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  • #19,281
  • Mar 9, 2026 7:31am Mar 9, 2026 7:31am
Look left to a year ago the value of EURO. Why should the current exchange rate make sense considering that Europeans might not be able to afford to heat their home the next Winter.
  • #19,282
  • Mar 9, 2026 9:16am Mar 9, 2026 9:16am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Market makers should have a ton of selling orders to cover and meanwhile they keep buying deeps towards 1500 zone until they dump eu eventually!
Could it be possible that higher time frame 'round trips' are selling into every bullish rally attempt while the NY session on Friday was bullish in to the close yet it collapsed at the open Sunday and is not showing any real bullish aggression today?
  • #19,283
  • Mar 9, 2026 10:41am Mar 9, 2026 10:41am
Quoting Twocans
{quote} Could it be possible that higher time frame 'round trips' are selling into every bullish rally attempt while the NY session on Friday was bullish in to the close yet it collapsed at the open Sunday and is not showing any real bullish aggression today?
Institutional desks and hedge funds don't like holding heavy "Short" risk over the weekend given the current geopolitical headlines (Iran/Energy). They buy back their shorts to flatten out, which pushes the price up into the Friday close.

The Reality: This wasn't "new buyers" entering the market, it was just "old sellers" leaving.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,284
  • Mar 9, 2026 11:06am Mar 9, 2026 11:06am
This is where resistance stands. The red zone is a confluence of the daily and 4-hour timeframes, institutions often use these zones to liquidate longs and reload shorts. Fundamental analysis also supports a bearish outlook, suggesting a sell limit or a trend-following move toward 1.1470. If the setup doesn't hold, I will seek further confluence and execute a low-risk trade according to my risk-to-reward ratio
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,285
  • Mar 9, 2026 12:21pm Mar 9, 2026 12:21pm
"The Reality: This wasn't "new buyers" entering the market, it was just "old sellers" leaving." Don't "Old Sellers" have to be 'Old Buyers' before they can be old sellers? I'm thinking the action over the last few weeks is more like Central Banks that hold 100's of millions that accumulate positions over months or even years. The kind of money that unwinds positions that can't move in and out overnight or over a weekend. The same way as Bitcoin, Gold or large cap stocks like GE or Ford Motor Company move... I'm looking at weekly and monthly charts for high time frame direction. The spike in Jan on E/U was a multi year high, said before, it looks just like a Nasdaq small cap 'Pump and Dump'. Time will tell if the Gap down at the weekly open and 'Fill' today that appears to have topped out around mid session was another trap to dump?
  • #19,286
  • Edited 1:46pm Mar 9, 2026 12:24pm | Edited 1:46pm
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  • #19,287
  • Mar 9, 2026 2:36pm Mar 9, 2026 2:36pm
Trump speculation push
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Consistency is key
  • #19,288
  • Mar 9, 2026 2:37pm Mar 9, 2026 2:37pm
Nice push, gap closed… bull needs to sustain above 162x to push higher for a pull back.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,289
  • Mar 9, 2026 2:45pm Mar 9, 2026 2:45pm
Yes but retail sentiment is still bullish. I'm still expecting lower levels. Looking for longs under 1.15
  • #19,290
  • Mar 9, 2026 2:49pm Mar 9, 2026 2:49pm
As you can see majority of retail is long EUR and neutral USD.. this is something to watch out for - and is meant to be traded against.
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  • #19,291
  • Mar 9, 2026 3:22pm Mar 9, 2026 3:22pm
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Structure is still similar for Jan-Feb 2018-2026 this year so I am expecting a green candle this month.

I think the war issues, Russia against Ukraine, Pakistan against India and Afghanistan and USA and Israel (so far) against Iran got the safe haven BID on USD but the duel issues inflation and weak employment stepping on the ASK for USD. Really depends on the FOMC and how they play it.

I am working a somewhat hedged short on EURUSD (slightly bearish) long term and playing both long and short for income in swing account. Right now I have been shorting as I see more short term down side with movers rotating from gold to oil. Oil is the new gold right now.

Happy trades to you,
NB
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #19,292
  • Mar 9, 2026 11:37pm Mar 9, 2026 11:37pm
The EUR/USD rose above 1.1600 yesterday, closing the gap and reaching 1.1645. This created a strong bullish formation from the 1.1507 low seen earlier on Monday. For now, the price is expected to trade below 1.1657 without a clear direction, maintaining a bearish bias. As long as the 1.1657–1.1507 range holds the market will range, but if it breaks we could see a move toward 1.1707 or 1.1745 on the upside, or 1.1468/55 and 1.1400-1.1391 on the downside.

Daily volatility (range) 61 pips


Have great day!


4H
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  • #19,293
  • Mar 10, 2026 2:52am Mar 10, 2026 2:52am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD rose above 1.1600 yesterday, closing the gap and reaching 1.1645. This created a strong bullish formation from the 1.1507 low seen earlier on Monday. For now, the price is expected to trade below 1.1657 without a clear direction, maintaining a bearish bias. As long as the 1.1657–1.1507 range holds the market will range, but if it breaks we could see a move toward 1.1707 or 1.1745 on the upside, or 1.1468/55 and 1.1400-1.1391 on the downside. Daily volatility (range) 61 pips Have great day! 4H {image}...
Should this be a fakeout at 1657 resistance heading into the London open, we need to watch out!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,294
  • Mar 10, 2026 3:00am Mar 10, 2026 3:00am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Should this be a fakeout at 1657 resistance heading into the London open, we need to watch out!
or if we will get a continuation?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,295
  • Mar 10, 2026 3:13am Mar 10, 2026 3:13am
Quoting johncen
{quote} or if we will get a continuation?
I believe 1.1700 is possible if the situation with us/iran/israel cools more.

1.1600-1.1580 is keeping the upside for 1.1550/30
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,296
  • Mar 10, 2026 3:24am Mar 10, 2026 3:24am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I believe 1.1700 is possible if the situation with us/iran/israel cools more. 1.1600-1.1580 is keeping the upside for 1.1550/30
1707 my initial target but there are many decsending highs over there. Ideally i would wait for 1743 being taken before considering shorts but let see
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,297
  • Mar 10, 2026 3:56am Mar 10, 2026 3:56am
Quoting Whale
{quote} next level should be 1.1648 and 1.1725

1.1648 hit

plus 136 pips for me in 24h trade

just noticed this thread is impostor Ata's thread. Lol

have a good one.
  • #19,298
  • Mar 10, 2026 4:04am Mar 10, 2026 4:04am
Quoting Whale
{quote} 1.1648 hit plus 136 pips for me in 24h trade just noticed this thread is impostor Ata's thread. Lol have a good one.
This is not other persons thread other than this: Only EURUSD

You are in the right one!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,299
  • Mar 10, 2026 10:25am Mar 10, 2026 10:25am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Should this be a fakeout at 1657 resistance heading into the London open, we need to watch out!
No move here after the morning, selling and buying have pinned the price at 1650. Some upside still in the cards but 1600 might be revisited before. Buying on a break above todays high is wise and not here without confirmation.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,300
  • Mar 10, 2026 3:12pm Mar 10, 2026 3:12pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} No move here after the morning, selling and buying have pinned the price at 1650. Some upside still in the cards but 1600 might be revisited before. Buying on a break above todays high is wise and not here without confirmation.
choppy pa as expected. If 1607 cannot trigger a bounce to create a new block of consolidation then maybe 1575 will be revisited
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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