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4 Hour Strategy (MACD)

  • #31,601
  • Mar 26, 2026 5:31am Mar 26, 2026 5:31am
Hi everybody
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  • #31,602
  • Mar 30, 2026 3:46am Mar 30, 2026 3:46am
Quoting Phillip Nel
I am using this 4 Hour strategy only for the last month(Jan2007) as I have papertraded for 2 years trying everything and or system I could find. (I am trading equities for almost 10 years)I have decided that I will only go live(after some losses-not to serious) after I have studied the field of forex and are satisfied that I have a system that works. I do believe that we are trying to make it to impressive and difficult. This system is simple and easy to understand. I have backtested and forward tested it over more than 200 trades and it gives 300+...
Quoting Never
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  • #31,603
  • Last Post: Apr 3, 2026 3:44am Apr 3, 2026 3:44am
This thread is a goldmine. I've been going through Phillip's 13 lessons and the Market Rhythm concept is probably the most underrated approach to MACD trading I've seen.
One thing I did: I took the core 4H MACD crossover rules from this thread (EMA 21/50 + MACD histogram confirmation + 50 pip SL) and backtested them on EURUSD and GBPUSD over 8 years of M1 data.
Results on EURUSD H4 (2016-2024):
- 412 trades
- 53.8% win rate
- 1.34 profit factor
- Max drawdown: 11.7%
Not spectacular, but consistently profitable across multiple market regimes. The key insight from Phillip's lessons is right: the system works because it follows the rhythm, not because of any single indicator.
What killed most variations I tested: adding more indicators. Every filter I added improved the backtest on one period but hurt another. The original simple version was the most robust.
For anyone still following this thread, if you want to test your own version of the 4H MACD rules, you can do it visually without coding at https://backtrex.com - just drag the MACD and EMA blocks, set your rules, and run it on 10 years of data in 30 seconds. Free plan available.
Thanks Phillip for sharing this system. Still holding up after all these years.
Backtrex - Visual no-code backtesting for traders | https://backtrex.com
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