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  • #19,541
  • Mar 31, 2026 1:35am Mar 31, 2026 1:35am
Quoting shahriar1314
{quote} Eagerly waiting.
Lets see this time!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,542
  • Mar 31, 2026 1:37am Mar 31, 2026 1:37am
Quoting johncen
{quote} bear would like to get a solid bear monthly candle, so bounce (if any) may only happen from tomorrow
USD buyers might not be so aggressive today, so I agree. But 2nd quarter might force more usd buying.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,543
  • Mar 31, 2026 3:16am Mar 31, 2026 3:16am
A lot will likely depend on what Donald Trump decides this week regarding Iran. Either way, we are currently below the monthly and weekly open.
  • #19,544
  • Mar 31, 2026 3:28am Mar 31, 2026 3:28am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} USD buyers might not be so aggressive today, so I agree. But 2nd quarter might force more usd buying.
I dont know overall trend is bearish, but if bear wants to push it down, they might wanna trap more bulls and get liqudity from above
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,545
  • Edited 3:47am Mar 31, 2026 3:30am | Edited 3:47am
H1 and Higher are still trending bearish BUT MONDAY NY SESSION created a 'breaker' order block AFTER the close and another block above it that is higher but with a bunch of trapped Longs from overnight. The Oliver Velez "Bear Elephant 180" created by trapped Longs bailing shut that door (for now) so I'm expecting Bulls to bleed is more probable.... We are currently in a tight contraction during the LONDON session with several attempts to push up that barely held above 1.1470 for any length of time. If Bulls can push past 1.1490 -1.15 We might see some big squeezes happen however its more likely that Market Maker's 'let' price rise in order to balance books and then pulled all the inventory and price broke back down.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #19,546
  • Mar 31, 2026 4:56am Mar 31, 2026 4:56am
Quoting johncen
{quote} I dont know overall trend is bearish, but if bear wants to push it down, they might wanna trap more bulls and get liqudity from above
Still in a waiting mode! April is going to be interesting. Monthly pivot should open near 1.1560 tomorrow if price closes the day here at 1.1460.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,547
  • Mar 31, 2026 4:57am Mar 31, 2026 4:57am
Tight London session, while we below 1.1484 and bull unable to even close above 1470 is pretty bearish
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,548
  • Mar 31, 2026 5:16am Mar 31, 2026 5:16am
Quoting johncen
Tight London session, while we below 1.1484 and bull unable to even close above 1470 is pretty bearish
Slow bleeding to 1.1411 or more pain at shorts
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-03-31_13-15-47.png Size: 55 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,549
  • Mar 31, 2026 7:02am Mar 31, 2026 7:02am
“1.1450 (todays low) is decision level, if we are above it, I dont sell be aware of bear trap…”
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,550
  • Mar 31, 2026 7:04am Mar 31, 2026 7:04am
If Bulls can push past 1.1490 -1.15 We might see some big squeezes happen however its more likely that Market Maker's 'let' price rise in order to balance books and then pulled all the inventory and price broke back down. come on 1.15 ... Let's GOOOOOOOOOO
  • #19,551
  • Mar 31, 2026 7:05am Mar 31, 2026 7:05am
Pentagon press briefing room waiting for Pete Hegseth and Dan Caine. Be careful with positions.
  • #19,552
  • Mar 31, 2026 7:12am Mar 31, 2026 7:12am
Selling orders should be light here at 1.1500. Trend bearish yet. With JOLTS news later more volatility will hit. The fun has started!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,553
  • Mar 31, 2026 10:21am Mar 31, 2026 10:21am
Kind of late for me, might be wise to stay out until tomorrow. This is my view for now. If institutional players sell eu should test todays low. I'm most worry about a run above the selling zone to the falling red trendline because of end of quarter exit flows.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #19,554
  • Edited 12:30pm Mar 31, 2026 11:58am | Edited 12:30pm
EURUSD H4
trendlines
The decision is being made right here 1.1547 – 1.1560
This is the most important level right now

If:

  1. Clean break + hold above 1.1560 (R)

→ Then:

  1. The bearish idea is invalidated

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H4.jpg Size: 31 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,555
  • Mar 31, 2026 12:35pm Mar 31, 2026 12:35pm
1550-60 first barrier for bull, bear may kick back in from here.

Recent moves are pretty much driven by the war but we do have non-farm this week
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,556
  • Mar 31, 2026 9:08pm Mar 31, 2026 9:08pm
After hours on the new York session the second day of the week we are currently in a healthy pullback sitting on top of the highs last Friday. To put that in perspective, all the bears still holding since the open of NY on Friday are now sitting on losses or basically "flattish". The rally today is STILL UP WELL OVER 80% OF TODAY'S PRICE RANGE. Any positions 'Long' at or near 1.15000 is a great place to start a swing trade that could go a long way using H1 or Higher. Bullish order blocks on the M15 held their ground. The A/U, NZD/U and G/U All confirm overall markets shifts even though 'Ata-boys' are frowned on looking at the bigger picture for GENERAL MARKET DIRECTION which I was scolded for pointing out elsewhere weeks ago when I said, "All I see is trapped Bulls" Now that has reversed, but needs more confirmation. BTW the way, I was born in 1951 if that has any true merit? Stay thirsty boys and girls! Never let anyone tell you how to make decisions cuz nobody else will pay for yours.
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  • #19,557
  • Mar 31, 2026 10:37pm Mar 31, 2026 10:37pm
After breaking above the 1.1558 resistance level, EUR/USD reached the downward trendline in a bullish move on the 4 hour chart, despite bearish sentiment on longer timeframes. The 1.1490-1.1500 zone is providing support, if it holds, the pair could rise further toward 1.1600/40. Conversely, a break below this level (1.1490-1.1500) would open the way for sellers to target 1.1443 and 1.1411.


Daily volatility (range) 77 pips

Significant news - US ADP & US Retail Sales


Have great day!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-04-01_06-25-57.png Size: 53 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,558
  • Mar 31, 2026 11:53pm Mar 31, 2026 11:53pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Still in a waiting mode! April is going to be interesting. Monthly pivot should open near 1.1560 tomorrow if price closes the day here at 1.1460.

Monthly pivot opened at 1.1586 after the pair bounced from 1.1460. Short term the trend is bearish below 1.1667 targeting 1.1411 and a possible break lower to 1.1300 +/-.

A break above 1.1667 targets 1.1742 and second 1.1835.

Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,559
  • Edited 2:34am Apr 1, 2026 2:14am | Edited 2:34am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Monthly pivot opened at 1.1586 after the pair bounced from 1.1460. Short term the trend is bearish below 1.1667 targeting 1.1411 and a possible break lower to 1.1300 +/-. A break above 1.1667 targets 1.1742 and second 1.1835.
thought we would retrace back to 1.1520 1.1484 before maybe going up higher but nope bull momemtum remain strong.

i have loaded a short…. Let see. Scalping trade with sl above 1620
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,560
  • Apr 1, 2026 2:50am Apr 1, 2026 2:50am
Quoting johncen
{quote} thought we would retrace back to 1.1520 1.1484 before maybe going up higher but nope bull momemtum remain strong. i have loaded a short…. Let see. Scalping trade with sl above 1620
I have something similar with my mind to close at break even, if 1.1550 is reached.

1.1510 & 1.1460
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
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