH LONG SENTENCES PLS BEAR WITH ME
  • #27,993
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:14pm Sep 17, 2007 3:14pm
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
check the FF calender, loads of UK data tomorrow also, over my head but might make sense to someone.

USD Fed
UK CPI etc

great day to trade and im out all bloody day.

MPP
  • #27,994
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:14pm Sep 17, 2007 3:14pm
Quoting muzicmasti
Tuesday, September 18th, 2007 (2:15 p.m. New York Time) USA
Then, we will have U.S. Interest Rate decision out of the United States. It is mostly expected that the US will cut the rate by 0.25%. If they cut the rate by 0.50%, I think GBP/USD may possibly go up by 50 pips or more in the first hour of the report. If they hold the rate at 5.25%, I think GBP/USD may possibly go down by 50 pips or more in the first hour of the report. There should be comments accommodating the statement, and comments are going to be important. Even if they are going to cut by 0.25% but some interesting comments are released, it may be a very tradable report.
Mate please do not write quotations from other sources as your words. And if you do please state them
  • #27,995
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:16pm Sep 17, 2007 3:16pm
15mn aus'strategy signals a long position , but it doesn't look safe to take it
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #27,996
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:17pm Sep 17, 2007 3:17pm
Remember folks that are going to be long, trading countertrend can crush you.
I dream, therefore I become.
  • #27,997
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:19pm Sep 17, 2007 3:19pm
  •  MPP
  • Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Be yourself, everyone else is taken | 2,734 Posts
Quoting kuroro001
15mn aus'strategy signals a long position , but it doesn't look safe to take it

if in dout, stay out.

but it does have all the elements - except it's outside the time limits


4am GMT to 1500 GMT only
  • #27,998
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:22pm Sep 17, 2007 3:22pm
Quoting digitizer123
Listen you little punk . . leave it alone - enough is enough - we are constantly trying to make people understand the importance of proper money management and your Forex cowboy attitude is exactly what will send the wrong messege to a lot of new trader. Like I said before some of us are trading real account with real money - and any serious trader couldn't even think about trading with 100 leverage. While this kind of cowboy trades are fine for a demo or even a small account - not everyone here is trading mini lots - careful. Stop trying to be evasive - I don't care If you quadruple your mini account every hour but be careful posting cowboy trades.

Again I have absolutely nothing with you but If you don't stop this nonsense I promise I will come and find you in Brooklyn. I grew up in NY - won't be too long for me to trace you down starting with a trace of your IP address. Be careful - when dealing with people in a forum like this - you don't know who you are dealing with - not everyone in here is a college kid with a wishful thinking.

For the last time -drop the matter and stop calling me names
you are wasting my time and alot of people are being bothered.

Ooh, threats, I love threats. Please Please Pretty Please Do Come on Down to the attitude capitol of the world.

Enough said, I sent you a private message. You never replied. As far as threats are concerned, do what you please. Your threats are meaningless as you are insignificant.

Stop wasting other's time on this thread. I don't which boat you came off of but we don't make threats in this country. I deleted most of my replies geared toward you as I came to the conclusion that you are not even worthy of a reply. So, do what you must. Don't expect me hold my breath in anticipation.

Godspeed!
Humble Lifetime Member
  • #27,999
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:24pm Sep 17, 2007 3:24pm
Could the fibonacci lines on a 4HR chart coupled with the recent candlestick
reversal patterns leaves this behemoth ample license to range / retrace
again up to the 23.6 (230.18), the 38.2 (231.07) and even the 50 (231.77)
before the FOMC meeting and then it can fall, with the authority to do so.
  • #28,000
  • Sep 17, 2007 3:24pm Sep 17, 2007 3:24pm
Quoting MPP
if in dout, stay out.

but it does have all the elements - except it's outside the time limits


4am GMT to 1500 GMT only
Yeh, and when i look where the price is (below the kumo cloud on the 15mn chart), it's definitely not a good idea to be long from here
COT: The precious data ignored
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