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  • #225,481
  • Apr 20, 2026 1:09am Apr 20, 2026 1:09am
On Friday EURUSD was ranging with clear signs of compression. The breakout seemed imminent but half of my systems were signalling sell while the other half pointed to buy. I leaned into the long side and when price popped and went higher it felt like the right call.
However the two sell signals never flipped. At first I assumed a programming issue on my end but then price reversed sharply and continued lower marking a significant potential regime change in the process.

Long story short, I'll treat conflicting signals with extra caution as they often precede exactly this kind of false breakout and reversal...
while the objective is profit, the job description is risk management
  • #225,482
  • Apr 20, 2026 1:42am Apr 20, 2026 1:42am
D1 Quick Outlook

  1. The shooting star candle from Friday hints that bears will be in play for upcoming days.
  2. Therefore I stay short while D1 candles open below 1.1788 max. but according to chart, picture is still bullish! However, don't forget that market prints corrective pullbacks before continuing higher. That's what is currently happening. The drop is still not 100% guaranteed but situation with Japanese candlestick patterns and violation of previous lows signals it.
  3. If we assume, the corrective move has truly started, then it is possible that this bearish move goes all the way down to 1.1642 levels for a retest of latest D1 breakout zone. (Also remember what I said about the potential revisit of the lows of recent "engulfing" candle)
  4. That said, intraday wise and based on H1, I keep my bearish bias while H1 candles open below 1.1777 roughly.

Wishing all of you a happy and profitable trading week...

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #225,483
  • Apr 20, 2026 2:00am Apr 20, 2026 2:00am
M15: Waiting for London opening and this temporary bull move to complete.. No rush in selling!

*While candles open above 1.1762, bulls have the upper hand here.
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #225,484
  • Apr 20, 2026 2:01am Apr 20, 2026 2:01am
Buenos dias chicos, dejo aqui mi operativa de buena mañana...

Tengo marcado en D1 penultimo y ultimo alto en azul
Las flechas negras me dicen cual es el impuslo dominante y espero el testeo a penultimo alto d1 azul y confirmo con EMA 50/100/200.

Seguire la operativa en M15 a ver si hay una buena entrada.

Son + 60 pips... aunque me da miedo el precio 1,1780 que no me vuelva. Pero la tendencia es alcista, continuará?

Gracias.
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  • #225,485
  • Apr 20, 2026 2:11am Apr 20, 2026 2:11am
we have same idee
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  • #225,486
  • Apr 20, 2026 2:14am Apr 20, 2026 2:14am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
M15: Waiting for London opening and this temporary bull move to complete.. No rush in selling! *While candles open above 1.1762, bulls have the upper hand here. {image}
Yup, same. I have a 1.1799 short sitting there since just before previous market close. Not buying, but looking out for shorts.
Perhaps not today, market is structuring itself at the moment.
while the objective is profit, the job description is risk management
  • #225,487
  • Apr 20, 2026 2:15am Apr 20, 2026 2:15am
I don't think the price would go higher than this because it doesn't have areas of interest above or liquidity, and I also don't think we'll see the price lower because it's confusing, we don't have a bearish structure and the bullish bias isn't strong. What do you think?
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  • #225,488
  • Apr 20, 2026 2:22am Apr 20, 2026 2:22am
Sell limit:1.18234 SL:1.18534 TP: 1.17234
  • #225,489
  • Apr 20, 2026 2:54am Apr 20, 2026 2:54am
bin moi je vois une amd la
  • #225,490
  • Apr 20, 2026 3:27am Apr 20, 2026 3:27am
Waiting Trump to tweet . ..
What the probability he tweet to make oil go down vs up.
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  • #225,491
  • Apr 20, 2026 4:20am Apr 20, 2026 4:20am
Quoting Newtrader9
I'm still new to trading so no judging but this is what i see for this week on EURUSD if I'm wrong can someone teach me plz. ive only been trading for 1 month {image}
Sorry for going off-topic.
My dear friend, no one judges you; your education and market knowledge are what truly determine your success. Since you've only been in this field for a month, I think it's far too early to be opening charts and entering trades. When I was first in this field, I tried to make a mistake, but I realized I was completely wrong. I then deleted the platforms I was using to monitor the market and began learning the fundamentals until I understood them clearly. Now I'm in the stage of learning technical analysis. I fully realize that the road ahead is still very long. All the best, my friend.
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #225,492
  • Apr 20, 2026 4:35am Apr 20, 2026 4:35am
Inserted Video
  • #225,493
  • Edited 4:50am Apr 20, 2026 4:36am | Edited 4:50am
So, here's where we are right now and how it might be played. Risk reward says go short from the resistance levels clustered around 1.1770, as close to the top level of resistance as your fear of missing out allows. Enter before the bullish move is complete and starts moving down (to maximize reward vs risk). Anywhere in the circle is fine, but the higher the better. SL out just past the top line. EURUSD likes last minute spikes before starting a move in earnest, so it's possible to wait for that. This is just an idea.

Just to clarify, I mean the stop loss should be just past the top of the circle, that line. The top top line is also possible as a stop loss, but requires more confidence than I have. I would get out and get back in again if the move continued up.
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  • #225,494
  • Edited 5:45am Apr 20, 2026 5:14am | Edited 5:45am
M15: Still bullish for now.. I wait on sidelines..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #225,495
  • Apr 20, 2026 5:29am Apr 20, 2026 5:29am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
M15: Still bullish for now.. I wait on sidelines..
I see it similarly ... I'm waiting for at least an H1 candle to close above the Gap ... and I have a pending sell limit at 1.17847 but since there are no news for the USD today, it is possible that we will wait in some range ~1.17500 - 800 until tomorrow ... well, let's see what awaits us
Nothing is impossible.
  • #225,496
  • Apr 20, 2026 6:26am Apr 20, 2026 6:26am
Quoting rober159
On Friday EURUSD was ranging with clear signs of compression. The breakout seemed imminent but half of my systems were signalling sell while the other half pointed to buy. I leaned into the long side and when price popped and went higher it felt like the right call. However the two sell signals never flipped. At first I assumed a programming issue on my end but then price reversed sharply and continued lower marking a significant potential regime change in the process. Long story short, I'll treat conflicting signals with extra caution as they often...
same here. price been stuck between 1.1730 and 1.1760 all morning, no real push either way i'm not touching it until NY open at least could easily fake out before then
  • #225,497
  • Apr 20, 2026 7:12am Apr 20, 2026 7:12am
so far, so good. h4 level
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  • #225,498
  • Apr 20, 2026 7:15am Apr 20, 2026 7:15am
sell rips
  • #225,499
  • Apr 20, 2026 7:24am Apr 20, 2026 7:24am
https://y.yarn.co/df1ff9e9-b246-45a0...420c9_text.gif
while the objective is profit, the job description is risk management
  • #225,500
  • Apr 20, 2026 7:28am Apr 20, 2026 7:28am
On the H1 chart, we need to close below the 1.17560 level for the bears to continue their downward trend

Good luck with your trading, guys.
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