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  • #19,421
  • Mar 23, 2026 4:19am Mar 23, 2026 4:19am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea hence i stopped and waiting for a clearer signal
Seems we are going up!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,422
  • Mar 23, 2026 4:26am Mar 23, 2026 4:26am
"ka-chinga baby" ... lol Forex is off the wall nuts! Fast Money>>> Boom!
  • #19,423
  • Mar 23, 2026 4:42am Mar 23, 2026 4:42am
Quoting josip
{quote} What entry are you waiting for? meanwhile, trendlines {image}
update
That is exactly the type of fundamental shock that either completely destroys technical analysis or perfectly confirms it.
Trump's tweet at such a time acted as a massive liquidity injection right at the lower boundary of the red descending channel.
It is interesting that Trump's tweet came after the price touched the lower red line of the descending channel.

1. Breaking the Red Channel (Shorts Trapped) That massive white candle on the chart literally "flew through" the upper boundary of the red channel.
Everyone waiting for a pullback to the upper edge to open a short (as we discussed before) has just been "swept" out of the market. The red descending channel is now invalid. The market has aggressively rejected it.

2. Return Above the Key 1.1525 Level This is the most important technical achievement. Price is currently at 1.1576.
The "ceiling" has once again become the "floor." By returning above 1.1525 (the white horizontal line), the market confirmed that the previous drop below this level was merely a fakeout to grab liquidity.

3. CHoCH and BOS Confirmed CHoCH: By breaking the 1.1550 level, the market has officially changed its character to bullish at H1. BOS: We are in the process of confirming a structural break. If the H4 candle closes above 1.1580, the bullish scenario is officially activated.

Retest 1.1525 – 1.1540. If the price returns to test this zone and bounces, it is an ideal entry point for a Long.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 13.jpg Size: 38 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,424
  • Mar 23, 2026 4:47am Mar 23, 2026 4:47am
Quoting josip
{quote} update That is exactly the type of fundamental shock that either completely destroys technical analysis or perfectly confirms it. Trump's tweet at such a time acted as a massive liquidity injection right at the lower boundary of the red descending channel. It is interesting that Trump's tweet came after the price touched the lower red line of the descending channel. 1. Breaking the Red Channel (Shorts Trapped) That massive white candle on the chart literally "flew through" the upper boundary of the red channel. Everyone waiting for a pullback...
Excellent delivery. I completely agree! I see price heading to 1830 in a short time.
  • #19,425
  • Edited 7:42am Mar 23, 2026 7:13am | Edited 7:42am
I smell another Bull Trap in the making. E/U >>> the pre-New York open 'bump' gave big money time to dump to willing buyers and shorts covering (unless you were in long at the bottom) and it sets a bullish tone for the NY open.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #19,426
  • Mar 23, 2026 7:38am Mar 23, 2026 7:38am
big seller at 1.16397
  • #19,427
  • Mar 23, 2026 8:28am Mar 23, 2026 8:28am
Maybe its too soon to take out 1.1667 and eu finds a correction lower again but the bear has weakened more for sure after trumps taco time!

It will drop like a brick if the bombings continue.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,428
  • Mar 23, 2026 8:38am Mar 23, 2026 8:38am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Maybe its too soon to take out 1.1667 and eu finds a correction lower again but the bear has weakened more for sure after trumps taco time! It will drop like a brick if the bombings continue.
Updated chart.

We'll trade up to 1.1700/42 if the weekly pivot hold this week!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-03-23_17-36-31.png Size: 44 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,429
  • Mar 23, 2026 8:46am Mar 23, 2026 8:46am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Maybe its too soon to take out 1.1667 and eu finds a correction lower again but the bear has weakened more for sure after trumps taco time! It will drop like a brick if the bombings continue.
Iran is denying any peace talk with USA .. i don't think the five days delay would last
  • #19,430
  • Mar 23, 2026 8:54am Mar 23, 2026 8:54am
Quoting Meer-Shayhak
{quote} Iran is denying any peace talk with USA .. i don't think the five days delay would last
Where did you get this news? thanks BTW ... I smell BS on E/U. Its on the crapper and losing ground. Another Bull Trap????
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CHART 1.png Size: 74 KB
  • #19,431
  • Edited 9:52am Mar 23, 2026 9:26am | Edited 9:52am
Quoting josip
{quote} update That is exactly the type of fundamental shock that either completely destroys technical analysis or perfectly confirms it. Trump's tweet at such a time acted as a massive liquidity injection right at the lower boundary of the red descending channel. It is interesting that Trump's tweet came after the price touched the lower red line of the descending channel. 1. Breaking the Red Channel (Shorts Trapped) That massive white candle on the chart literally "flew through" the upper boundary of the red channel. Everyone waiting for a pullback...
update
We are still bullish on H1 as long as we hold 1.1530.
And this pullback to 1.1580 is completely healthy so far.

