Thank you
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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11:15 AM, +730 points. Cool.
For the big reverse trade, I trusted four things:
=> the compressed green GMMA.
=> the stretched gray GMMA.
=> the vertical price action.
=> SMA 100 < green GMMA.
Plus, we had an Ichimoku Price Excess on the M5 timeframe, along with some resistances...
* M5 chart:
For the big reverse trade, I trusted four things:
=> the compressed green GMMA.
=> the stretched gray GMMA.
=> the vertical price action.
=> SMA 100 < green GMMA.
Plus, we had an Ichimoku Price Excess on the M5 timeframe, along with some resistances...
* M5 chart:
Dax only.
- Why is 200 EMA pink on the chart?It is part of the 5x Long GMMA and serves as a quick reference point.
==> As long as 200 EMA is clearly distinct from the other Long GMMAs, the bias linked to the GMMA stacking remains strong.
==> The more 200 EMA merges with the others, the weaker that bias becomes.
==> When 200 EMA blends into the other GMMAs while they are compressed and starting to trend, it’s a high-probability trend reversal alert for that timeframe. (This is exactly where most traders lose back their profits because they get trapped by the reversal.)
This duo—the Pink 200 EMA + Green Long GMMAs—is something to watch closely: it is a powerful alert.
Dax only.
- #427
- Mar 18, 2026 1:18am Mar 18, 2026 1:18am
- Joined Aug 2010 | Status: absolute beginner | 5,464 Posts
thank you tyross, this is of great help!
I'll take that into consideration, since it really makes sense.
trading is like dancing, don't think and just listen to the music!
- #430
- Mar 20, 2026 5:16am Mar 20, 2026 5:16am
{quote} Everything I've come across on the GMMA shows lower number period EMAs based on the 1Hr timeframe. You focus on the same EMAs (along with a 100 SMA added) -- but with a 12x multiplied period multiple for a focus on the 5Min timeframe, correct?
Don't rely solely on the posted charts, as I take liberties with my system if I feel the situation allows it.
What matters is understanding that the GMMA x 5, the pink EMA 200, and the yellow SMA 100 provide the safest possible context. From there, the trader acts based on their own experience.
Dax only.
I’ve been posting less lately, I realized I was just keeping a trading journal that served no purpose other than stroking my own ego...
The real point of this thread is the power of the 100 SMA bias. It’s incredibly reliable day in and day out, especially with this incompetent and out-of-control US president.
I only take trades in the direction of the 100 SMA slope—the current climate is way too dangerous to try and play 'excess' reversals. I make sure that between the M1 and M5 timeframes, I find at least one 100 SMA with a very solid slope (I’ve already explained how to assess that strength). I also check how the variation threshold of that 100 SMA is going to evolve over the next 10 periods (explained that too).
My goal: hit my daily target (200 points) before the clown in the White House wakes up and posts some bullshit. So, living in France, I’ve generally been working from 9:00 AM to 11:30 AM lately. Right now, there are a bit over 300 points on the chart I’ve cleaned up for FF—the essentials are all there.
The real point of this thread is the power of the 100 SMA bias. It’s incredibly reliable day in and day out, especially with this incompetent and out-of-control US president.
I only take trades in the direction of the 100 SMA slope—the current climate is way too dangerous to try and play 'excess' reversals. I make sure that between the M1 and M5 timeframes, I find at least one 100 SMA with a very solid slope (I’ve already explained how to assess that strength). I also check how the variation threshold of that 100 SMA is going to evolve over the next 10 periods (explained that too).
My goal: hit my daily target (200 points) before the clown in the White House wakes up and posts some bullshit. So, living in France, I’ve generally been working from 9:00 AM to 11:30 AM lately. Right now, there are a bit over 300 points on the chart I’ve cleaned up for FF—the essentials are all there.
Dax only.
- #433
- Mar 30, 2026 10:33am Mar 30, 2026 10:33am
- Joined Aug 2010 | Status: absolute beginner | 5,464 Posts
I’ve been posting less lately, I realized I was just keeping a trading journal that served no purpose other than stroking my own ego...
Unfortunately, that’s the price you pay for having so much experience—you just want to share so much.
Out there in the “normal” world, people don’t have a clue when you try to tell them about your job.
We’re social creatures, even us traders. And here in the forum, you realize that as a trader or scalper, you’re a bit of a specialist—because that’s the niche where you succeed—and then hardly anyone really understands you.
Not even my wife understands me and my charts... but she notices when I’m happy about a successful trade, and that’s what counts.
Donald is great, though—with his comments and posts, he brings volatility to the market, and we need that, don’t we? ;-)
trading is like dancing, don't think and just listen to the music!
{quote} Unfortunately, that’s the price you pay for having so much experience—you just want to share so much. Out there in the “normal” world, people don’t have a clue when you try to tell them about your job. We’re social creatures, even us traders. And here in the forum, you realize that as a trader or scalper, you’re a bit of a specialist—because that’s the niche where you succeed—and then hardly anyone really understands you. Not even my wife understands me and my charts... but she notices when I’m happy about a successful trade, and that’s...
Regarding volatility, White House insider trading is disrupting the DAX, which is usually healthily volatile.
Dax only.
Salut, You don’t have to talk about points. Simply illustrating the interesting setups is informative enough. Personally, I also trade mean reversion, but on the CAC and with much more modest results. So I’m really pleased to see someone who’s doing better than me.
The Dax is very volatile, which is why I just grab 200 points quickly and call it a day. If you feel like it, feel free to post whatever you want here, even if it’s unrelated to the thread. We don't care about the points—what matters are ideas, methods, and tips...
Dax only.
{quote} Exactly the same thing, but against M5 SMA 100 this time. The chart is M1 view, with short TPs (mostly the 15-25(blue) EMAs). {image}
I'm not taking any risks with the 'pumpkin' posting nonsense the moment he wakes up. Quick and easy. My daily target of 200 points is hit.
Dax only.