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EUR/USD - GBP/USD -- Clean Price Action(no indicators)

  • #381
  • May 4, 2026 9:24am May 4, 2026 9:24am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
{quote} It really overshot in my opinion, whats your main entry NWOG?
The pop, up to 1.1719, would’ve fit the picture I usually trade. It was the „retracement“ goal. It would be a bigger position sell at that price.
Thought about 1.1706 as well but sat it out.
  • #382
  • May 4, 2026 9:26am May 4, 2026 9:26am
Quoting LennartDE
{quote} The ship has sailed. Missed the sell limit by 1 pip. Took a partial position at 1.1716 and canceling the sell limit. If it goes now fine! Would have liked to get a complete fill of the position tho...
Out for 20 something pips.
And instantly reversed to long at 1.1689… Risky, I know!!!
  • #383
  • May 4, 2026 9:29am May 4, 2026 9:29am
Quoting LennartDE
{quote} The pop, up to 1.1719, would’ve fit the picture I usually trade. It was the „retracement“ goal. It would be a bigger position sell at that price. Thought about 1.1706 as well but sat it out.
reason I asked is because its exact edge of NWOG (new week opening gap) to the pip.

It could have reached it, it was very close, but technically its not needed
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #384
  • May 4, 2026 9:32am May 4, 2026 9:32am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
{quote} reason I asked is because its exact edge of NWOG (new week opening gap) to the pip. It could have reached it, it was very close, but technically its not needed
Okay!
Just a coincidence I guess.
  • #385
  • May 4, 2026 9:39am May 4, 2026 9:39am
Quoting LennartDE
{quote}
And instantly reversed to long at 1.1689… Risky, I know!!!
On a side note: If the upcoming 4H candles closes below 1.1693 -> I‘m out…
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: C34CADB8-5CDF-4C67-B3BD-8418850F5749.jpeg Size: 49 KB

Headlines can easily mess with my trade as well.
Better to stay cautious.
  • #386
  • May 4, 2026 9:45am May 4, 2026 9:45am
Did yall see the liquidity sweep both lows at 1.16921 and 1.16889 got taken out on 15 min timeframe and when you scale down to 5 min timeframe you see a small FVG at 1.16951 to 1.16902 and price is continuously going down (im kinda new to this been doing for like a month srry if my mark ups a wrong)
  • #387
  • May 4, 2026 10:08am May 4, 2026 10:08am
Quoting Slat
Did yall see the liquidity sweep both lows at 1.16921 and 1.16889 got taken out on 15 min timeframe and when you scale down to 5 min timeframe you see a small FVG at 1.16951 to 1.16902 and price is continuously going down (im kinda new to this been doing for like a month srry if my mark ups a wrong)
Welcome Slat!
  • #388
  • May 4, 2026 10:47am May 4, 2026 10:47am
Quoting LennartDE
{quote} On a side note: If the upcoming 4H candles closes below 1.1693 -> I‘m out…
Got an exit for +2 pips. Exhausting it is… Could go up from here, but not worth the risk with that candle close.
Off to enjoying the evening listening to some Billy Idol
  • #389
  • May 4, 2026 10:51am May 4, 2026 10:51am
Quoting Jewel1996
EurUsd: Next week's initial range{image} {image}
Possible bounce to around 1720-25 and downward continuation to 1650 area IMOAttachment g
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 23 KB
  • #390
  • May 4, 2026 11:05am May 4, 2026 11:05am
Quoting Slat
Did yall see the liquidity sweep both lows at 1.16921 and 1.16889 got taken out on 15 min timeframe and when you scale down to 5 min timeframe you see a small FVG at 1.16951 to 1.16902 and price is continuously going down (im kinda new to this been doing for like a month srry if my mark ups a wrong)
There are certain golden rules when it comes to FVGs, although there are always exceptions, sticking to these golden rules will avoid a lot of headache and keep the account fat!

