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EURUSD only

  • #228,921
  • Jun 26, 10:22am (30 hr ago) Jun 26, 10:22am (30 hr ago)
Hi I'm new, short 1.1403.
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  • #228,922
  • Jun 26, 10:22am (30 hr ago) Jun 26, 10:22am (30 hr ago)
Quoting Leser
Bulls are playing really poorly I'm looking for a good short entry again. Bulls had their chance. What a bunch of losers—they didn't defend a single uptrend line. Todays uptrend lines are becoming resistance.
Maybe if you had had the balls to go long earlier instead of waiting for the perfect confirmation you would have been the butterfly to push it higher. Just kidding.
When the trumpet sounds, you won't be able to hear the techno anymore.
  • #228,923
  • Jun 26, 10:51am (29 hr ago) Jun 26, 10:51am (29 hr ago)
Quick D1 Recap

Today, 1.1421 area got retested... The test is still unfolding.. therefore: no rush...

And those who risk buying, just know that up until 1.1463 area we are still in bear territory.
Always double check and buy as deep as you can! I personally prefer to sell spikes though..

Cheers
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #228,924
  • Jun 26, 10:51am (29 hr ago) Jun 26, 10:51am (29 hr ago)
Still Long to 1.1475 - 1.15 Range to close out the month and then short to retest bottom on wave going into July.
  • #228,925
  • Edited 12:00pm Jun 26, 11:11am (29 hr ago) | Edited 12:00pm
Well, one thing has become increasingly clear: the Iran conflict is unlikely to end unless a genuine solution is found and lasting peace is restored. As long as that uncertainty remains, it will continue to weigh on the euro.

Just as a simple comparison: crude oil is trading almost back at the levels seen before the conflict began, yet EURUSD is only around 1.14. Before the conflict, it was trading above to 1.18! That, in my view, says a lot. Because of this, I now believe we are likely to see fresh lows for the year, even though I wrote that 1.1324 might have marked the year's bottom. My view has changed, and I now think the pair is likely to move even lower.

For now, I intend to use every rise as an opportunity to sell. Good luck and happy weekend to you all.
  • #228,926
  • Jun 26, 11:19am (29 hr ago) Jun 26, 11:19am (29 hr ago)
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} It seems to be a support, but for now I'll continue with this swing position. {image}
I entered a short position at Pivot R1 on May 8th at a price of 1.17690.
I exited the short trade and flipped my position; I am currently on the bullish side. Pivot S3 price is 1.13260.

I haven't set a Take Profit (TP) yet.
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Wishing everyone a wonderful and blessed weekend.


...
"No pain no gain"
  • #228,927
  • Jun 26, 12:03pm (28 hr ago) Jun 26, 12:03pm (28 hr ago)
i am locking for
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #228,928
  • Jun 26, 12:23pm (28 hr ago) Jun 26, 12:23pm (28 hr ago)
Last words before weekend. Since Wednesday afternoon (CET), the bulls managed to rally EURUSD from year's low at 1.1324 to today's high at 1.1434 — a move of 110 pips that took almost exactly two days. However, they've already given back half of those gains in just a few hours. To me, that says the bulls remain extremely weak, while the bears are clearly still in control.

In my view, the bulls have one last chance: they need to secure a weekly close above 1.1407. If they fail to do so, I expect fresh lows for the year to be made next week. But unless the bulls can regain momentum quickly, a weekly close above 1.1407 looks unlikely to me.
  • #228,929
  • Jun 26, 12:33pm (27 hr ago) Jun 26, 12:33pm (27 hr ago)
Quoting aayushjaiswa
i am locking for {image}
don't
  • #228,930
  • Jun 26, 12:53pm (27 hr ago) Jun 26, 12:53pm (27 hr ago)
The orange clown is live.
  • #228,931
  • Jun 26, 10:00pm (18 hr ago) Jun 26, 10:00pm (18 hr ago)
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
H1: I am getting ready to look for selling opportunities. The required condition: Candles must not open above 1.1394! As long as below, I will try selling with help of M15 or M5! Good luck {image}
Hi Ata Turkoglu, thanks for the analysis. Do you enter trades based only on the channel, or do you also consider fundamental reasons? Hope your trade hits the target.
  • #228,932
  • Jun 26, 10:23pm (18 hr ago) Jun 26, 10:23pm (18 hr ago)
Quoting Leser
Well, one thing has become increasingly clear: the Iran conflict is unlikely to end unless a genuine solution is found and lasting peace is restored. As long as that uncertainty remains, it will continue to weigh on the euro. Just as a simple comparison: crude oil is trading almost back at the levels seen before the conflict began, yet EURUSD is only around 1.14. Before the conflict, it was trading above to 1.18! That, in my view, says a lot. Because of this, I now believe we are likely to see fresh lows for the year, even though I wrote that 1.1324...
Unconfirmed rumor I heard is that US gov has some insane shorts on oil. The thing is if they cannot take control of the strait or get it re opened they will lose that position.
Only time will tell.... we'll find out sooner than later.


