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EURUSD only

  • #228,781
  • Jun 24, 12:02am (14 hr ago) Jun 24, 12:02am (14 hr ago)
Quoting Cavar
I’m reading candle momentum over time, and so far, the heavy volume is still strictly on the sell side. Just look at the strength on the M15. Last bullish candle vs. the bearish engulfing one. Who’s really in control here? Have the bulls managed to break the previous high? Not once in a whole week.
seems like the bull still has to go up a lil bit before the bears take over. Not much liquidity to support the bears for further downside movement.
You can be wrong half of the time and still make a fortune
  • #228,782
  • Jun 24, 12:03am (14 hr ago) Jun 24, 12:03am (14 hr ago)
Quoting Th3W1z4rd
Anybody selling EURUSD today?
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  • #228,783
  • Jun 24, 12:11am (14 hr ago) Jun 24, 12:11am (14 hr ago)
Quoting Vikolee
{quote} seems like the bull still has to go up a lil bit before the bears take over. Not much liquidity to support the bears for further downside movement.
Thursday options expiry sitting at 1.1300 1,5bn and 1.1500 2,5bn . Let's see how the day unfolds
  • #228,784
  • Jun 24, 12:27am (14 hr ago) Jun 24, 12:27am (14 hr ago)
Quoting Th3W1z4rd
{quote} {image}
In my case, I took advantage of that small manipulation to get in.
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  • #228,785
  • Jun 24, 12:36am (14 hr ago) Jun 24, 12:36am (14 hr ago)
Quoting AmDrafax
{quote} In my case, I took advantage of that small manipulation to get in. {image}
What timeframe candles are those?
  • #228,786
  • Jun 24, 12:37am (14 hr ago) Jun 24, 12:37am (14 hr ago)
The rubber band is being stretched further and further, and in the end there are only two possible outcomes: either it snaps, or it springs back violently. Both scenarios are potentially dangerous for both sides — bears and bulls alike. For now, I’m staying out of the market and simply watching the price action unfold, because I have no intention of getting run over. Patience is key here. I’ll wait for clearer signals before taking any positions.

Until then, good luck.
  • #228,787
  • Jun 24, 12:41am (14 hr ago) Jun 24, 12:41am (14 hr ago)
Quoting Th3W1z4rd
{quote} What timeframe candles are those?
M15, brother
  • #228,788
  • Jun 24, 12:54am (13 hr ago) Jun 24, 12:54am (13 hr ago)
Quoting AmDrafax
{quote} M15, brother
Oh okay, that's a pretty decent entry I think.
  • #228,789
  • Jun 24, 1:27am (13 hr ago) Jun 24, 1:27am (13 hr ago)
Last post for a while, just quick update from last night and long term targets.
Last night wanted to catch a short entry because I believed we would close below the low(on daily chart) as discussed, was a fairly small trade lot size wise but solid pips off a quick analysis and pending order

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Gonna let it run to 1.1300, already marked partials on charts
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Now for my actual long term trades, ended up taking liquidity before rebalancing so I capitalized with this small trade above, and then my main hold trades are obviously benefiting from the bears, below are where partials will be taken
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Now as I wait ill be continuing to trade intraday and look for the next best long term set ups as the next few days/weeks play out, but for now all my trades are taken care of(any large trade is already BE with partials taken) and ive already secured a solid chunk from this first leg down. Wont be checking the forum for a while again but good luck to you all, were all gonna make it brah
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  • #228,790
  • Jun 24, 1:36am (13 hr ago) Jun 24, 1:36am (13 hr ago)
Just keep in mind that EURUSD has already fallen more than 300 pips this month, and the month isn't even over yet.

With every additional pip lower, the situation becomes increasingly dangerous for the bears, because at some point there will simply be no new sellers left to join the move. At the same time, the bulls are also staying out, waiting for a clear buy signal before stepping in. So the question remains: who will blink first? The moment that happens, we could see a brutal counter-move. That's always been the case with extremely stretched markets, whether to the upside or the downside.

Nothing moves in a straight line forever. So, stay alert.

