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Daily Forex Insights

  • #1
  • First Post: Sep 5, 2007 2:00am Sep 5, 2007 2:00am
Hello everybody,

From now on I will share with the Forex Factory community my insights in the following assets:

EUR/USD
USD/JPY
USD/CHF
GBP/USD
EUR/JPY
EUR/GBP
GBP/JPY
USD/CAD
AUD/USD
NZD/USD

Maybe in the future I will add some others. The insights will have the next format:

ASSET
BIAS (bullish or bearish)
MODE (active or passive)
COMMENT

Hope this helps everybody here.

Cheers,

iiivb
  • #2
  • Sep 5, 2007 2:05am Sep 5, 2007 2:05am
Hello iivb, been a while since I have chatted with you.

I will for sure come in and see what your going to share, will this be an hourly analysis, or longer term?

Thanks, and good to see you again bro.

Ken
  • #3
  • Sep 5, 2007 2:12am Sep 5, 2007 2:12am
Quoting monarch
Hello iivb, been a while since I have chatted with you.

I will for sure come in and see what your going to share, will this be an hourly analysis, or longer term?

Thanks, and good to see you again bro.

Ken
Very glad to see you again Monarch+!

Well my insights will be my very personal interpretation of the market based on daily charts.

Hope you visit this thread from time to time friend!

iiivb
  • #4
  • Sep 5, 2007 2:14am Sep 5, 2007 2:14am
Quoting iiivb
Very glad to see you again Monarch+!

Well my insights will be my very personal interpretation of the market based on daily charts.

Hope you visit this thread from time to time friend!

iiivb
So will that be at 5pm EST on a Daily Candle Close?
  • #5
  • Edited 4:25am Sep 5, 2007 2:19am | Edited 4:25am

  1. EUR/USD

    1. Bias

      1. Bullish

    2. Mode

      1. Passive

    3. Comment

      1. Even though the strong recovery of the last days, I think this asset is poised for the upside but I am waiting some price action confirmation

  2. USD/JPY

    1. Bias

      1. Bearish

    2. Mode

      1. Passive

    3. Comment

      1. Risk-appetite apparently came back last week but I still want to see this consolidation to stay some more days to change my bias to bullish. In the other hand if risk-aversion appears again –specially in the NYSE- I will change mode to active

  3. USD/CHF

    1. Bias

      1. Bullish

    2. Mode

      1. Active

    3. Comment

      1. Hopefully this asset will wake-up after several months of range trading. Apparently the bearish attempt of the last month failed. I am expecting this asset to continue climbing

  4. GBP/USD

    1. Bias

      1. Bullish

    2. Mode

      1. Active

    3. Comment

      1. Though the yesterday’s and today’s bizarre price action I still consider it will rise but of course if carry-trades unwind again, this asset along with the EUR/USD will unwind too

  5. EUR/JPY

    1. Bias

      1. Bearish

    2. Mode

      1. Passive

    3. Comment

      1. Same as USD/JPY

  6. EUR/GBP

    1. Bias

      1. Bullish

    2. Mode

      1. Passive

    3. Comment

      1. Though my insight here is for the upside, if the EUR/USD & GBP/USD do move higher and Cable keeps the greater proportion in movement, maybe we will continue to see this asset as passive.

  7. GBP/JPY

    1. Bias

      1. Bearish

    2. Mode

      1. Passive

    3. Comment

      1. Same as USD/JPY

  8. USD/CAD

    1. Bias

      1. Bearish

    2. Mode

      1. Active

    3. Comment

      1. Overall long-term sentiment for this asset remains bearish and after the last two weeks' pullback meant a nice opportunity to go short. Apparently this asset is now trying to build a bottom (since last month) and if this bottom fails we could see this one to go lower but remember that the 1.0000 level is critical, and maybe we do not have the boosting fundamentals needed for a breakout to that price.

  9. AUD/USD

    1. Bias

      1. Bullish

    2. Mode

      1. Active

    3. Comment

      1. Though it is related to carry-trades, this one was the less affected and the one that recovered proportionaly the most part of the lost terrain after the Credit Crunch. I am bullish though yesterday's and today's behaviour.

  10. NZD/USD

    1. Bias

      1. Bearish

    2. Mode

      1. Active

    3. Comment

      1. Contradicts bullish sentiment of the Aussie but this asset was the weakest one. Last week when carry-trades had a boost this one was very slow. Than makes me think it is still needed more price action to deny this bearish sentiment. Aussi and Kiwi against each other can work as a nice hedge too.

  • #6
  • Sep 5, 2007 3:05am Sep 5, 2007 3:05am
Quoting monarch
So will that be at 5pm EST on a Daily Candle Close?
I consider daily closes @ 00:00 GMT but I will post/modify my insights aproximately @ Europe/U.K. market open; maybe some hours before.

