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  • #19,601
  • Edited 2:32am Apr 6, 2026 2:16am | Edited 2:32am
DXY H4

  1. 99.85 – 100.00 zone (Strong R)

    1. Multiple rejections
    2. Equal highs / Liquidity
    3. Supply zone


Structure:

  1. Yes:

    1. Higher Low
    2. Uptrend


  2. BUT:

    1. Right now:
    2. We are at the ceiling


What it means:

  1. This is NOT the place for:

    1. Fresh longs


  2. This is the place for:

    1. Decision / Possible reversal


Scenarios:

  1. Rejection below 100.00

    1. → Pullback targets:
    2. 99.30
    3. 99.00


  2. Break + close above 100.00

    1. → Bullish BOS
    2. → Continuation higher


Important:

  1. So far:

    1. No BOS
    2. No clean breakout


    IF:

  1. DXY rejects 100
  2. AND EURUSD holds above 1.1530
  3. Long → Target: 1.1560

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY.png Size: 28 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,602
  • Apr 6, 2026 4:25am Apr 6, 2026 4:25am
Starting to look like another Bull Trap. Today is 'Easter Monday' with light volume on the New York Session supposedly? Similar to Good Friday. FYI
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: PIC ONE.png Size: 56 KB
  • #19,603
  • Apr 6, 2026 4:40am Apr 6, 2026 4:40am
we are still in a range so direction remains unclear i guess…
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,604
  • Apr 6, 2026 6:03am Apr 6, 2026 6:03am
opened a long on EU at 1.15485
  • #19,605
  • Apr 6, 2026 6:24am Apr 6, 2026 6:24am
Quoting Meer-Shayhak
opened a long on EU at 1.15485
it's falling it's better to short
  • #19,606
  • Apr 6, 2026 8:00am Apr 6, 2026 8:00am
99.60 = Intraday Flip Level (DXY)

  1. Controls short-term direction
  2. Not the main structure, but critical for momentum

In simple terms:

  1. Below 99.60 = USD weakness
  2. Above 99.60 = USD maintains strength

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY.png Size: 48 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,607
  • Apr 6, 2026 9:57am Apr 6, 2026 9:57am
Go Figure.... Another BULL TRAP!
  • #19,608
  • Edited 9:49pm Apr 6, 2026 9:36pm | Edited 9:49pm
DXY remained above 99.60, so EURUSD has moved lower.
But price is now directly in R 99.80-100
So we have:
= compression / decision point on both DXY and EURUSD.

R: 1.1530 – 1.1540
Price is below resistance (green line)

Above 1.1530 (close + hold):
CHOCH UP shift → long
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_20260407_043311_TradingView.jpg Size: 34 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,609
  • Apr 6, 2026 10:36pm Apr 6, 2026 10:36pm
The EUR/USD pair traded lower near 1.1500 once again after failing to break above 1.1571 yesterday.

Increased volatility is expected this Tuesday, with the pair threatening to break the 1.1491 support level. If this occurs, the price may head lower toward 1.1443 or 1.1411. Conversely, if an upside move occurs above the 1.1553 and 1.1571 resistance levels, then the 1.1600/13, 1.1640, or 1.1667 targets might be tested.


Daily volatility (range) 54 pips

Significant news - US Durable Goods


Have a great day!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-04-07_06-05-05.png Size: 48 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,610
  • Apr 6, 2026 11:13pm Apr 6, 2026 11:13pm
Continues to go sideways….
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_2035.jpeg Size: 62 KB
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,611
  • Apr 6, 2026 11:42pm Apr 6, 2026 11:42pm
Quoting johncen
Continues to go sideways…. {image}
Looks like we are near a big showdown. After a tight consolidation huge moves always happen
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,612
  • Apr 6, 2026 11:54pm Apr 6, 2026 11:54pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Looks like we are near a big showdown. After a tight consolidation huge moves always happen
yea but with deadline coming we may also see fake outs
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,613
  • Apr 7, 2026 12:42am Apr 7, 2026 12:42am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Looks like we are near a big showdown. After a tight consolidation huge moves always happen
There are one things or two of this easter w/e that needs to be priced in
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,614
  • Edited 1:37am Apr 7, 2026 1:01am | Edited 1:37am
I will be looking for another entry to go short. Linear regression still sloping down with Lower Highs even with the contraction going on for several days. This global situation with oil and nukes could very well be the straw that breaks the E/U into a freefall... ? US Economy is doing exactly what Orange Man said it would do. (Not getting Political). Just stating facts. We have some very hardheaded Bulls this morning ignoring the Global Picture. I am not one of them today.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: PIC ONE.png Size: 45 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: PIC TWO.png Size: 61 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: PIC THREE.png Size: 67 KB
  • #19,615
  • Apr 7, 2026 1:16am Apr 7, 2026 1:16am
H&S cup and handle, mixed signal, h12 channel backs the cup and handle, bearish flag in weekly, tricky situation - USD index
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDH1.png Size: 74 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDH12.png Size: 81 KB
  • #19,616
  • Apr 7, 2026 2:07am Apr 7, 2026 2:07am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} There are one things or two of this easter w/e that needs to be priced in
Let me guess... One is Hormuz straits!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,617
  • Apr 7, 2026 2:11am Apr 7, 2026 2:11am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea but with deadline coming we may also see fake outs
Not rushing for anything! Patience always wins.

The noise should clear at some time and with a good daily/weekly close and cautious management eu could offer a good trade/s.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,618
  • Edited 5:23am Apr 7, 2026 2:58am | Edited 5:23am
Looks to me like MM's have been rebalancing order book against the Bull traps from yesterday. On my third short off the triple top in the past couple of hours. Smallish position with a stop loss just in case they get fancy and spike it up.
https://youtu.be/txTEhgReZUA?si=p4HjexlsO-Xy0yPZ
  • #19,619
  • Apr 7, 2026 3:28am Apr 7, 2026 3:28am
Quoting josip
DXY remained above 99.60, so EURUSD has moved lower. But price is now directly in R 99.80-100 So we have: = compression / decision point on both DXY and EURUSD. R: 1.1530 – 1.1540 Price is below resistance (green line) Above 1.1530 (close + hold): CHOCH UP shift → long {image}
update...
DXY
DXY bounced off R 99.80-100, which pushed EURUSD higher.
bottom green = most important level now
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_20260407_102215_TradingView.jpg Size: 53 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,620
  • Apr 7, 2026 5:34am Apr 7, 2026 5:34am
another Bull Trap.... but higher highs and higher lows from yesterday to this morning. Still under 1.15776 Pivot on Daily chart above
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: PIC ONE.png Size: 46 KB
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