You deserve to hear this feedback, I must say I couldn't do this without your knowledge, if you ever plan on doing coaching or consulting (DAX focused) I would like a spot reserved.
2
- #388
- Edited 3:53am Mar 6, 2026 3:38am | Edited 3:53am
Ok, + 640 points today. 
=> + 3569 points this week.
Extraordinary work this morning by the SMA 100 on the M6 chart, very solid (its reversal threshold is well below the current price).
However, from this point forward, the SMA 100 is becoming difficult to read—a clear signal to call it a day (ECB speech at 11:00 AM, followed by a flurry of announcements during the US session. Plus, it’s Friday).
On the chart i've circled a very specific trade. 
==> I hesitated to post it this week because it’s intended for experienced traders who know the Dax inside out.
==> It’s what we call the '8:30 Reverse.'
==> Essentially, at the 8:00 AM open, the Dax accelerates; we simply know that around 8:30 AM, it tends to correct.
==> Of course, the Dax doesn't wear a watch and does as it pleases, so you have to keep the net price line as close to the current price as possible, which requires entering multiple positions.
==> This is a period where broker spreads widen, slippage occurs, and price action is brutal—often ignoring support and resistance levels entirely. In short, we rack up a lot of points (196 this morning on this trade alone, over 300 yesterday), but it is dangerous.
== > You must absolutely confirm a trading bias using the SMA 100 slope (from M1 to M5 or M6, you need a strong SMA somewhere to reinforce the trade).
=====>
Conclusion: Trade at your own risk, avoid leverage... but it pays well.
=> + 3569 points this week.
Extraordinary work this morning by the SMA 100 on the M6 chart, very solid (its reversal threshold is well below the current price).
However, from this point forward, the SMA 100 is becoming difficult to read—a clear signal to call it a day (ECB speech at 11:00 AM, followed by a flurry of announcements during the US session. Plus, it’s Friday).
On the chart i've circled a very specific trade. ==> I hesitated to post it this week because it’s intended for experienced traders who know the Dax inside out.
==> It’s what we call the '8:30 Reverse.'
==> Essentially, at the 8:00 AM open, the Dax accelerates; we simply know that around 8:30 AM, it tends to correct.
==> Of course, the Dax doesn't wear a watch and does as it pleases, so you have to keep the net price line as close to the current price as possible, which requires entering multiple positions.
==> This is a period where broker spreads widen, slippage occurs, and price action is brutal—often ignoring support and resistance levels entirely. In short, we rack up a lot of points (196 this morning on this trade alone, over 300 yesterday), but it is dangerous.
== >
You must absolutely confirm a trading bias using the SMA 100 slope (from M1 to M5 or M6, you need a strong SMA somewhere to reinforce the trade).=====>
Conclusion: Trade at your own risk, avoid leverage... but it pays well. 
Dax only.
Price Excess on Ichimoku (M15). (go to post 1)One of the most reliable Ichimoku patterns. You need a support zone for the reaction—it’s not magic.
My week is over, so I won't be trading this correction, but it’s great to see setups like this that truly help the trader.
EDIT: few minutes later, while I was writing the post..
Dax only.
Ok, + 640 points today.
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{quote} Impressive consistency this week. The read on the M6 SMA 100 and the timing around the 8:30 reverse makes a lot of sense. Appreciate you highlighting the execution risks as well — that’s where many traders get caught. Well done.
Behind the results, as you can imagine, there’s a lot of work. And plenty of failures. It’s a good thing, though, because we learn very little from our victories, but a great deal from our defeats.
Dax only.
Hi guys,
I’m going to provide a synthesis of the methodology behind a standard trading session, like yesterday's for example. This was intended to help organize the information posted on the thread, and I’ve been asked for it in my DMs anyway.
There will be two posts: the preparation, and the trading session itself.
I’m not going to invent some virtuous methodology to tickle the ears of the most demanding purists. I’m going to describe my exact daily routine on my own system. I trade every day on a single real account (I haven't had a demo account in a very long time). I quit my job back in 2014 to focus solely on trading, my passion.
