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Make More Money - Eliminate DRAMA 11 replies

Just posting my trades, everyone is welcome but no drama 2 replies

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Gold with No Drama

  • #58,561
  • Jun 20, 12:38pm (13 hr ago) Jun 20, 12:38pm (13 hr ago)
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook

XAUUSD swept Weekly swing low liquidity and reacted from a 4H/1H bullish POI, keeping my higher-timeframe bias bullish. On the Daily timeframe, price rejected from an Advance Bearish OB and is currently delivering toward Daily swing low liquidity.

For Monday, I have two main scenarios. If price opens with a gap down and sweeps Daily swing low liquidity, I will wait for Bullish Displacement + MSS on LTF and look for a long setup on retest. If price opens flat, I will watch the 4H/1H refined Bullish OB FVG. A strong rejection from this zone can give a long opportunity targeting the Bearish OB FVG / Weekly Volume Imbalance.

If the 4H/1H demand zone fails with strong bearish displacement, price may continue toward Daily SSL first. After that liquidity sweep, I will again look for bullish confirmation in line with the Weekly bias.

Bias: Bullish HTF, but waiting for Monday opening reaction.
Execution Model: Liquidity Sweep → MSS → Displacement → Retest → Entry.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Aryan yadav
  • #58,562
  • Jun 20, 1:11pm (12 hr ago) Jun 20, 1:11pm (12 hr ago)
Yet to see another legendary gap
  • #58,563
  • Jun 20, 1:36pm (12 hr ago) Jun 20, 1:36pm (12 hr ago)
Quoting RiccoLopes
Hello everybody. I actually need multiple selection to be sincerely answering the poll - global uncertainty, dollar direction and inflation are making this harder and harder. But this new strange relation gold is having with Iran/US war is bothering me. It shows necessity rules, I don't know for how long Trump is going to be able to keep this, many powers want to work around dollar/oil dependence, seems like US only hope is microchips, for now. If Trump dives US into deep war with Iran, not even nuclear deterrent will stop China from taking Taiwan,...
Gold remains the ultimate systemic hedge in 2026 as macroeconomic shifts and intensifying geopolitical flashpoints fundamentally alter traditional market behaviors.
------------------------------
## Track the Macro Drivers

* Geopolitical Realignment: Escalations in the Middle East disrupt supply chains and fuel energy insecurity.
* De-Dollarisation: Central banks accelerate gold accumulation to bypass US dollar dominance.
* Inflationary Pressures: Stubborn structural inflation erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies.
* Weaponised Finance: Sanctions push rival powers to construct alternative payment networks.

------------------------------
## Analyze the Gold-War Paradigm
The traditional relationship between gold and geopolitical conflict has shifted from temporary panic-buying to permanent structural pricing.

[Geopolitical Conflict] ──> [Sanctions Risk] ──> [Central Bank Diversification] ──> [Structural Gold Demand]


* Necessity Pricing: Gold now prices in the systemic risk of asset freezes and currency weaponisation.
* Sanction Insulation: Nations buy gold because it cannot be frozen by foreign powers.
* Resource Nationalism: Oil-producing states increasingly demand tangible assets over fiat reserves.
* Declining Deterrence: Diminishing trust in Western financial hegemony drives long-term accumulation.

------------------------------
## Evaluate the Strategic Stakes

| Core Factor | Current Market Impact | 10-Year Structural Outlook |
|---|---|---|
| US Hegemony & Chips | AI and semiconductor manufacturing form the primary economic defense. | Control over advanced supply chains dictates global economic dominance. |
| Taiwan Flashpoint | Heightened regional tensions increase the baseline risk premium. | Strategic deterrence relies on technological and supply chain isolation. |
| Paradigm Shifts | AI breakthroughs drive capital into high-growth tech sectors. | Quantum computing and energy innovations represent the next hegemony anchor. |

------------------------------
## Step-by-Step Portfolio Navigation Plan

1. Secure the Core Baseline
* Maintain a permanent allocation to physical gold or allocated gold accounts.
* Treat precious metals as non-correlated systemic insurance, not a short-term trade.
2. Hedge Technological Supply Chains
* Diversify equity exposure into critical infrastructure and hardware providers.
* Focus on semiconductor firms with geographically diversified manufacturing bases.
3. Neutralize Fiat Vulnerabilities
* Reduce over-reliance on a single currency system.
* Utilize multi-currency accounts or short-duration sovereign debt to manage liquidity.

