EURUSD only

Tensions between the US and Iran are fluctuating, affecting demand for safe-haven assets like the USD. Today's NFP data has the potential to be a major market driver. Interest rate expectations remain hawkish, favoring holding rates high for longer as energy prices drive inflation.

we get used to with this magnificent volatilities. and now we also need those

The EUR no longer shows a clean continuation structure.
Current COT data suggests the market is moving through an institutional transition phase, with growing uncertainty around the previous trend.
What stands out the most is Open Interest. Participation remains extremely high, above 80% of historical peaks, meaning institutions are still heavily active in the market. However, that participation is no longer clearly supporting continuation. Recent positioning shifts suggest redistribution and structural change beneath the surface.
At the same time, dollar strength and improving liquidity conditions continue to pressure the EUR, reinforcing the idea of transition rather than stability.
This is why COT matters. Price alone may still look stable, but positioning and Open Interest often reveal when institutional structure is already starting to change.

I think that down move will be continue today.




Now price is consolidation phase on 15m time frame.

TRADE ATS Forex Mastern pattern:

We're sitting in a massive confluence zone. The levels are stacked:

H4 Open at 1.17355
Daily at 1.1724
Weekly at 1.1745
Monthly 1.1727

It's a clear binary play: Short bias below 1.1724, but Full Power Long above 1.1745

Observing closely to see bears interest at this junction. It might test a lil bit deeper before heading down.

Spot on dude… never expected such a reaction when it touched 1.1745
i m in buy with tp at 1.1749

Bulls and bears are fighting for control here.

Good morning, hope you're well. Just checked the market now, and I'm anticipating the bulls are trying, on 5M;

H4: If we assume bears are only bluffing and bulls are actually the ones who control the chart right now, then I see 3 targets:

1) Bulls want to break above 1.1743/53-ish nearest resistance..
2) Then they want to break above 2nd resistance around 1.1780/88...
3) And finally the real deal around 1.1833/45..

Happy Friday folks

No more bulls in market am short currently resistance at 1.17425

not so sure... where is your sl?

Quick DAILY Outlook

1. To keep it simple: Bulls are currently trying to reach 1.1790 and then to break above!
2. Morning Star pattern hints bullishness... Beware of getting tricked by bears.. I stay bullish as long as D1 candles open above 1.1718!
3. The red candle right after morning star pattern has formed is a bear-weakness sign. Bears could not violate the middle part of pattern.
4. As a result: Intraday wise (H1 and M15), I keep buying dips...

Quote for those who trade, aren't yet professional or are new to too it, this game is a probability game not certainty, and if you are more than 60% sure of what you are doing always stay with it through the end, I just ended a 5:1 trade just because it retested a bit, but there are always opportunities

M15: I am on sidelines now... Waiting for new dip so I can buy again.. Can take time... No rush!

It was a nice one, I missed it though because I slept too much

1.1764 is the new H4 floor. Staying long above. As long as price holds above M15 mid- bollinger band, I'm not interested in shorts.

We are all in agreement.
How nice.
I'm sceptical of this agreement, haha

Looking around .1756 for long, NY open

i think the NFP will do the opposite and send the EURUSD lower to tuesday low