PS : If I offend any sensitive souls who follow immutable dogmas carved in stone by the gods of demo-account trading....... then so be it.
I’m going to provide a synthesis of the methodology behind a standard trading session, like yesterday's for example. This was intended to help organize the information posted on the thread, and I’ve been asked for it in my DMs anyway.
There will be two posts: the preparation, and the trading session itself.
I’m not going to invent some virtuous methodology to tickle the ears of the most demanding purists. I’m going to describe my exact daily routine on my own system. I trade every day on a single real account (I haven't had a demo account in a very long time). I quit my job back in 2014 to focus solely on trading, my passion.
PS : If I offend any sensitive souls who follow immutable dogmas carved in stone by the gods of demo-account trading....... then so be it.
Dax only.
Hi guys, I’m going to provide a synthesis of the methodology behind a standard trading session, like yesterday's for example. This was intended to help organize the information posted on the thread, and I’ve been asked for it in my DMs anyway. There will be two posts: the preparation, and the trading session itself. I’m not going to invent some virtuous methodology to tickle the ears of the most demanding purists. I’m going to describe my exact daily routine on my own system. I trade every day on a single real account (I haven't had a demo account...
POST 1/2 : Before the trading session.
Turn on my PC around 7:30 AM.
==> I check the Asian session for the major global indices and review the day's economic calendar.
==> On my trading platform, I only display the DAX.
* First: The Global Dynamic. What is the underlying trend across timeframes? Starting from the M15 up to the Daily, I examine the green GMMA (layering, spacing, and direction) and the slope of the 100 SMA. At each timeframe, I assess the 'strength' of the 100 SMA slope and evaluate its probable future direction (go to post 1). This is fundamental, as it allows me to put lower timeframes into a global perspective.
* Second: Drawing Levels. I plot my levels using Ichimoku and Price Action swing highs/lows, starting from the W1 and working down to the M15.
* Third: Lower Timeframe Analysis. I analyze the lower timeframes ranging from M1 to M6 (using GMMA and the 100 SMA).
* Fourth: I plot the previous day's opens and closes for both the DAX index and the DAX Future.
----------> By the time the 8:00 AM open approaches, I am ready.
Dax only.
POST 2/2: Trading session.
The trading principle of this system is simple: it’s like a swimmer fighting against a river current. Eventually, he will tire out, and the current will sweep him away.
I look for moments where the price accelerates sharply but against the trend of the lower timeframes. This trend is, of course, defined by the price action itself on the traded timeframe (upward or downward), but also by the green GMMA and the 100 SMA.
There is nothing revolutionary here, except for the anticipation of the "current strength" of the slope of SMA 100. This is evaluated by the -100 inversion threshold, and also by the "probability of future strength" by observing how this threshold will shift in subsequent periods. This concept, though absent from most discussions, is extremely powerful (refer to Post 1).
What we are trading is price capitulation. It will capitulate because the current is too strong on the timeframe itself—or on the immediately higher timeframes—and because an obstacle (support or resistance) will block its path.
Why not just enter a single position with a Stop Loss? Because price action on very low timeframes is a "wild horse," especially on the DAX. You never know exactly when it will actually capitulate. Support and resistance levels are merely zones surrounded by a layer of fog. The price might reverse without touching the level, or conversely, slice right through it before snapping back (creating a rejection wick on higher timeframes).
==> Therefore, we "attack" the price with multiple small positions as it evolves, moving the global net average price closer to the future inversion point.
Throughout the session, I monitor different timeframes to determine the direction of the river's current.
I also keep an eye out for two specific Ichimoku setups: "Kumo Anomaly" and "Price Excess" (Post 1), which I look for on M15 and above. These two configurations are strong.
My Take Profits are short: usually the 15-25 EMA on M1 or M2. I don’t aim beyond the 15 EMA on M5 because experience shows this EMA often creates bottlenecks. My goal is to bank profits quickly and wait for the next setup. I have no interest in intraday swings.
Sometimes, a price that seemed overextended continues its run, and a strong move develops against our positions. This scenario, and its management, has been explained elsewhere in the thread (post 1).
