The Swamp | Page 6366 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #127,301
  • Apr 8, 2026 1:41am Apr 8, 2026 1:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yeah,, its not a done deal,, they need to load up on oil first Someone won the bet about Trump mentioning Allah. I think it paid 100 to 1.
yea his name was Barron somebody, there will be another buy oil signal by next week.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,302
  • Apr 8, 2026 1:48am Apr 8, 2026 1:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} So if the deal Iran gets is better than the deal they had years ago. The one Trump tore up. Do you really think Trump won? It cost 100 billion and counting in U.S. bases. Not including the planes etc. lost. That's a loss. Trump's friends were short oil, and long stocks.
Trump will not give them a better deal. Anything that stops them getting nuclear weapons is okay by me. Those IRGC guys are some of the hardest guys on earth. They practice a brand of terror-laden religion. I live in the UK, but I am originally African, so I can tell how they (the Shia group of their religion) behaved against government security in my home nation.

As for the planes lost, they were purchased to be lost in the first place. Every instrument of war is built with the mind that it can be destroyed. It's a war. There will be losses on both sides. The main purpose of a war is not to not have human or financial casualty, but to achieve a preset goal. That preset gaol, Trump WILL achieve.
  • #127,303
  • Apr 8, 2026 1:50am Apr 8, 2026 1:50am
The eu is below 1743.9... You may have large players short here.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 9 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,304
  • Apr 8, 2026 2:01am Apr 8, 2026 2:01am
Quoting gatorinla
The eu is below 1743.9... You may have large players short here. {image}
1743 has been the spot i have been waiting for and year open.
it can go up to 1830 too but i would expect it to at least slow down near 1743
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #127,305
  • Apr 8, 2026 2:03am Apr 8, 2026 2:03am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Trump will not give them a better deal. Anything that stops them getting nuclear weapons is okay by me. Those IRGC guys are some of the hardest guys on earth. They practice a brand of terror-laden religion. I live in the UK, but I am originally African, so I can tell how they (the Shia group of their religion) behaved against government security in my home nation. As for the planes lost, they were purchased to be lost in the first place. Every instrument of war is built with the mind that it can be destroyed. It's a war. There will be losses...
Your not getting it. What trump is getting, is less than when the bombing started Feb 28. He is a moron. He bombed them months back because they started enriching. But now he gets less than he started with on Feb 28. There was a deal years ago to prevent them from enriching even earlier. China Russia USA and others signed the deal. We had inspectors in Iran preventing it. Trump tore up that deal. This new deal gives Iran much more than that deal. Iran made an ass out of Trump. Iran now gets to export oil to the world. The sanctions will be removed.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,306
  • Apr 8, 2026 2:12am Apr 8, 2026 2:12am
Quoting gatorinla
I took this kiwi one short .5849 {image}
makes sense, oil trade without oil
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,307
  • Apr 8, 2026 2:16am Apr 8, 2026 2:16am
Quoting axecap
{quote} makes sense, oil trade without oil
im in at .5826.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 55 KB
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,308
  • Apr 8, 2026 9:09am Apr 8, 2026 9:09am
Oil is below b/o levels on the bear side. The infostructure is still damaged. It will take time to repair. Meanwhile NASDAQ is near a large R. Those ME kingdoms will need cash to repair the infostructure.
Back below the purple is more ranging.. below the yellow is correction.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 21 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,309
  • Apr 8, 2026 9:20am Apr 8, 2026 9:20am
Dow candles are small.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 46 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,310
  • Apr 8, 2026 9:49am Apr 8, 2026 9:49am
wti is under support.. testing as R..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 42 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,311
  • Apr 8, 2026 10:32am Apr 8, 2026 10:32am
Quoting gatorinla
wti is under support.. testing as R.. {image}
wti has a chance to rise some.. back in the range zone. Brent is still on the bear b/o side.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 46 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,312
  • Apr 8, 2026 12:21pm Apr 8, 2026 12:21pm
wti has been stopped by this volume shelf in the past. Below that magenta line is the bear side of structure. It may have some range above the magenta. Its decision time. the 12h closed above the magenta. the 6h above.
Its not looking like it will get back above the yellow atm. Its a R. Its bearish with the agreement. The agreement don't seem to be agreed upon. Beirut don't seem to be in agreement. Beirut is still being bombed by Israel.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 43 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,313
  • Apr 8, 2026 7:51pm Apr 8, 2026 7:51pm
fool me once, shame on you. fool me twice, shame on me. 3 oil takers passed through Hurmuz today. Pre war was 100 tankers per day, 30-40 other ships. . That means about 5,000 ship are missing in the system. I will assume 1/2 the tankers are retuning. That means 50 tankers of energy per day is missing from the world. Or about 2000 since this started. Add to this, storage facilities of crude and finished product was hit. Refineries and ports are damaged. That deficit will take a long time catch up. Apparently the straight is still not open fully.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,314
  • Apr 9, 2026 12:34am Apr 9, 2026 12:34am
I don't know how old this truly is. Its supposed to be live.
Inserted Video
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 14 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,315
  • Apr 9, 2026 12:37am Apr 9, 2026 12:37am
I don't know how old this truly is. Its supposed to be live. It shows some old hits, then comes back to Beirut shots (supposedly live shots)
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,316
  • Apr 9, 2026 1:22am Apr 9, 2026 1:22am
Pre Iran first quarter, a small business can have up to 500 employees. Small business is about 99% of all business. Small business employee 45% of the private workforce. About 43% of the countries GDP. This was before the war, before fuel prices jumping. Are we great yet?

