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Make More Money - Eliminate DRAMA 11 replies

Just posting my trades, everyone is welcome but no drama 2 replies

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Gold with No Drama

  • #58,541
  • Jun 19, 3:56pm (24 hr ago) Jun 19, 3:56pm (24 hr ago)
Quoting Deal
{quote} {image}
Yes,like someone predicted July second week will be top,
I assume $4540-$4752 would be next LH on weekly timeframe
$4152 Monthly Candle Support 2,closing near to it ,can bounce on monday if rejected
Or it would bleed to $3945
Positive pips to All
  • #58,542
  • Edited Jun 20, 1:19am Jun 19, 9:40pm (18 hr ago) | Edited Jun 20, 1:19am
Quoting ElCampeador
{quote} There are always two possibilities, bullish and bearish. If it falls below 4,200 at a specific level and holds then we have a bullish scenario that would take us above 6.350. If not, my calculations for this particular pattern will have failed.
Hello. I would like to correct this prediction. If gold had supported 4,169 it would have reached 6xxx and since it did not, gold remains bearish. The support that comes first is at approximately 3,550. Next we will see it bounce to around 4,210 to finally go down to approximately 1,710. These are the Major turning points as i see it.

Edited. 4210 not 4310
Soy el Patron
  • #58,543
  • Jun 19, 9:56pm (18 hr ago) Jun 19, 9:56pm (18 hr ago)
Quoting PixelAura
{quote} Yes,like someone predicted July second week will be top, I assume $4540-$4752 would be next LH on weekly timeframe $4152 Monthly Candle Support 2,closing near to it ,can bounce on monday if rejected Or it would bleed to $3945
Exactly, by quarterly we migh had seen the botton zone already or see a little more push.
Then new quarter and new story to unfold, but clear expected some kind of retracement if we go even lower.
Where 3792 is what i think the best liquidity zone for the shift near price at the moment unless they build new one and obvious they can.
Fresh in bullish side at 4773.
  • #58,544
  • Jun 20, 12:01am (16 hr ago) Jun 20, 12:01am (16 hr ago)
Quoting ElCampeador
{quote} Hello. I would like to correct this prediction. If gold had supported 4,169 it would have reached 6xxx and since it did not, gold remains bearish. The support that comes first is at approximately 3,550. Next we will see it bounce to around 4,310 to finally go down to approximately 1,710. These are the Major turning points as i see it.
1710 was a huge gap 5 yrs ago that never came back to tap it imagine that
average dude treading water
  • #58,545
  • Jun 20, 12:57am (15 hr ago) Jun 20, 12:57am (15 hr ago)
Quoting ElCampeador
{quote} Hello. I would like to correct this prediction. If gold had supported 4,169 it would have reached 6xxx and since it did not, gold remains bearish. The support that comes first is at approximately 3,550. Next we will see it bounce to around 4,310 to finally go down to approximately 1,710. These are the Major turning points as i see it.
i would definitely buy 3550 if we hit that. i have not sold 4330 which I should have
  • #58,546
  • Jun 20, 1:06am (15 hr ago) Jun 20, 1:06am (15 hr ago)
I think gold will continue to push down until unless there is total stop to ongoing wars which is unlikely to happen. yes every time gold falls it takes correction crazily inviting all the buyers and after that it goes down to make a new lower low. soo I'm bearish on gold until there is a shift in structure in daily time frame. if I'm wrong please correct me!
  • #58,547
  • Jun 20, 1:10am (15 hr ago) Jun 20, 1:10am (15 hr ago)
Quoting MIKKI
{quote} 1710 was a huge gap 5 yrs ago that never came back to tap it imagine that
Soy el Patron
  • #58,548
  • Jun 20, 1:11am (15 hr ago) Jun 20, 1:11am (15 hr ago)
Quoting giveachance
{quote} i would definitely buy 3550 if we hit that. i have not sold 4330 which I should have
Soy el Patron
  • #58,549
  • Jun 20, 1:18am (15 hr ago) Jun 20, 1:18am (15 hr ago)
Quoting MIKKI
{quote} 1710 was a huge gap 5 yrs ago that never came back to tap it imagine that
I made typing mistake. 4210 not 4310. Apoligies.
Soy el Patron
  • #58,550
  • Jun 20, 1:19am (15 hr ago) Jun 20, 1:19am (15 hr ago)
Quoting giveachance
{quote} i would definitely buy 3550 if we hit that. i have not sold 4330 which I should have
I made typing mistake. 4210 not 4310. Apoligies.
Soy el Patron
  • #58,551
  • Jun 20, 5:13am (11 hr ago) Jun 20, 5:13am (11 hr ago)
Quoting ElCampeador
{quote} I made typing mistake. 4210 not 4310. Apoligies.
i made a reading mistake too , i read it as 5300, my mistake
  • #58,552
  • Jun 20, 6:12am (10 hr ago) Jun 20, 6:12am (10 hr ago)
Happy Weekend, Fellow Gold Traders!