------------------------------
## Mitigate Your Financial Blind Spots

* Liquidity Chokepoints: Ensure your physical assets or brokerages are accessible during market halts.
* Underestimating Tech Resilience: Do not short US equities purely on geopolitical headlines; tech innovation often thrives during state-backed competitions.
* Over-Leverage: Avoid high-leverage trades in volatile commodities during active geopolitical escalations.

------------------------------
To tailor this market outlook to your specific situation, what percentage of your portfolio is currently exposed to US dollar-denominated assets? Are you primarily looking to preserve capital or capture growth during this volatility?
  • #58,564
  • Edited 3:55pm Jun 20, 3:20pm (10 hr ago) | Edited 3:55pm
Quoting RiccoLopes
Hello everybody. I actually need multiple selection to be sincerely answering the poll - global uncertainty, dollar direction and inflation are making this harder and harder. But this new strange relation gold is having with Iran/US war is bothering me. It shows necessity rules, I don't know for how long Trump is going to be able to keep this, many powers want to work around dollar/oil dependence, seems like US only hope is microchips, for now. If Trump dives US into deep war with Iran, not even nuclear deterrent will stop...
this reply isnt so much just to you as it is to everybody in here

theres no strange relation with gold and war....youve been fed bullshit by kitco who tries to sell you gold and all the imbeciles on youtube and people in here that war makes gold go up in value

lets examine the weekly charts shall we?

first chart is 2014
second is the invasion of ukraine
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short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #58,565
  • Jun 20, 3:32pm (10 hr ago) Jun 20, 3:32pm (10 hr ago)
i been sayin all this year the gold bull market is all about trumps tariffs...metal users and even some central banks were buying it so theyd have a supply for their electricsal producers could keep making iphones cause everyone was scared of supply disruptions since they didnt know what kind of stupid shit hump was gona do next and gold imploded on the very day the world exchanges raised margins to stop it going up

Quoting Zebi
President Donald Trump announced his most sweeping tariffs of 2025 on April 2, 2025, during a speech at the White House. Proclaiming the date "Liberation Day", he signed an executive order establishing baseline "reciprocal" tariffs on nearly all foreign import and the idiot kept screwing around with the world with tariffs making gold go up ...thats right gentlemen you been following the wrong narritive this whole time....the reason for the gold advance wasnt about any reasons spouted on forex factory or in the news media except tariffs LOL central banks were buyin gold cause of the stupid taxes hump was foisting on world trade and once all the world futures exchanges raised margins is when gold cratered...then a month later the supreme court ruled his tariffs illegal on feb 20th and even the war isnt able to save gold price i dont want to make bools cry in their soup but i see gold retreating to that white line from where it started its bull run cause of tariffs since hump cant use them against countries anymore ill save this post to brag in a year or two when price gets there so dont stay ignorant gentlemen and believe the bullshit thats said here and in the news and get inquisitive and write text on your charts so ypou dont forget why price made a move one way or the other...it will help you succeed fundamentals rule on higher timeframes...technicals just intraday and daily.. technicals not what causes markets to move...technicals just a representation of human nature and behavior {image}
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short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #58,566
  • Edited 3:52pm Jun 20, 3:35pm (10 hr ago) | Edited 3:52pm
the other part is how gold reacts when governments and powerful industrial companies put the skids on metals prices and how it rasnges for years and years

Quoting Zebi
{quote} i dont mind yeah thats valid....when price falls down to 4000 shud bounce and print the right shoulder of a hunchback H+S amd start goin down probably for the rest of trumps term what bools keep forgetting is precious metals like ranging for up to a decade like gold and especially silver do after they get smacked down cause of margin increases i dont want to sound demeaning but forex factory full of people that have no idea how real trading works LOL they all play around with prop money or cfd brokers but the real world buys and sells gold on futures exchanges so when they raise margins means funds and governments have to fork over more money to hold the same speculative positions so that puts a crimp into demand there may be demand to buy more gold but unless the hedge funds get somemore money deposited in their accounts they cant buy more contracts since the price to play went up which doesnt happen on props or even the cfd bucketshop brokers which is what all these newbies dont understand...nobody besides monopoly money prop firm dipshits can buy gold for the 100 dollars a prop challenge costs.... in real life it costs much more ROFLMAO heres a long ass chart of whats gona happen to gold ...i already posted a silver chart last week {image}
youre gona be old men gentlemen before gold breaks out to new highs LOL
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short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #58,567
  • Jun 20, 3:40pm (10 hr ago) Jun 20, 3:40pm (10 hr ago)
so the combination of futures exchanges raising margins in janurary and then scotus ruling trumps tariffs are illegal a month later killed the bull market...

