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  • #19,521
  • Mar 30, 2026 4:40am Mar 30, 2026 4:40am
dxy h1

White line (~99.85–99.90)
is:

  1. Real price action level
  2. Tested multiple times

A place where:

  1. Reactions occurred
  2. Liquidity sits

: Technically stronger level

When DXY loses a key level: (~99.85–99.90)

  1. Sellers on EURUSD lose their advantage

A move may come:

  1. Short squeeze
  2. Quick bounce to the upside

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxy.jpg Size: 37 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,522
  • Mar 30, 2026 4:50am Mar 30, 2026 4:50am
A correction to the 1.15060 area first before before breaking support area?
  • #19,523
  • Mar 30, 2026 5:08am Mar 30, 2026 5:08am
Quoting Kertas
A correction to the 1.15060 area first before before breaking support area?
Perhaps.
Time will tell.
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #19,524
  • Mar 30, 2026 6:09am Mar 30, 2026 6:09am
After a Bullish move up through Friday's close we are retesting the Weekly Market open from last night. Looking left there are two "Bull Elephant Bar 180s" reversals on a daily chart in the past 2 weeks of the after hitting Lows reaching back to July 2025. With the Higher time frames still showing a downtrend I am seeing the same manipulation setting up similar to Friday where NY session drives price up so big boys can sell into the move and further potential for another bull trap if we don't hit new lows before the open. The downside selling this morning on a tick chart is 'gappy' and lacks signs of panic (so far). Whether we hit 'bottom' is still questionable. Higher highs and higher lows must stay intact and the circled "Bull 180's" not taken out or we get another London session Bull trap. Stay thirsty....
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CHART 1.png Size: 35 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: CHART 3.png Size: 77 KB
  • #19,525
  • Mar 30, 2026 7:07am Mar 30, 2026 7:07am
Quoting josip
dxy h1 White line (~99.85–99.90) is: Real price action level Tested multiple times A place where: Reactions occurred Liquidity sits : Technically stronger level When DXY loses a key level: (~99.85–99.90) Sellers on EURUSD lose their advantage A move may come: Short squeeze Quick bounce to the upside {image}
update
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: graf.jpg Size: 35 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,526
  • Edited 10:35am Mar 30, 2026 9:03am | Edited 10:35am
EURUSD H1

H1 BOS: 1.1488
H4 BOS: 1.1484

1.1488 (H1)

  1. → Short-term structure
  2. → Quick reactions / Intraday

1.1460 (H4)

  1. → Higher timeframe
  2. → Decides trend continuation

DXY H1 - Upper green line = Dynamic R
DXY still has a chance to grow; we'll see if EURUSD lets it.
Break above 100.11 = Bullish BOS

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 555.jpg Size: 43 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,527
  • Mar 30, 2026 9:31am Mar 30, 2026 9:31am
The train left the station! Will have to trade tomorrow its late, volume will be lower from now on (I suppose) as London close will be coming closer. Maybe a bounce from here around for now but I don't buy yet!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,528
  • Mar 30, 2026 9:34am Mar 30, 2026 9:34am
done.
Daily target reached, stepping aside.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: d1.jpg Size: 35 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,529
  • Mar 30, 2026 9:46am Mar 30, 2026 9:46am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The train left the station! Will have to trade tomorrow its late, volume will be lower from now on (I suppose) as London close will be coming closer. Maybe a bounce from here around for now but I don't buy yet!
The train has either left the station or just arrived at the 'longs' station.
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,530
  • Mar 30, 2026 9:55am Mar 30, 2026 9:55am
Quoting josip
{quote} The train has either left the station or just arrived at the 'longs' station.
Finding a a perfect spot to jump in the train is the tricky part.
never try to catch a falling knife
  • #19,531
  • Mar 30, 2026 10:21am Mar 30, 2026 10:21am
1.1484 broken is significant. All tf on my chart is bearish.

it may bounce a bit here but unless we close above 1.1520 the trend is your friend.

1.1391 next target for bear
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,532
  • Mar 30, 2026 10:30am Mar 30, 2026 10:30am
Quoting josip
Let’s also look at a possible bounce, profit, (support) according to trendlines. {image}
update h4
We’ve already reached the target on H1, and now we’re at the H4 target as well.
Correcting: the H4 BOS (down) is approximately 1.1485.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H4.jpg Size: 32 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,533
  • Mar 30, 2026 11:06am Mar 30, 2026 11:06am
Quoting josip
{quote} The train has either left the station or just arrived at the 'longs' station.
1.1443 or 1.1411 might work for longs.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,534
  • Mar 30, 2026 3:59pm Mar 30, 2026 3:59pm
evening update
trendlines, falling wedge
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: bb.jpg Size: 34 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,535
  • Edited 10:27pm Mar 30, 2026 8:56pm | Edited 10:27pm
1484 retested. Still bearish though

today is last day of March and Q1
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,536
  • Mar 30, 2026 10:28pm Mar 30, 2026 10:28pm
The EUR/USD is currently consolidating above the 1.1443 support level but remains within a broader bearish trend on the daily chart. The 1.1500/21 resistance zone is holding the pair down for now, a break lower could lead to a move toward the strong support zone at 1.1411-1.1391.


Daily volatility (range) 73 pips

Significant news - EU CPI & US JOLTS Job Openings


Have great day!

4H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-03-31_06-14-19.png Size: 57 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,537
  • Mar 30, 2026 11:37pm Mar 30, 2026 11:37pm
Quoting johncen
1484 retested. Still bearish though today is last day of March and Q1
Traders that rushed selling at 1.1443 prematurely are underwater now. USD flows are favoured for the last day of the March but this day is a double edged sword. We might even see 1.1550 again!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,538
  • Mar 30, 2026 11:39pm Mar 30, 2026 11:39pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H1.jpg Size: 33 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,539
  • Mar 31, 2026 12:07am Mar 31, 2026 12:07am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} We might even see 1.1550 again!
Eagerly waiting.
never try to catch a falling knife
  • #19,540
  • Mar 31, 2026 12:11am Mar 31, 2026 12:11am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Traders that rushed selling at 1.1443 prematurely are underwater now. USD flows are favoured for the last day of the March but this day is a double edged sword. We might even see 1.1550 again!
bear would like to get a solid bear monthly candle, so bounce (if any) may only happen from tomorrow
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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