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EURUSD only

  • #223,221
  • Mar 3, 2026 2:01am Mar 3, 2026 2:01am
Quoting Georginson
{quote} That's a great and convincing Call Ata... I see the gap closing at 1.1810 area, while the low may be limited to 1.1630 area. If drawdown of 30 - 60 pips can be tolerated, then one can have a long to 1.1810 this week.
Long at 1.1644.... target 1.1810

Second buy limit at 1.1600... target 1.1810

This may take days but I'm willing to wait as money management is applied.
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #223,222
  • Mar 3, 2026 2:04am Mar 3, 2026 2:04am
Quoting jonasdao
Now I would like to see price move toward 1.1540. I will continue to sell pullbacks and build short positions.
I personally am seeing somewhere around 1.58 to 1.57 . Price currently in a daily pressure zone of which a sudden rise from here wouldn't be surprising either.
  • #223,223
  • Mar 3, 2026 2:06am Mar 3, 2026 2:06am
At the moment, both psychologically and factually, the vast majority is short EURUSD — myself included — but that’s exactly what makes it dangerous. When everyone is positioned on one side, it can quickly reverse, simply because there’s no one left to follow through. These are the kinds of setups that often lead to sharp, erratic counter-moves. Nothing moves in a straight line forever even when the broader direction seems clear, the market still needs corrective rallies along the way. Good luck!
  • #223,224
  • Mar 3, 2026 2:06am Mar 3, 2026 2:06am
Bulls It’s better to wait for a bullish setup on H1 or H4 TF
  • #223,225
  • Mar 3, 2026 2:13am Mar 3, 2026 2:13am
Quoting Cavar
Bulls It’s better to wait for a bullish setup on H1 or H4 TF
Are you trading on the 15min?
  • #223,226
  • Edited 2:37am Mar 3, 2026 2:15am | Edited 2:37am
Quoting Georginson
{quote} Long at 1.1644.... target 1.1810 Second buy limit at 1.1600... target 1.1810 This may take days but I'm willing to wait as money management is applied.
What’s your total risk across both entries?
SL at 1.157?
When the trumpet sounds, you won't be able to hear the techno anymore.
  • #223,227
  • Mar 3, 2026 2:16am Mar 3, 2026 2:16am
I closed all my shorts, now flat and waiting.
  • #223,228
  • Mar 3, 2026 2:17am Mar 3, 2026 2:17am
For now, every H1 candle is bearish. No point fighting the momentum. When the market reverses, it’ll be obvious. For now, it’s dropping.
  • #223,229
  • Mar 3, 2026 2:44am Mar 3, 2026 2:44am
Quoting Endoephemera
Increasing the short on any up retr. with target 1.1625...
Partial TP my short with 120 PiPs.
Approaching the 1.1577 previous low.
Possible end of down retr and up or break the PL... Waiting
Practitioner of the cryptic trading arts
  • #223,230
  • Mar 3, 2026 2:52am Mar 3, 2026 2:52am
Quoting Endoephemera
{quote} Partial TP my short with 120 PiPs. Approaching the 1.1577 previous low. Possible end of down retr and up or break the PL... Waiting

Must feel good.
When the trumpet sounds, you won't be able to hear the techno anymore.
  • #223,231
  • Mar 3, 2026 2:52am Mar 3, 2026 2:52am
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  • #223,232
  • Mar 3, 2026 3:06am Mar 3, 2026 3:06am
This is likely the decision point whether we now see a rebound toward at least the 1.1660–70 area or a continuation lower.

I have no clear edge at the moment and am just observing. However, given the extremely oversold conditions, a short-term rebound appears more probable to me. We’ll see how it plays out.
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  • #223,233
  • Mar 3, 2026 3:21am Mar 3, 2026 3:21am
My next support zone is 1.15942
Will place a buy there.

Thankfully the weather is nice so I don't have to sit inside all day and watch my account drain lmao.
Do or do not, there is no try - Master Yoda
  • #223,234
  • Mar 3, 2026 4:11am Mar 3, 2026 4:11am
Crazy 0.72% and it's 10:00am UK time, guess its another day of skipping trading EU.

Good luck the rest of you who are pulling money from these conditions

Let's try again tomorrow
Emotions kill profits
  • #223,235
  • Mar 3, 2026 4:20am Mar 3, 2026 4:20am
Quoting Georginson
{quote} Long at 1.1644.... target 1.1810 Second buy limit at 1.1600... target 1.1810 This may take days but I'm willing to wait as money management is applied.

No easy money...
  • #223,236
  • Mar 3, 2026 4:37am Mar 3, 2026 4:37am
That’s exactly why I hate politically driven markets of any kind. Economic data, technical analysis, and other “normal” market factors lose their relevance. Some participants panic, others stay calm and in such an environment, proper price discovery becomes almost impossible.

That’s why I’m just watching and waiting for things to calm down at some point. But that could take a while, and in the meantime, anything is possible. EURUSD could rally back to 1.17 today or drop further toward 1.15, fast, erratic moves may become the norm.

Right now, there are no clear probabilities in either direction. It feels like pure gambling like betting on red or black at the roulette table. In times like these, it’s often better to step aside and focus on other things in life, if possible.
  • #223,237
  • Mar 3, 2026 4:40am Mar 3, 2026 4:40am
Quoting Georginson
{quote} Long at 1.1644.... target 1.1810 Second buy limit at 1.1600... target 1.1810 This may take days but I'm willing to wait as money management is applied.
Buy 2 manual entry at 1.1601... I will be patient with both entries. The bears are still in control but drawdowns are prepared for ahead.
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #223,238
  • Mar 3, 2026 4:40am Mar 3, 2026 4:40am
Quoting jonasdao
Now I would like to see price move toward 1.1540. I will continue to sell pullbacks and build short positions.
1.154 here we come. Go bears!!!
When the trumpet sounds, you won't be able to hear the techno anymore.
  • #223,239
  • Mar 3, 2026 5:25am Mar 3, 2026 5:25am
Quoting Leser
That’s exactly why I hate politically driven markets of any kind. Economic data, technical analysis, and other “normal” market factors lose their relevance. Some participants panic, others stay calm and in such an environment, proper price discovery becomes almost impossible. That’s why I’m just watching and waiting for things to calm down at some point. But that could take a while, and in the meantime, anything is possible. EURUSD could rally back to 1.17 today or drop further toward 1.15, fast, erratic moves may become the norm. ...
I disagree. In my view, the current macro backdrop favors the bearish side.
This aligns with what I outlined in my post from January 14:
Quoting jonasdao
{quote}...a renewed oil supply shock linked to Iran would place significant strain on the European economy—particularly given the continued exclusion of Russian energy imports. This would amount to a pronounced energy squeeze...
When the trumpet sounds, you won't be able to hear the techno anymore.
  • #223,240
  • Mar 3, 2026 5:30am Mar 3, 2026 5:30am
Still watching to see a bottom base... no base structure = no buying...

In these circumstances 99.99% of buyers always will regret the consequences of their actions... Same old same old...
Focus only on what truly matters!
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