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Price Action - CTA + Trader Psychology

  • #821
  • Jun 23, 2026 12:51am Jun 23, 2026 12:51am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} in 6 months, still probability stays very low for a .855 {image}
Well, that's a weekly chart. Till then
Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #822
  • Jun 23, 2026 5:56am Jun 23, 2026 5:56am
Quoting GhosTraderGT
{quote} So price finally arrived at 1.1450 support without going to 1.1500. So what is next? Bounce or break? {image}
EURUSD
Nice break. Look forward to see if Daily price closes below 1.1450 - 1.1380 support block.
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #823
  • Edited 8:07am Jun 23, 2026 6:05am | Edited 8:07am
AUDCAD D1/H4
Potential Triple Top

Pair has moved quite a lot today. Look forward to a reasonable retracement.
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #824
  • Jun 24, 2026 4:19am Jun 24, 2026 4:19am
Quoting GhosTraderGT
USDCHF Update Momentum building up this pair + Breakout will be explosive! Triple bullish combo setup. Till then as PA unfolds. {image}
Scenario 3 w1
Gradually approaching 0.8130 top of resistance block. Strong momentum so far in the week. Lets see if it closes above level.
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #825
  • Jun 24, 2026 4:22am Jun 24, 2026 4:22am
Quoting GhosTraderGT
{quote} USDCHF Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 {image}
Scenario 1 D1
Approaching Target 3 - 0.8140/0.8200 block
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #826
  • Jun 24, 2026 4:23am Jun 24, 2026 4:23am
Well, you are right but i will be holding because it may start buying long when the price hit 0.93478
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  • #827
  • Jun 24, 2026 4:28am Jun 24, 2026 4:28am
Quoting GhosTraderGT
AUDCAD D1/H4 Potential Triple Top Pair has moved quite a lot today. Look forward to a reasonable retracement. {image} {image}
Still Holding Till towards 0.93478
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  • #828
  • Edited 4:47am Jun 24, 2026 4:33am | Edited 4:47am
Quoting GhosTraderGT
{quote} USD INDeX Update {image} {image}
Dollar "might" just take a pause here for the week. Its mid week though. Then we'd also expect it to complete it's DOUBLE BOTTOM PATTERN.
Anticipate retracements/pullbacks on most dollar pairs especially most hit currencies in the week as USD RSI is making a double top (probability).

What a week, experiencing strong currencies' divergence.
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #829
  • Jun 24, 2026 5:11am Jun 24, 2026 5:11am
Quoting GhosTraderGT
{quote} Gold Update Likely support will be tested again and may continue to the downside. {image} {image}
Gold Update
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #830
  • Edited 10:41am Jun 24, 2026 5:20am | Edited 10:41am
Quoting GhosTraderGT
{quote} EURUSD Nice break. Look forward to see if Daily price closes below 1.1450 - 1.1380 support block. {image} {image}
EURUSD Scenario 1 & 2.

Price broke, closed and held 1.1380 last line of support previous day. So may expect a pull back and continuation scenario and may likely have the lower trend line acting as support in the future.
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #831
  • Jun 24, 2026 5:27am Jun 24, 2026 5:27am
Quoting PorryJr
{quote} Still Holding Till towards 0.93478 {image}
Nice
Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #832
  • Jun 24, 2026 8:03am Jun 24, 2026 8:03am
Quoting PorryJr
Well, you are right but i will be holding because it may start buying long when the price hit 0.93478 {image}
Facing a barrier at 0.980 (channel support).
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #833
  • Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm
NZDCAD 130+ PIPs down-move impending??

Overview:
Price was moving in a bullish structure making higher highs and higher lows, respecting the bullish trendline multiple times. The Upswing was met with a longer term bearish trendline intact since Nov-2017, and got rejected as per expectations, marked by red arrow. following to the rejection price started to make lower highs and broke below the bullish trendline and has managed to break below the yellow rectangle which is acting as neckline for the top structure.

Setup:
We are expecting as short term pullback, which would lead to the retest of neckline and after that, fresh short entries could be made below the previous low (from where the pullback started), Stoploss could be placed above the high of the reversal point (from where the price would continues to move in the lower direction). A continued down-move could retest the base (path market by black arrows) as price has shown that tendency multiple times in the past.

Broader outlook for near to mid term seems bearish, and trades aligned with the outlook should be attempted for better hit rate.

Any new perspective you want to add, Please feel free to mention below in the comment.

