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EURUSD only

  • #225,681
  • Apr 23, 2026 4:16am Apr 23, 2026 4:16am
M15: Nothing to buy here.. Only selling.. Rinse and repeat...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #225,682
  • Apr 23, 2026 4:18am Apr 23, 2026 4:18am
Quoting Polimini
i would like to sell but closer to 1.1725
I have a pending sell at 1.1725 for last 16 hours... May be the train will leave without us...
never try to catch a falling knife
  • #225,683
  • Apr 23, 2026 4:26am Apr 23, 2026 4:26am
Quoting shahriar1314
{quote} I have a pending sell at 1.1725 for last 16 hours... May be the train will leave without us...
careful with pending orders, you never know when the tweets will drop
  • #225,684
  • Apr 23, 2026 4:33am Apr 23, 2026 4:33am
The graphic is beautiful soon we’ll see a buying chance
  • #225,685
  • Apr 23, 2026 4:41am Apr 23, 2026 4:41am
Easy money..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-M15.png Size: 31 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #225,686
  • Apr 23, 2026 4:46am Apr 23, 2026 4:46am
So far, the 1.16950 level is still acting as support.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM15.png Size: 30 KB
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #225,687
  • Apr 23, 2026 4:46am Apr 23, 2026 4:46am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Easy money.. {image}
you’ll stop the sell at 1.7070?
  • #225,688
  • Apr 23, 2026 5:04am Apr 23, 2026 5:04am
Quoting Samrat24
{quote} you’ll stop the sell at 1.7070?
Yes buddy... There I stopped selling... Once one M15 candle closed above 1.1707 I didn't sell anymore... (1)

BUT the very next candle closed back below 1.1707.. (2) So?

Simply I did re-enter with a fresh short on that spike that followed.. (3) Keep it simple!

*Please mind: whenever I share anything about the M15 chart, just know that with every new candle many things can change. That's the point of trading the M15 chart. Has nothing to do with what I share for H1 or H4 or D1... Focus on the timeframe where my post belongs to. Don't mix!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-M15.png Size: 32 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #225,689
  • Apr 23, 2026 5:10am Apr 23, 2026 5:10am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Yes buddy... There I stopped selling... Once one M15 candle closed above 1.1707 I didn't sell anymore... (1) BUT the very next candle closed back below 1.1707.. (2) So? Simply I did re-enter with a fresh short on that spike that followed.. (3) Keep it simple! *Please mind: whenever I share anything about the M15 chart, just know that with every new candle many things can change. That's the point of trading the M15 chart. Has nothing to do with what I share for H1 or H4 or D1... Focus on the timeframe where my post belongs to. Don't...
ohh gotcha sir
i also entered a short at 1.16907
  • #225,690
  • Apr 23, 2026 5:12am Apr 23, 2026 5:12am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
D1: Please remember my chart from a week ago mentioning the recent engulfing candle (see chart).. As I said, often price revisits the lows of these engulfing candles before any continuation.. Therefore, my guess is that we are headed towards its low: ~1.1663 area.. Time will tell... {image}
As mentioned for D1, price is slowly coming closer to my target zone: 1.1663 area... Not much left...