Weekly Outlook: Still seeing accelerating downtrend on the weekly chart. So expecting continued bearish moves. There will be some bounces, but overall, expecting a continuation downward.

As such, will be ready for a flush.

Mondays have so far this season seen the biggest moves, on average. Followed by Wednesdays. If a big move comes, those are likely to be the days, however, anything can happen, of course.

Also, Friday will be a big options expiry day. We may see a trend day at the end of the week, or alternatively, an excellent scalping volatile Friday.

Historically the end of June has seen big moves as the quarter ends, hedge funds rebalance, options expire, and we head into summer.

Based on this seasonality my thoughts are gold will flush to the end of the month and then start a slow grind up over the summer months, depending on macro events, oil prices, and if any ridiculous wars start up, Israel, Russia, Iran, etc., bubbling cauldron of uncertainty there.

An interesting aside is how historically gold has been a hedge against uncertainty but during these recent conflicts the opposite has happened. And so, price action is the way to go. Its become more of a risk asset than a hedge. Perhaps the AI/Tech has been where all of this capital has gone, and the next 'push' up will come when that bubble bursts.

Given that essentially none of the AI corps are profitable yet, and the macro productivity levels have not really shown any improvement with all of this AI capex, no doubt there will be a major shakeout at some point with capital outflows.

My guess is this is where the capital from oil has gone, as I expected more of a push up on Gold when oil crashed. But, it all went into SpaceX - another unprofitable company.

And so to finalize this, I am continually impressed with the enormous ability of unprofitable companies to vacuum capital from the market. This goes against so much fundamental analysis. Bubbles always burst however. We shall see! Its a fun ride.

Get rich, or have fun trying!
... the True North, Strong and Free
  • #58,553
  • Jun 20, 7:14am (9 hr ago) Jun 20, 7:14am (9 hr ago)
Quoting mysticcanada
Happy Weekend, Fellow Gold Traders! Weekly Outlook: Still seeing accelerating downtrend on the weekly chart. So expecting continued bearish moves. There will be some bounces, but overall, expecting a continuation downward. As such, will be ready for a flush. Mondays have so far this season seen the biggest moves, on average. Followed by Wednesdays. If a big move comes, those are likely to be the days, however, anything can happen, of course. Also, Friday will be a big options expiry day. We may see a trend day at the end of the week, or alternatively,...
When there is a conflict of this kind, gold rises but I see that you put all the emphasis on the war. We, the population, are nobodies and lack real information. Nowadays, visual simulations, for example on television and especially with artificial intelligence, can seem truthful. Not only the images but the narrative can be controlled by artificial intelligence. We make the gentlemen at the top of the pyramid uncomfortable. As they explain, we use their resources when they are so necessary and with the technology that is coming we are no longer so necessary and especially if we have to collect pensions. I propose another perspective that would be more in line with the behavior of gold, what if this war did not exist and everything was a lie? Did you know that the entire world population fits comfortably in a country like Argentina?
Soy el Patron
  • #58,554
  • Jun 20, 7:24am (9 hr ago) Jun 20, 7:24am (9 hr ago)
Quoting ElCampeador
{quote} When there is a conflict of this kind, gold rises but I see that you put all the emphasis on the war. We, the population, are nobodies and lack real information. Nowadays, visual simulations, for example on television and especially with artificial intelligence, can seem truthful. Not only the images but the narrative can be controlled by artificial intelligence. We make the gentlemen at the top of the pyramid uncomfortable. As they explain, we use their resources when they are so necessary and with the technology that is coming we are no...
Now we get into philosophy.

I for one am not a conspiracy theorist, people act in their self-interest, and the rich are really no different as people than us, only acting in their self-interest.

Everything has always been a lie, depending on how you look at it.

There are lifeless truths, and vital lies.

People live their entire lives in lies, they worship lies, they kill for lies.
"You want the truth?! You can't handle the truth."

But ultimately, the price is the truth, as far as we as traders are concerned. There are no lies here. Only the price.
... the True North, Strong and Free
  • #58,555
  • Jun 20, 7:42am (8 hr ago) Jun 20, 7:42am (8 hr ago)
Strait is closed again... FF forgot to red badge it.
Wait, they even forgot to post it.
  • #58,556
  • Jun 20, 7:47am (8 hr ago) Jun 20, 7:47am (8 hr ago)
Quoting MIKKI
{quote} 1710 was a huge gap 5 yrs ago that never came back to tap it imagine that
Impossible for price go reach that price again.

However this is absolutely a possibility something I'm keeping my eye out.

I personally think the targeted move has not been completed yet.

Expecting a pullback to 4258-4300 before a further fall surpassing 4020.

This will of course take some time and won't happen within a week. Stay patient, the chart tells us Information. Combine this with current world economics and you can make good probable assumptions.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_20260614_064234_631.jpg Size: 31 KB
  • #58,557
  • Jun 20, 7:56am (8 hr ago) Jun 20, 7:56am (8 hr ago)
The Strait is closed.
The negotiations are cancelled.
The ceasefire is nonexistent.