For Educational Purposes only, Not an Investment Advice, Always use strict Risk management measures.
Regards CrazyTrades247.
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  • #834
  • Jun 24, 2026 6:34pm Jun 24, 2026 6:34pm
EURGBP after & Journaling
1.Feeling nervous, actively looking chart... which I should not be doing so
Don't try to predict the market! I know it is hard to not see chart frequently...
2.Why I am out without hitting the stop loss?
Slippage and Spread, what you see is the Bid price, not Ask price! Was kicked out before lower highs
3.What do you think about the entry?
Maybe, Weekly trend takes more time to verify... You are trying to short a weekly with H4! HTF is used and only used to verify trends.

Result: -2.6% ( Expecting -2.0%(Slippage!) )
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  • #835
  • Edited 10:22am Jun 25, 2026 3:54am | Edited 10:22am
Look forward to see how this will play out.
Pretty sure lots of traders will be short on this pair and getting frustrated as both the YEN and dollar are very much correlated in the week.
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #836
  • Edited Jun 26, 2026 2:40am Jun 25, 2026 9:05am | Edited Jun 26, 2026 2:40am
If the ATR indicator is one of your favourite tool, here you go.
Took idea from an old indicator and came up with a more powerful All-In-1 ATR tool. Hope you will find it useful.
BEFORE AND AFTER

1. All current True Ranges at a glance
The panel shows all enabled timeframes (M1→MN1) in a single view. Each row gives you two numbers side by side — the ATR (average range over your set period) and the current bar's True Range. You can see at a glance which timeframes are still "in play" and which have already exhausted their typical range. Disable any timeframe you don't need.

2. Visual alert when a timeframe has met its ATR range
When a timeframe's True Range equals or exceeds its ATR, the T.Range value turns green. This is your signal that the range target has been met on that TF. One practical edge: HTF met, LTF momentum fading/trend exhaustion. Pop up alert also configurable. You can select which timeframe(s) you want to receive alerts when range target has been met.

3. ATR range lines on chart
Two short dashed segments are drawn directly on the chart at Open + ATR (upper) and Open − ATR (lower) for whichever timeframe you are currently viewing. Keep bar_shift at 0. When the candle's True Range meets the ATR, both lines turn green to match the dashboard. Toggle with Show_Range_Lines = true/false in inputs. Line colour, style and thickness are all configurable.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 ATR_TR_TFvalues.ex4   33 KB | 6 downloads
Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #837
  • Edited 10:30pm Jun 25, 2026 10:52am | Edited 10:30pm
Quoting GhosTraderGT
{quote} Dollar "might" just take a pause here for the week. Its mid week though. Then we'd also expect it to complete it's DOUBLE BOTTOM PATTERN. Anticipate retracements/pullbacks on most dollar pairs especially most hit currencies in the week as USD RSI is making a double top (probability). What a week, experiencing strong currencies' divergence. {image} {image}
Dollar really looked overbought yesterday.
Lets see how far it would retrace based on measured move. Maybe to support block (previous resistance).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #838
  • Jun 25, 2026 10:59am Jun 25, 2026 10:59am
Quoting CrazyTrades
NZDCAD 130+ PIPs down-move impending?? Overview: Price was moving in a bullish structure making higher highs and higher lows, respecting the bullish trendline multiple times. The Upswing was met with a longer term bearish trendline intact since Nov-2017, and got rejected as per expectations, marked by red arrow. following to the rejection price started to make lower highs and broke below the bullish trendline and has managed to break below the yellow rectangle which is acting as neckline for the top structure. Setup: We are expecting as short term...
CrazyTrades
Look forward to more analysis.
Cheers.
Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #839
  • Edited Jun 26, 2026 2:08am Jun 25, 2026 9:48pm | Edited Jun 26, 2026 2:08am
AUD is in for a ride. Strong reversal pattern identified/probably a deep retracement expected. "Roof Top" + "Potential A & E".

I'd expect to see some retracements though, the weekly W1 candle is stretched and ATR target hit already but daily D1 still pending.
Spotted this late.

Till then.
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #840
  • Edited Jun 26, 2026 4:09am Jun 25, 2026 10:41pm | Edited Jun 26, 2026 4:09am
Quoting GhosTraderGT
{quote} EURAUD update {image} {image}
EURAUD update
Should expect a move to 1.6700 - 1.6800 in the coming weeks once close (weekly candle) above resistance.
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
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