Let's see if bears can reach it...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: bearmarathon.png Size: 7 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #225,691
  • Apr 23, 2026 5:22am Apr 23, 2026 5:22am
M15: I stay short as long as M15 candles open below 1.1692...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #225,692
  • Apr 23, 2026 5:30am Apr 23, 2026 5:30am
Quoting TH2003
While the HTF still remains bearish and the m15 is following a bearish channel, both the HTF and LTF are aligned, therefore, Im looking for a short continuation and targeting the lows of the bearish channel (1.16570 area) after we've tested and respected the top of the channel yesterday (1.17545 area) with clear bearish pressure heading to the downside. on the m15 I have a descending triangle setup which ill look to take shorts once I see a clear break and retest below the 1.16965 area(m15 nearest support). in other words, shorts look really appealing...
so far so cleannn if the bears continue to show strength around the 1.16500 area then we could see 1.16305(bottom of m15 bearish channel) being met today but for now, staying focused on hitting tp first @1.16510
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot 2026-04-23 at 11.27.32 (2).png Size: 64 KB
  • #225,693
  • Apr 23, 2026 5:45am Apr 23, 2026 5:45am
HELLO...a break below 1.17 confirms our view!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot 2026-04-23 at 12.43.24 PM.png Size: 76 KB
  • #225,694
  • Apr 23, 2026 6:03am Apr 23, 2026 6:03am
Quoting TH2003
{quote} so far so cleannn if the bears continue to show strength around the 1.16500 area then we could see 1.16305(bottom of m15 bearish channel) being met today but for now, staying focused on hitting tp first @1.16510 {image}
maybe in ny session our tp gets hit
  • #225,695
  • Apr 23, 2026 6:06am Apr 23, 2026 6:06am
Highest-conviction setup right now: USD strength driven by US–Iran geopolitical risk (Conviction: moderate, ~60%).
Dominant driver

  1. Geopolitical risk from ongoing US–Iran tensions is the primary driver; this supports safe-haven flows into the USD and keeps risk-sensitive/commodity-linked currencies vulnerable.

24–48h base case

  1. USD likely to outperform risk-sensitive FX (e.g., AUD, NZD) while risk sentiment remains fragile; oil and safe-haven demand may remain elevated, reinforcing USD support.

Confirmation trigger

  1. A fresh deterioration or military incident that raises regional risk would confirm further USD appreciation and heightened risk aversion.

Invalidation trigger

  1. A credible de-escalation or broad market shift to risk-on (e.g., sustained equity strength, lower volatility, and easing oil risk premia) would invalidate the USD-strength view.

Mispricing view

  1. Markets appear to be underpricing the geopolitical risk premium in FX, given the combination of Strait of Hormuz disruption and mixed but fragile risk signals.

Market implications (non-prescriptive)

  1. Expect safe-haven flows to favor USD versus risk/carry currencies and for commodity-sensitive pairs to be underperformers while geopolitical uncertainty persists.

Supporting institutional notes from the dashboard

  1. Refinitiv-style analyst feed (Apr 23) flagged fragile risk sentiment, continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, supported oil and a firm USD.
  2. RBC Capital Markets (Apr 22) noted a temporarily more risk-on tone after a ceasefire extension but stressed mixed signals (including blockade effects and macro surprises).
  3. Scotiabank (Apr 22) and SEB (Apr 22) are included in the dashboard coverage and emphasize the interplay between geopolitical disruption and underlying macro weakness in the US.
  4. Targeted research check: no additional fresh institutional hits directly contradicted this dashboard view.

Bottom line: highest-conviction setup = USD-supportive risk-off backdrop from US–Iran tensions; watch for escalation to confirm and visible de-escalation/risk-on to invalidate.

  • #225,696
  • Apr 23, 2026 6:08am Apr 23, 2026 6:08am
Quoting Samrat24
{quote} maybe in ny session our tp gets hit
yeah I agree, could do with some favourable ny session volume... eu is testing the 1.16810 lvl.. last time eu tested this level, we saw an aggressive bounce so watch out for any waking bulls
  • #225,697
  • Apr 23, 2026 6:42am Apr 23, 2026 6:42am
Quoting Bloodwish
https://youtu.be/pV5yEEok0ew
Target hit
  • #225,698
  • Apr 23, 2026 6:51am Apr 23, 2026 6:51am
1.1680s to 1.1640s really important.....

Started nibbling on the Buy Side for way higher...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_4.jpg Size: 133 KB
My Charts / Ideas Do Not Constitute Any Advice. Always Do Your Own Research
  • #225,699
  • Apr 23, 2026 6:53am Apr 23, 2026 6:53am
Any news ??
  • #225,700
  • Apr 23, 2026 6:55am Apr 23, 2026 6:55am
Quoting TH2003
{quote} yeah I agree, could do with some favourable ny session volume... eu is testing the 1.16810 lvl.. last time eu tested this level, we saw an aggressive bounce so watch out for any waking bulls
yes and my sl got hit
breakeven tho
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