- FVG need an order-block
-- this order-block can be in form of LTF that is not visible on TF you are using to enter
- Inverted FVG are more sensitive
-- A respected FVG that eventually get violated will flip to inverted, this inverted will be very sensitive
- FVG are desirable in PD array (Premium/discount)
-- measure a swing and above/below the 50% line will give you either premium or discount, you can also use OTE (optimal trade entry fibonacci levels) for better risk control
- Liquidity above/below FVG makes it more desirable
-- If there is liquidity below/above your FVG make the trade much more likely to go in your favor, price like to attack obliquity
- use FVG to target important liquidity pools
-- If you pick an FVG to target an important liquidity pool, the corresponding FVGs will be much more sensitive
- FVG during London/NY session macros are much more sensitive
-- Outside the macros, FVGs are way less sensitive and often not respected

The more of these confluences you apply, the higher chance your trade will succeed, it can go as successful as 90%, however, the more confluences you require, the less frequent the setup will form - but most important, you should back-test and be honest, how often do the FVG fail/give-in and how often do they act sensitive? its not some holy grail or anything, most important is order-flow, once you determine orderflow for the week/day in general, FVGs will act sensitive in the orderflow direction.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #391
  • May 5, 2026 2:32am May 5, 2026 2:32am
This is one of my favorite setups, it can be inverted in regards to lows as well.

A high peak that is important its important if this peak break structure (referencing to the furthest left swing)
- within that swing price create inefficiencies
- Price creates a shallow dent, in this case a high
- Price creates another high, which is lower than previous high
-- This baits retail to use either of lower peaks as stop loss, thus creating a liquidity pool
--- retail knowledge interpret this as bearish momentum and start shorting

X: Price swipes both these highs and reject, absorbing all the resting orders above: forcing an opposing end to be counter to their orders!

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot at 2026-05-05 11-22-52.png Size: 13 KB
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #392
  • May 5, 2026 2:49am May 5, 2026 2:49am
Shorting: TRIGGERED

layered: 1.16910-30

invalidation
- soft: 1.16970
- hard: 1.17050

TP:
- 1.16793
-- 1.16770
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #393
  • May 5, 2026 3:34am May 5, 2026 3:34am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
Shorting: TRIGGERED layered: 1.16910-30 invalidation - soft: 1.16970 - hard: 1.17050 TP: - 1.16793 -- 1.16770
I think this trade is off-side!

cutting it short - fully out with little damage

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot at 2026-05-05 12-38-26.png Size: 4 KB


NY pre-market session starting in 20 minutes, will look for more valid reason for direction after 8am NY time
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #394
  • May 5, 2026 3:39am May 5, 2026 3:39am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
{quote} I think this trade is off-side! cutting it short
LOL!! "I think this trade is off-side!" Great analogy
  • #395
  • May 5, 2026 3:54am May 5, 2026 3:54am
If I see a full body close below 1.1686 (5min) will re-short again around 1.169 at the lower edge of last weeks NWOG (new weeks opening gap)
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #396
  • May 5, 2026 5:52am May 5, 2026 5:52am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
If I see a full body close below 1.1686 (5min) will re-short again around 1.169 at the lower edge of last weeks NWOG (new weeks opening gap)
came back from the gym and price stuck in the same position.... Not seeing anything interesting, I dont see a clear narrative.
- Waiting on the sidelines until direction is more clear
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #397
  • May 5, 2026 7:05am May 5, 2026 7:05am
1.1690 low on 5 minute candle, if it breaks with body close, I will short the breaker or closest FVG with SL at the top.

I am not longing this, even though it looks like it wants to go up, I want to clear the weak lows below first before I look for longs.

this low should not break if its bullish, it should use closest OB and continue up attacking further highs.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #398
  • May 5, 2026 3:24pm May 5, 2026 3:24pm
Terrible price action today.

Unless I have clear bias, daily close with long wick is confusing - it retraced 75% of opening price range,

I want the lows to be taken to feel confident in longing, but I dont wanna short either, because there are no clear targets.

If Tuesday low gets taken, a short targeting last weeks Wednesday's low is a good setup - in that case, today's price action would be just ugly stop hunt
- lets hope Asia provide clear direction
-- closing the chart and day
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #399
  • May 5, 2026 8:30pm May 5, 2026 8:30pm
Quoting Jewel1996
{quote} Possible bounce to around 1720-25 and downward continuation to 1650 area IMO5197599 {image}
Possible downward continuation??

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 25 KB
  • #400
  • May 5, 2026 9:55pm May 5, 2026 9:55pm
Waking up seeing price has skyrocketed. It is now near 1.1744, but doesn’t seem like stopping.
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