Market view based on my Trading systems and Experience

Hello everyone,
I have decided to create a thread to discuss the upcoming market which is going to trend and give best opportunities. Based on my trade explorer i will discuss the best trading opportunities on different trading pairs. And on which market sector , trading instruments etc is trending. Since i din't see any thread similar to this, i decided to create my own thread. It will be interesting to see how we can capture best market opportunities and find the best trending trading instruments to bank profits. Also i will discuss what's the best way to build your trading systems to build an edge and survive long term in any kind of markets.
I will see how much engagement this thread is going to get, if it's decent then i will keep updating my views on market at the latest.
Thanks, let's keep it respectful and no trolling allowed here.

Rules
1) You can post your own analysis, but you should explain why you think this or that trade you're taking based on the market trends/fundamentals etc. For example, something like this.
" I am short on xauusd , because i can see dollar news is bullish and it will impact xauusd the most"
2) No trolling on someone's trade idea, they can be wrong or right, nobody gets it right 100% of the time
3) Also you should explain the timeframe on the trade ideas, is it based on 1 hr , 4 hr ? etc..
4) You can also explain fundamental analysis which can or can not be based on a trade idea but macro views.

Our thinking might be flawed, how can we know for sure ?

Well they can be wrong it's not 100% for sure, as i said in my rule #2 it can be right or wrong. Some can interpret money flow based on the particular market sector going bullish, for example metals is the only market that's going up, so it seems money is flowing to these sector. Some can use fundamental analysis to determine it based on the news , interest rate etc. While somebody might interpret based off on pure volume.
Having said that, i understand the confusion that might arise with the word " money flow " i will replace it with "trend" just so it's clear for everyone.

For the coming weeks, i see metals market ( gold , silver etc ) is going to be bullish. For the following reasons
1) Although this week majority of profit came from indices like ftse100, jp225 etc. By the end of this week, all my trading systems signalled bullish signal for metals, which when it happens means the trend is very strong.
2) A lot of SL hunting happened on metals market before making a clean move, this is typical before a huge upside move.

Macro view ( Price action and discretionary experience of money flow rotation )
1) DXY has been hovering around the 0.618 Fib level and making red candles whenever it's near those levels.
2) Even though news came in positive for US dollar like unemployment claims being less, ppi being positive etc, yet Dollar is having a hard time breaking that 0.618 Fib level is a major red flag for bearishness on US dollar.
3) Gold and Silver although been ranging for a while this week, hasn't shown any sharp decline or spike downward even with positive news on US dollar.
4) All things considered, this seems like positions has been building aggressively and it has been relatively strong against USD even when news has been positive for US dollar. So the probability of metals going up is very high, if there is even one negative news against US dollar from this level now ~ DXY 97.646. And so i think the trend for metals market to upside is going to last atleast few more weeks if not months.

Thanks,
it took me a lot of time to articulate my view on the market. So i would appreciate to see some engagement from you guys.

A slight update to this post,
By ranging on gold and silver for this week, i meant before the clean upwards move on friday it was ranging from monday to thursday.

DXY broke 0.786 convincingly, my view changes on market. It seems market is bullish on US dollar, especially USDJPY, since my two different EA models picked up on usdjpy long idea.
So for the time being my view on metals market is neutral until i see evidence for it on my system picking gold or silver trade.
Thanks.
Attached is the latest DXY chart

One of the core system that is required for any profitable system is risk management i.e managing the losses. How much you loss on the bad day and how much you gain on the best day will make or break your trading account.

1) There is so many different things to talk about how you can improve this or that etc, but the most simple and yet complex way to improve your risk management to the best possible way is to build an exit system, where you lose less when you're wrong and capture more profits when you're right.

2) Look for ways to constantly monitor trending market on different markets like metals , indices , currencies etc. Money typically flows from one market to another, having this methodology you not only reduce your drawdown by being married to single market and holding losses. But also capture more trending markets to ride the profits. This you can build mechanically or through discretionary experience or both ( which is advanced and need years of experience )

3) Prepare for worst case scenario in your system/EA etc, by implementing a way to limit losses you will be making in a day, but keep the profit potential to the upside open. So this way, you have put edge in your favor by building an asymmetric risk:reward in your favor. So overtime/trades equity graph should keep going up witth small draw downs here and there.

4) Always prefer to design your system in higher timeframe view like 4hr , daily , weekly etc, that way you give your system additional edge to ride the big money waves.

That's all for now, there is so many more things to discuss on how you can improve your trading system. But that's for another day, or if anyone wants to ask questions on how they can imrpove theirs, feel free to ask here not in DM.
Thanks.

Based on my discretionary analysis:
US dollar is going to be weak and reach that support level atleast before anything major happens. If it goes up from here and breaks ~100.640 without any wicks. Then the move will be tremendous to the upside and it will be one sided move to the US Dollar. But for now it seems trend seems to be on the downside for US dollar.

Based on my trading systems:
Trend seems to be on the stronger side on Indices , BTC etc meaning it's seeming like risk on environment although it's not crowded yet ( better enter now than later ).
When it gets crowded it gets choppy, for the time being i would keep an eye on UK100, JP225 indices.
Gold and Silver ( Metals market ) are not showing significant strength yet, so better to look for long trades on indices for now.

So my probability of big market moves for the coming weeks is going to be
1) Indices Long and BTC Long
2) Metals Long
3) USDJPY Short

Thanks,
Please like if you did like my market analysis. This is one of those few threads where i comment on Live market analysis before it happens and no stupid after the market moves posting screenshot etc..

Forgot to add my DXY chart, here it is.

Great this kind of thread isn’t just about trades, it’s about growth.
Most traders come into the market chasing entries… but very few take the time to understand why they’re entering. That’s where the real edge is built. A space like this, where ideas are shared with logic, patience, and honesty, can genuinely help people evolve.
The market humbles everyone at some point wins and losses are part of the journey. What matters is having a place where traders can learn from each other without ego, without noise, and without fear of being wrong.
If you stay consistent with this, this thread won’t just track opportunities… it’ll shape better traders.
Looking forward to your insights.

Based on my discretionary analysis:
DXY seems to have found sellers on the fib area which i already mentioned in my previous post and huge red candle without any wicks means only 1 thing. Aggressive US dollar dumping. I am also attaching the chart as to how DXY chart looks now.

Based on my trading systems:
After a very long time, i am seeing long buys on gold and silver on both of my trading models, which again happens rarely, and when it happens the move is big either to the downside or upside.

So my biggest bet for the coming weeks will be on:
1) Gold Long
2) Indices Long especially Uk100 and Nor25 ( norway index )
3) Shorting US dollar

Thanks.