CHOCH: ~1.1530 → bullish start
BOS: 1.1640 → bullish trend confirmation
The most important factor is where the higher low forms after the BOS.

  1. Retrace to 1.1580 – 1.1550 → reaction → continuation
  2. Deeper retrace to 1.1530 → still OK (main zone)

Invalidation:
break below 1.1530 = problem
break below 1.1490 = CHOCH in the opposite direction (bearish)

1. 1.1580 as a "Psychological Barrier"

  1. Above (Buyers): If we hold above this level, the market shows that buyers are willing to purchase even at these "higher" prices after the bounce. This puts pressure on our problematic green upper line.
  2. Below (Retrace): As soon as a candle closes below 1.1580, all those who jumped into Longs late (FOMO) will start to panic and close their positions. This will trigger a downward chain reaction.

2. What are we looking for in a "Deeper Retrace"? If we fall below 1.1580, the targets for the retrace are:

  1. 1.1530 – 1.1550 Zone: This is the H1 CHoCH level. In trading, it is very common for the market to return and test the "scene of the crime" (breakout point) after such an aggressive breakout to pick up missing liquidity.
  2. White line 1.1525: This would be a deep retrace, but still technically healthy, as long as we do not fall lower.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 15.jpg Size: 37 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,432
  • Mar 23, 2026 9:29am Mar 23, 2026 9:29am
Quoting Twocans
{quote} Where did you get this news? thanks BTW ... I smell BS on E/U. Its on the crapper and losing ground. Another Bull Trap???? {image}
https://x.com/i/status/2036107136561041426 here is the source
  • #19,433
  • Mar 23, 2026 9:58am Mar 23, 2026 9:58am
Quoting Meer-Shayhak
{quote} Iran is denying any peace talk with USA .. i don't think the five days delay would last
The news are risk on for the dollar but if the market starts doubting Trumps words then we should see a drop near 1.1500. Now we should stick to the news feeds for updates.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,434
  • Edited 10:15am Mar 23, 2026 10:00am | Edited 10:15am
EURUSD H4
rising wedge
The chance of breaking today's high (1.1627) during today's session is minimal.

1.1580 (Pivot) – Holding If we close the day above this level, bulls still have a chance tomorrow morning.
1.1550 (Retrace) – Drop below Pivot If we fall here, it confirms that the upper green line on H4 is the definitive ceiling for this week.

Today was about Trump and emotions; tomorrow will be about whether those gains can hold.

1.1617 is not a major S/R, but:
a very important intraday reaction zone (mini supply)
which decides whether the market will take one more look higher.

Practical use: 1.1617 = flip zone

  1. below = short reactions
  2. above = long continuation

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H4.jpg Size: 27 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,435
  • Mar 23, 2026 10:03am Mar 23, 2026 10:03am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} The news are risk on for the dollar but if the market starts doubting Trumps words then we should see a drop near 1.1500. Now we should stick to the news feeds for updates.
https://x.com/i/status/2036122293131153832 The war will continue according to IRAN and isreal
  • #19,436
  • Mar 23, 2026 10:05am Mar 23, 2026 10:05am
price closed backed inside the triangle on H4
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 43 KB
  • #19,437
  • Mar 23, 2026 11:24am Mar 23, 2026 11:24am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Seems we are going up!
bull did really well today.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,438
  • Mar 23, 2026 11:16pm Mar 23, 2026 11:16pm
Not much changed since yesterday, 1.1576 holds and the buyers have another chance to reach higher to test 1.1640/67. From the other the sellers should look for a continuation below the support towards 1.1530/00

EU/US PMI'S will create volatility so will have in mind the calendar for the red events.

Have a great day!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,439
  • Mar 24, 2026 12:39am Mar 24, 2026 12:39am
Mmmh, *rubs chin*
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #19,440
  • Mar 24, 2026 1:45am Mar 24, 2026 1:45am
The 1.15800 level on the 4-hour chart has been acting as strong support since yesterday, with no candle closing below it. This has solidified its position as a key support level. A break below this level could open the door for a retest of the 1.15550 and 1.15350 levels.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot 2026-03-24 114038.png Size: 33 KB
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