PS: And I think the big players are simply waiting for the right moment to trigger a proper short squeeze.
  • #228,791
  • Jun 24, 2:50am (11 hr ago) Jun 24, 2:50am (11 hr ago)
Quoting Leser
Just keep in mind that EURUSD has already fallen more than 300 pips this month, and the month isn't even over yet. With every additional pip lower, the situation becomes increasingly dangerous for the bears, because at some point there will simply be no new sellers left to join the move. At the same time, the bulls are also staying out, waiting for a clear buy signal before stepping in. So the question remains: who will blink first? The moment that happens, we could see a brutal counter-move. That's always been the case with extremely stretched...
True but remember, the average range for the month is 400 pips, meaning we still have about 100 pips more to go. We just hit 3rd support for the month (1.13377) and most importantly, yearly pivot which sits at 1.12805 is very close. I think it won't stop till it reaches that pivot and based on technical analysis, the real end point is at 1.1100 zone. Just enjoy the ride until price gives you a reason to switch direction.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #228,792
  • Jun 24, 3:06am (11 hr ago) Jun 24, 3:06am (11 hr ago)
H4 and h1 RSI
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Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #228,793
  • Jun 24, 3:09am (11 hr ago) Jun 24, 3:09am (11 hr ago)
Quoting Ahmedskaf
{quote} Buy a second position 1.13867
Stop-loss: -14 points
The losses from three trades yesterday totaled 38 points; it’s not bad—things are under control.
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #228,794
  • Jun 24, 3:11am (11 hr ago) Jun 24, 3:11am (11 hr ago)
No higher high, no higher low = nothing to change the direction. Simple as that

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As a reminder for bulls, To indicate a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend, we need to see:
1) higher high and # 2 on pic
2) a higher low then # 3 on pic
3) confirmation of this trend reversal is achieved when the price breaks above the previous high! our #1

So far, we haven't even met the first point
  • #228,795
  • Jun 24, 3:16am (11 hr ago) Jun 24, 3:16am (11 hr ago)
Quoting Cavar
No higher high, no higher low = nothing to change the direction. Simple as that {image} As a reminder for bulls, To indicate a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend, we need to see: 1) higher high and 2) a higher low then 3) confirmation of this trend reversal is achieved when the price breaks above the previous high! our #1 So far, we haven't even met the first point
1- Frankly, I feel somewhat frustrated;

2- The market is not offering clear buying or selling opportunities, and the situation is rather complex.

3- Nevertheless, those currently benefiting from this sharp decline are the holders of long positions.

4- Congratulations to the holders of long positions.
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #228,796
  • Jun 24, 3:32am (11 hr ago) Jun 24, 3:32am (11 hr ago)
bought 1.13399 , I expect at least a retracement before continuing the bears, or maybe we even have a reversal this days, but I'm not going after that at the moment, no sign has appeared, good luck everyone
  • #228,797
  • Jun 24, 4:17am (10 hr ago) Jun 24, 4:17am (10 hr ago)
1.13370 is showing some support.
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #228,798
  • Jun 24, 4:34am (10 hr ago) Jun 24, 4:34am (10 hr ago)
Quoting AST17
bought 1.13399 , I expect at least a retracement before continuing the bears, or maybe we even have a reversal this days, but I'm not going after that at the moment, no sign has appeared, good luck everyone
Been burned all week trying to stop the market. Not worth it. I'm out until we correct back to 1.14000.
Easy Does it.
  • #228,799
  • Jun 24, 4:47am (9 hr ago) Jun 24, 4:47am (9 hr ago)
Quoting stealyerface
{quote} Been burned all week trying to stop the market. Not worth it. I'm out until we correct back to 1.14000.
I just took the profits from the sales and I allocate a little capital to a riskier trade..sl is tight anyway, I don't mind the loss so much and thats why..I thought about ensuring the transaction at BE now,but I prefer to let it run in the NY session..we'll see what happens, I wish yall a beautiful and productive day!!
  • #228,800
  • Jun 24, 4:50am (9 hr ago) Jun 24, 4:50am (9 hr ago)
Quoting AST17
{quote} I just took the profits from the sales and I allocate a little capital to a riskier trade..sl is tight anyway, I don't mind the loss so much and thats why..I thought about ensuring the transaction at BE now,but I prefer to let it run in the NY session..we'll see what happens, I wish yall a beautiful and productive day!!
Same to you!!!
Easy Does it.
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