So as far as EURUSD is concerned, I'm watching to see if we get a failure to break today's high in the next 2 or 3 days daily candle, if we fail to close above bulls should just forget about it for now.
  • #228,933
  • Jun 27, 1:36am (14 hr ago) Jun 27, 1:36am (14 hr ago)
Quoting Aria.Adiban
{quote} Hi Ata Turkoglu, thanks for the analysis. Do you enter trades based only on the channel, or do you also consider fundamental reasons? Hope your trade hits the target.
I enter based on 85% technicals... Roughly 15% can be fundamentals but those are only regarding to FED/ECB rate hike or highly important numbers like FOMC, NFP and CPI...

The channel is mainly a guideline for me, not an entry tool.. I keep an eye on breakouts yes, but I don't enter solely based on channel breakouts.. That said, I might step down to the smallest timeframe and just before I put an order I can use the micro channel breakout for precise entry.. but again: a channel alone as a signal is not enough!

I hope it answers...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #228,934
  • Jun 27, 1:54am (14 hr ago) Jun 27, 1:54am (14 hr ago)
Quick H4 Outlook

To keep it simple: Bearish channel is intact. I want to keep selling yellow zone. 1.1414 is my current nearest resistance..

Because of weekend kicking in, I didn't leave any orders open, otherwise I would let my short orders run and continue watching if new breakout occurs.

On Monday, the duty is to sell as high as I can and then hoping for a breakout. OR, I could wait on sidelines and enter after a breakout. A matter of choice. The latter is safer but has the risk to miss out on high price entry because breakouts can print wild long candles sometimes and then it is too late to enter short at those lows. That's why I also step down to H1 or M15 to catch early signs.

Anyways.. That was my two cents... I hope it helps...

Wishing you all a happy weekend dear friends.. Peace out...
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #228,935
  • Jun 27, 5:38am (10 hr ago) Jun 27, 5:38am (10 hr ago)
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Welcome to "EURUSD only" Every trader loves to post his/her ideas and interact with other traders during exciting, frustrating and most of the times boring trading hours. I believe that the overall subconscious goal is to feel surrounded by living, breathing, real people.. friends.. like-minded personalities who knowingly or unknowingly help each other not to feel isolated from daily life. Otherwise, we would just sit in front of a screen for hours and have conversations with our inner voices, right? That sounds very pathetic to me, to be honest....
Hello, how can I try your indicator
  • #228,936
  • Jun 27, 8:50am (7 hr ago) Jun 27, 8:50am (7 hr ago)
Quoting Gregspecct
{quote} Hello, how can I try your indicator
It was shared on page 1.. Go to download link or click: here
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #228,937
  • Jun 27, 1:09pm (3 hr ago) Jun 27, 1:09pm (3 hr ago)
Ata, just a note of gratitude to you for sharing your trading methods and knowledge (as well as managing this thread). I really appreciate what you provide here!

Have a great weekend!

Ron
  • #228,938
  • Jun 27, 1:16pm (3 hr ago) Jun 27, 1:16pm (3 hr ago)
Quoting mrgummo
Ata, just a note of gratitude to you for sharing your trading methods and knowledge (as well as managing this thread). I really appreciate what you provide here! Have a great weekend! Ron
I absolutely agree with you
  • #228,939
  • Last Post: Jun 27, 1:42pm (2 hr 46 min ago) Jun 27, 1:42pm (2 hr 46 min ago)
Quoting mrgummo
Ata, just a note of gratitude to you for sharing your trading methods and knowledge (as well as managing this thread). I really appreciate what you provide here! Have a great weekend! Ron
Thanks a lot my brother for showing sincere gratitude and appreciation... It means a lot.. It really does...

God bless you and your loved ones...
Focus only on what truly matters!
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