Trump surrendered at Versailles.

This week is gonna be busy.......
  • #58,558
  • Jun 20, 8:14am (8 hr ago) Jun 20, 8:14am (8 hr ago)
Quoting Price
The Strait is closed. The negotiations are cancelled. The ceasefire is nonexistent. Trump surrendered at Versailles. This week is gonna be busy.......
Israel doesn't want a deal. So will be difficult to establish a peace deal there.
  • #58,559
  • Jun 20, 10:09am (6 hr ago) Jun 20, 10:09am (6 hr ago)
Hello everybody.

I actually need multiple selection to be sincerely answering the poll - global uncertainty, dollar direction and inflation are making this harder and harder.
But this new strange relation gold is having with Iran/US war is bothering me. It shows necessity rules, I don't know for how long Trump is going to be able to keep this, many powers want to work around dollar/oil dependence, seems like US only hope is microchips, for now. If Trump dives US into deep war with Iran, not even nuclear deterrent will stop China from taking Taiwan, that card will also be gone.
Only a break of paradigm like a tech breakthrough in the next 10 years would save US hegemony in this table the next 100...
Having that in mind I can't produce an idea on what's about to happen further this year. It's been a roller coaster, specially the last 5 years.
  • #58,560
  • Jun 20, 11:36am (4 hr ago) Jun 20, 11:36am (4 hr ago)
Quoting RiccoLopes
Hello everybody. I actually need multiple selection to be sincerely answering the poll - global uncertainty, dollar direction and inflation are making this harder and harder. But this new strange relation gold is having with Iran/US war is bothering me. It shows necessity rules, I don't know for how long Trump is going to be able to keep this, many powers want to work around dollar/oil dependence, seems like US only hope is microchips, for now. If Trump dives US into deep war with Iran, not even nuclear deterrent will stop China from taking Taiwan,...
Gold remains the ultimate systemic hedge in 2026 as macroeconomic shifts and intensifying geopolitical flashpoints fundamentally alter traditional market behaviors.
------------------------------
## Track the Macro Drivers

* Geopolitical Realignment: Escalations in the Middle East disrupt supply chains and fuel energy insecurity.
* De-Dollarisation: Central banks accelerate gold accumulation to bypass US dollar dominance.
* Inflationary Pressures: Stubborn structural inflation erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies.
* Weaponised Finance: Sanctions push rival powers to construct alternative payment networks.

------------------------------
## Analyze the Gold-War Paradigm
The traditional relationship between gold and geopolitical conflict has shifted from temporary panic-buying to permanent structural pricing.

[Geopolitical Conflict] ──> [Sanctions Risk] ──> [Central Bank Diversification] ──> [Structural Gold Demand]


* Necessity Pricing: Gold now prices in the systemic risk of asset freezes and currency weaponisation.
* Sanction Insulation: Nations buy gold because it cannot be frozen by foreign powers.
* Resource Nationalism: Oil-producing states increasingly demand tangible assets over fiat reserves.
* Declining Deterrence: Diminishing trust in Western financial hegemony drives long-term accumulation.

------------------------------
## Evaluate the Strategic Stakes

| Core Factor | Current Market Impact | 10-Year Structural Outlook |
|---|---|---|
| US Hegemony & Chips | AI and semiconductor manufacturing form the primary economic defense. | Control over advanced supply chains dictates global economic dominance. |
| Taiwan Flashpoint | Heightened regional tensions increase the baseline risk premium. | Strategic deterrence relies on technological and supply chain isolation. |
| Paradigm Shifts | AI breakthroughs drive capital into high-growth tech sectors. | Quantum computing and energy innovations represent the next hegemony anchor. |

------------------------------
## Step-by-Step Portfolio Navigation Plan

1. Secure the Core Baseline
* Maintain a permanent allocation to physical gold or allocated gold accounts.
* Treat precious metals as non-correlated systemic insurance, not a short-term trade.
2. Hedge Technological Supply Chains
* Diversify equity exposure into critical infrastructure and hardware providers.
* Focus on semiconductor firms with geographically diversified manufacturing bases.
3. Neutralize Fiat Vulnerabilities
* Reduce over-reliance on a single currency system.
* Utilize multi-currency accounts or short-duration sovereign debt to manage liquidity.

------------------------------
## Mitigate Your Financial Blind Spots

* Liquidity Chokepoints: Ensure your physical assets or brokerages are accessible during market halts.
* Underestimating Tech Resilience: Do not short US equities purely on geopolitical headlines; tech innovation often thrives during state-backed competitions.
* Over-Leverage: Avoid high-leverage trades in volatile commodities during active geopolitical escalations.

------------------------------
To tailor this market outlook to your specific situation, what percentage of your portfolio is currently exposed to US dollar-denominated assets? Are you primarily looking to preserve capital or capture growth during this volatility?
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