EURUSD only

After getting stopped out twice yesterday, I figured I’d take the night off and watch a movie

Buyers are clearly absent across both the 4H and 1H timeframes right now.

We just filled the Daily FVG at 1.1520. Now we’re looking at the H4 hidden gaps. We’ve got one overhead 1.1580 and two below 1.1510 and 1.1475. I wait for London open.

There is no structural change with the high (1.16673) holding and price quickly working lower the minute Trump stated the war will continue for a few more weeks.
Fundamentally, this strengthens the US dollar further, decreases oil supply and increases the price of oil. EU has been bearish since the war started and I see no reason for this to change with the war ongoing.
Technically, the high holding and near no bearish POI's inside this high indicates a bearish continuation.

From my post yesterday: "With Trump nothing is certain but the market knows first and looks like TACO is what the market is pricing in. In my experience a fast moving reversal like this looks like a sell off. Once the high is found it will dump.". There is no guarantee that the low will be taken from here, but to me this is more probable than the high being taken.

1H
The POI (1.15989) mitigated and broken but the structural high held. I am not expecting much of a bullish move to find an entry today and it could melt like the Wicked Witch of the West. I have marked 3 potential sell opportunities but with a near 100 pip Asia session I don't think it will have the legs to get this high.
Tragically, I got too greedy yesterday and set the SL at the POI high (1.16159) instead of the structural high (1.16306) and suffered a loss and I allowed my emotions stop me entering again. I left this losing entry in place to remind me and everyone that no matter how good we can be the simple mistakes still come back to bite us.

5m
The 2 sell opportunities that align with the 15m bearish POI (1.15638) and the 5m bearish POI (1.15783) are the best chance for a sell opportunity as this is where Trump declared an ongoing war. Above is the third if price breaks this Internal-Hi to mitigate the final POI (1.16076) int he bearish range). I am not expecting any of these opportunities to be realised today and perhaps not below the low (1.14431) is taken.

still now today's move is just a gambling move. please don't be hurt.

Stops to BE, Half off, rest running for 1.13

Trump’s latest comments on the U.S.–Iran situation suggest that things are still very much in play. He stated that the U.S. does not need the Strait of Hormuz and that it would open naturally once the conflict is over, while also hinting that operations are progressing and could be completed relatively quickly.
There were also remarks around increasing oil production and the possibility of targeting Iran’s energy infrastructure, which keeps the focus firmly on oil markets.
From a trading perspective, this kind of rhetoric tends to add uncertainty rather than clarity. Any threat to oil supply can push crude higher, which typically supports the dollar and puts pressure on the euro due to Europe’s reliance on energy imports.
For EUR/USD, this keeps the downside risk intact if tensions escalate or if oil continues to move higher. That said, in this kind of environment, price action matters more than headlines, as markets often react ahead of the actual news.
For now, it feels more like a wait-and-see situation while volatility remains elevated.

M15: Chart is self explanatory... rinse & repeat selling until failure...

With the war still going and Trump made announcements after announcements that he is still attacking, i think the USD will continue to strengthen, so Im selling as high as I can, looking forward 1.144xx

It looks like a consolidation period is beginning. There is a lot of support and resistance around and the non farm payrolls are tomorrow.

We drift through no mans land
I see a marginal greater chance of bearish movement over bullish, but not enough conviction to open a position right now.

See me begging price to go up a little so that I can load more shorts.

Target for this move is 1.11700

Trust me bro it have to go upppp

That is a BOLD speculation... will follow from the sidelines...

On H1: 1.152 has held, but hasn’t yet provided support.
On 15m, 1.152 has failed to hold, and price is just chopping.
As I see it, then, the next logical support would be at 1.1477, which is where I would have looked for longs, if the speech hadn’t happened.
However given trump’s speech, my bias is now bearish, until proven wrong.

I see a consolidation possibly forming, and price is at the bottom, so here I try a long.

M15: judt closed all shorts and on sidelines now

I did the same.. will wait for some noise to clear. no rush, the trades are always there

I am expecting some bullish momentum upwards during nyc, then continuation down…