anyone that thinks gold is goin back up to the highs anytime soom will prolly lose all their money and be ditch diggers or on welfare

so in conclusion id advise people to do ho,ework and believe their own eyes instead of listening to some bullish crap on youtube or in here

read a trading book since theyre proofreasd and edited for fscts cause youtube isnt...any dummy can post a video on it

try to mark swing lows and highs with the fundamental news that made it a hi or low
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #58,568
  • Jun 20, 3:41pm (10 hr ago) Jun 20, 3:41pm (10 hr ago)
Breaking US Vice President Vance travels to Switzerland
US Vice President JD Vance is enroute to Switzerland for Iran talks, according to his spokesperson.
  • #58,569
  • Jun 20, 3:44pm (9 hr ago) Jun 20, 3:44pm (9 hr ago)
Artilce below

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveb...cks-on-lebanon
  • #58,570
  • Jun 20, 3:46pm (9 hr ago) Jun 20, 3:46pm (9 hr ago)
so stop parroting the conventional wisdom that war is good for the price of gold cause it isnt...economics matter more ...you cant eat gold so if you carry it around with you in a war zone all it will do is make you pants sag below the ass

well anyways this is the last time ill try to educate anyone cause i got better things to do than try to teach some strangers on the internet ill never meet and probably wouldnt even like if i did meet them LOL

do some homework gentlemen....before you spout gibberish about war and gold look back in the chart history to see how gold reacted before
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #58,571
  • Jun 20, 4:17pm (9 hr ago) Jun 20, 4:17pm (9 hr ago)
Quoting Zebi
so stop parroting the conventional wisdom that war is good for the price of gold cause it isnt...economics matter more ...you cant eat gold so if you carry it around with you in a war zone all it will do is make you pants sag below the ass well anyways this is the last time ill try to educate anyone cause i got better things to do than try to teach some strangers on the internet ill never meet and probably wouldnt even like if i did meet them LOL do some homework gentlemen....before you spout gibberish about war and gold look back in the...

you are wrong Zebi.
  • #58,572
  • Jun 20, 4:58pm (8 hr ago) Jun 20, 4:58pm (8 hr ago)
Quoting Eren10
{quote} you are wrong Zebi.

wrong about what?
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #58,573
  • Jun 20, 6:17pm (7 hr ago) Jun 20, 6:17pm (7 hr ago)
I am going to shed some light with simple words without technicalities and with few words. What makes gold valuable is that it can be accumulated and is also indestructible. You can't do the same with potatoes or tomatoes. And the ideal would be to pay with gold and not with paper that any day is worthless and you go and complain. And let's not say digitized, you don't even have it in your hand.
Soy el Patron
  • #58,574
  • Jun 20, 7:36pm (6 hr ago) Jun 20, 7:36pm (6 hr ago)
Quoting Zebi
the other part is how gold reacts when governments and powerful industrial companies put the skids on metals prices and how it rasnges for years and years {quote} youre gona be old men gentlemen before gold breaks out to new highs LOL {image}
i agree with you.
my predicted range would be around 3755 mark
if i dips below 4000 then thats my move
of course there will always be retracements and the shitty tweets but not alot we can do.
but i do think that shorting is the way for the next step
  • #58,575
  • Jun 20, 9:32pm (4 hr ago) Jun 20, 9:32pm (4 hr ago)
Hormuz closed what's next? Gap up or down?
  • #58,576
  • Jun 20, 10:07pm (3 hr ago) Jun 20, 10:07pm (3 hr ago)
Quoting thevine0
Hormuz closed what's next? Gap up or down?
a gap up, then we continue with the bearish movement, just saying
  • #58,577
  • Last Post: Jun 20, 10:08pm (3 hr ago) Jun 20, 10:08pm (3 hr ago)
Gold ( day trader) view:
Based DATA ...daily range only 100k pips range, 200_300k weekly pips range.....i dont expect more ...exceed the range.

Weekly based ichimoku....chikou span start cross the candle that mean bear trying to push more down....Daily and lower tf chikou belou the candle thst mean bear control the market last 3 days in a row ( last week)

But weekly still above bullish kumo cloud that act as support.

So:

Weekly support / resistance based both chikou and kumo cloud:
Resistance: 4230,4330,4480, 4550 extreme

4150 close

4030,4000, 3930, extreme 3730

P.s: bias usually make traders " blind"....and start break their own rules...lol ( personsl experience )

My cents
Stay Gold
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