The trading principle of this system is simple: it’s like a swimmer fighting against a river current. Eventually, he will tire out, and the current will sweep him away. I look for moments where the price accelerates sharply but against the trend of the lower timeframes. This trend is, of course, defined by the price action itself on the traded timeframe (upward or downward), but also by the green GMMA and the 100 SMA. There is nothing revolutionary here, except for the anticipation of the "current strength" of the slope of SMA 100. This is evaluated by the -100 inversion threshold, and also by the "probability of future strength" by observing how this threshold will shift in subsequent periods. This concept, though absent from most discussions, is extremely powerful (refer to Post 1). What we are trading is price capitulation. It will capitulate because the current is too strong on the timeframe itself—or on the immediately higher timeframes—and because an obstacle (support or resistance) will block its path. Why not just enter a single position with a Stop Loss? Because price action on very low timeframes is a "wild horse," especially on the DAX. You never know exactly when it will actually capitulate. Support and resistance levels are merely zones surrounded by a layer of fog. The price might reverse without touching the level, or conversely, slice right through it before snapping back (creating a rejection wick on higher timeframes).==> Therefore, we "attack" the price with multiple small positions as it evolves, moving the global net average price closer to the future inversion point.
Throughout the session, I monitor different timeframes to determine the direction of the river's current. I also keep an eye out for two specific Ichimoku setups: "Kumo Anomaly" and "Price Excess" (Post 1), which I look for on M15 and above. These two configurations are strong. My Take Profits are short: usually the 15-25 EMA on M1 or M2. I don’t aim beyond the 15 EMA on M5 because experience shows this EMA often creates bottlenecks. My goal is to bank profits quickly and wait for the next setup. I have no interest in intraday swings. Sometimes, a price that seemed overextended continues its run, and a strong move develops against our positions. This scenario, and its management, has been explained elsewhere in the thread (post 1).
- Can we trade session opens? Yes.
- Can we trade the news? Yes.
- Is this type of trading accessible to beginners? I doubt it.
Dax only.
How do you monitor all the timeframe in the same time ? how many screen do you need ?
Dax only.
Is this the main premise of the method? not taking into account ichimoku Kinko Hyo interactions.
Also can see in the immediate future the -100 and -20 will move further away.
Also slope of the 100 sma M1 and M5, did not mention that on chart! How could i forget that!
Rather than look at M1 and M5 charts combined on M5, noting M1 and M2-3 is used for Dax
Also can see in the immediate future the -100 and -20 will move further away.
Also slope of the 100 sma M1 and M5, did not mention that on chart! How could i forget that!
Rather than look at M1 and M5 charts combined on M5, noting M1 and M2-3 is used for Dax
When the –20 and –100 price levels are turned into a cloud‑style indicator and the Guppy MMA is added on top (with each EMA increase by five periods higher), the interaction between the cloud and the Guppy can highlight high‑probability pullback trades. When the cloud is wide and price is trading below it, the trend is strong. If price then pulls back into the Guppy—ideally into the space between the two Guppy bands—that pullback often marks a high‑probability continuation setup. In this structure, the blue 100‑period SMA acts as the main trend anchor. Is this correct? Or have I got it wrong?
When the –20 and –100 price levels are turned into a cloud‑style indicator and the Guppy MMA is added on top (with each EMA increase by five periods higher), the interaction between the cloud and the Guppy can highlight high‑probability pullback trades. When the cloud is wide and price is trading below it, the trend is strong. If price then pulls back into the Guppy—ideally into the space between the two Guppy bands—that pullback often marks a high‑probability continuation setup. In this structure, the blue 100‑period SMA...
Your system visually materializes the forces at play—whether they are overextended or balanced. It incorporates both the present, through the interrelation of the20 and 100 SMAs, and the past, via the positioning of the -20 and -100 levels and their own interrelation.
You are right in the heart of market cyclicality. It’s a personal way of integrating the concepts of immediate slope anticipation and near-future probability.
Clearly, you’ve grasped the principle very well and very quickly.
I strongly encourage you to keep at it, as you are making the method your own according to your own logic—which is the best way to go. Great work!
Dax only.