Hope to see you around!

iiivb
  • #7
  • Edited 3:06am Sep 6, 2007 1:12am | Edited 3:06am
EUR/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
Yesterday's rally indicates the bias may be right but I
would like to see today's price action to change the mode
to active. ECB expected to keep rates unchanged but market
conditions may cause unexpected changes. Due to Cable behaviour I
just decided to change it to active mode

USD/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
Yesterday's fall indicates a probable risk-aversion concern
again

USD/CHF
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
Yesterday's dip denies bullish momentum but after reviewing my technical indicators I reconsidered the status of this asset and changed it to active

GBP/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
Strong rally yesterday. May continue though BoE is expected
to keep interest rate unchanged though market changes could favor
some rates surprising movements

EUR/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
Same as USD/JPY but EUR/USD strength allows this asset to
maintain its passive bearish situation BUT again after reviewing my levels I think is a good chance to change this mode to active -overall due to DJIA behaviour yesterday-

EUR/GBP
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Passive
Comment
If EUR/USD & GBP/USD remain bullish with the same
proportions this asset will change to bearish bias soon

GBP/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
Same as EUR/JPY (just change EUR/USD to GBP/USD)

USD/CAD
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
Apparently this asset is trying to build a bottom but oil
futures yesterday's rally may help CAD to force USD down.
This could be the boost this asset needed to continue its
way down

AUD/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
Yesterday's price action did not confirm bullish momentum
so now it is in passive mode BUT after reviewing technicals I
decided to change it to active mode

NZD/USD
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
Bearishness still active. Now you can see in your charts
the weakness this asset has had the last two weeks
  • #8
  • Sep 6, 2007 2:20am Sep 6, 2007 2:20am
Great Work iiivb.

Thank you for sharing. I will look forward to your daily post here.

EG
  • #9
  • Sep 6, 2007 2:28am Sep 6, 2007 2:28am
Quoting el grande
Great Work iiivb.

Thank you for sharing. I will look forward to your daily post here.

EG
Thank you buddy!

You'll be very welcome to my thread!



iiivb
  • #10
  • Sep 6, 2007 8:17pm Sep 6, 2007 8:17pm
much appreciated. I will be looking forward to it.

Andy


Quoting iiivb
Hello everybody,

From now on I will share with the Forex Factory community my insights in the following assets:

EUR/USD
USD/JPY
USD/CHF
GBP/USD
EUR/JPY
EUR/GBP
GBP/JPY
USD/CAD
AUD/USD
NZD/USD

Maybe in the future I will add some others. The insights will have the next format:

ASSET
BIAS (bullish or bearish)
MODE (active or passive)
COMMENT

Hope this helps everybody here.

Cheers,

iiivb
  • #11
  • Sep 6, 2007 10:42pm Sep 6, 2007 10:42pm
EUR/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
The Euro effectively rallied strong though there was no rate hike
of the ECB. This asset should continue with a strong upward bias the
whole next week.

USD/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
Recent fall was denied due to DJIA neutral behaviour yesterday showing that risk-appetite is gradually appearing again. Probably next week this asset will become bullish.

USD/CHF
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Passive
Comment
There was no sign of recovery of the current bullish trend this day

GBP/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
The Cable rallied strong too -along with the Euro- due to possible Fed's rate-cut.

EUR/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
Same as USD/JPY

EUR/GBP
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Passive
Comment
Cable and Euro proportions and equal directions have kept this asset as passive. There are strong chances that it will change its bias to bearish
soon.

GBP/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
Same as USD/JPY

USD/CAD
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
Loonie was not able to continue its way lower due to lack of fundamentals. It is likely that this asset is building a long-term bottom here.

AUD/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
Strong rally yesterday renewed the bullish expectations of this asset specially for the next week.

NZD/USD
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
Bearishness still active though Kiwi was not able to continue its way lower.
If the carry-trades become strong next week this asset could change its bias to bullish very fast.
  • #12
  • Sep 7, 2007 6:28am Sep 7, 2007 6:28am
Quoting EFXandy
much appreciated. I will be looking forward to it.

Andy
Your welcome bro! Welcome to my thread!

iiivb
  • #13
  • Edited 2:15am Sep 17, 2007 2:03am | Edited 2:15am
EUR/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/CHF
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

GBP/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

EUR/JPY
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

EUR/GBP
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

GBP/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/CAD
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

AUD/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

NZD/USD
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)
  • #14
  • Edited Sep 18, 2007 2:39am Sep 17, 2007 8:26pm | Edited Sep 18, 2007 2:39am
EUR/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/CHF
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

GBP/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

EUR/JPY
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

EUR/GBP
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

GBP/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/CAD
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

AUD/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

NZD/USD
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/DKK
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

NZD/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

EUR/NOK
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

EUR/CHF
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/MXN
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

XAU/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

DJI.I (CFD)
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

US DOLLAR INDEX
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

CAD/JPY
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)
  • #15
  • Sep 18, 2007 2:45am Sep 18, 2007 2:45am
Media announcing BoE providing liquidity; stocks and GBP reacting positively.
  • #16
  • Sep 18, 2007 3:54am Sep 18, 2007 3:54am
If somebody uses any of the following assets:

EUR/AUD
GBP/CHF
EUR/CAD
CHF/JPY
AUD/NZD
AUD/JPY
AUD/CAD

Please let me know it to determine if it worths it to post their insights too.

iiivb
  • #17
  • Sep 18, 2007 1:38pm Sep 18, 2007 1:38pm
Well, the FED cut rates 0.50%!

Stocks, Carry-trades soaring...

EUR/USD & GBP/USD rallied too...

iiivb
  • #18
  • Sep 18, 2007 6:22pm Sep 18, 2007 6:22pm
EUR/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/CHF
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

GBP/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

EUR/JPY
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

EUR/GBP
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

GBP/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/CAD
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

AUD/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

NZD/USD
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/DKK
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

NZD/JPY
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Passive
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

EUR/NOK
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

EUR/CHF
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

USD/MXN
Bias
Bearish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

XAU/USD
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

DJI.I (CFD)
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)

CAD/JPY
Bias
Bullish
Mode
Active
Comment
COD (Comment On Demand)
  • #19
  • Last Post: Sep 10, 2024 11:53pm Sep 10, 2024 11:53pm
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