Small business bankruptcies (Subchapter V) surged 67% in Q1 2026 compared to Q1 2025, with 833 filings. Total commercial bankruptcies rose 14% to 8,436, driven by high inflation, elevated interest rates, and restricted credit. Total Chapter 11 filings increased 37%, indicating widespread financial distress among businesses.
Epiq +4
Key Data Trends (Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025)

  1. Small Business (Subchapter V): Jumped 67% (833 filings vs 499).
  2. Total Commercial Bankruptcies: Increased 14% (8,436 filings).
  3. Total Commercial Chapter 11s: Increased 37% (2,422 filings).
  4. Consumer Bankruptcies: Individual Chapter 7 filings increased 17%, while Chapter 13 rose 8%. ACA International +4

Economic Factors Driving Surges

  1. Persistent Inflation & Rates: High costs and borrowing rates are making it difficult for companies to service debt.
  2. Household Debt: Debt has climbed towards $18.8 trillion with increasing delinquencies, straining consumer spending.
  3. Credit Tightening: Reduced access to credit has increased the strain on struggling small businesses. ACA International +3

those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,317
  • Apr 9, 2026 1:33am Apr 9, 2026 1:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Exactly Iran gets the deal of their dreams. The USA looses what it had before. Ben goes to jail in a ceasefire. He is unable to stop. His deep hatred and jail is preventing it.
"My surprised look"

If the reports are true 450 missiles hit Israel overnight in 1 minute. Its morning there so maybe some reports will filter out.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,318
  • Apr 9, 2026 2:38am Apr 9, 2026 2:38am
Quoting gatorinla
I don't know how old this truly is. Its supposed to be live. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tPPkBG_mGVg {image}
no its old, you tube often labels live...meaning it was live once upon atime. That al jazeera gives live update which are good,

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 83 KB
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,319
  • Apr 9, 2026 2:51am Apr 9, 2026 2:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} wti has a chance to rise some.. back in the range zone. Brent is still on the bear b/o side. {image}
$107 ish next week is likely if not before. just guessing havent bought any comitted elsewhere. futures price for august of $81 looks cheap
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,320
  • Apr 9, 2026 3:26am Apr 9, 2026 3:26am
Quoting axecap
{quote} no its old, you tube often labels live...meaning it was live once upon atime. That al jazeera gives live update which are good, {image}
I know a ship with marines is in route from a relative. They may not stop for re-supply. They were told to conserve food. There will likely be unable to contact family in a few days. That don't sound good.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
161 traders viewing now