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  • #222,641
  • Feb 22, 2026 6:50am Feb 22, 2026 6:50am
Going to be interesting to see which way its going to push as its last week of the month.

Not gonna say much on direction yet, will see at 6am Monday morning
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Emotions kill profits
  • #222,642
  • Feb 22, 2026 8:23am Feb 22, 2026 8:23am
Quoting TomIsTheGoat
Hey guys, after a lot of hard work both yesterday and on friday, along with a total revamp of my strategy, (no longer a gambling strategy lol) I finally feel confident again, like last year, where I in fact did not gamble. so from my analysis, I actually agree with Ata. (I made my own analysis first, understood why certain things happened, then compared my charts to his (best way to do it imo)) however, it’s got slightly different values. From the 4hr chart, we can see that the support at 1.17427 actually held and the previous resistance at 1.18075...
Whenever any retail trader including me allows the Market Rulers (banks,etc) to induce emotional involvement and overtake ANY RATIONAL APPROACH that a trader makes based on their own terms it always goes against the trader. If price is non directional back away with higher time frames and WAIT till the trap is complete and you can smell the fear and feel the pain of the masses. Nothing is worse than trading in the middle of a tight sideways range out of BORDEM.
  • #222,643
  • Feb 22, 2026 11:05am Feb 22, 2026 11:05am
hi ...
i check 4h chart....
only sell is active...
first target is 1.16980
after that if price close that price in 4h
next target is 1.16220
  • #222,644
  • Feb 22, 2026 11:08am Feb 22, 2026 11:08am
it is possible market opened with big sell gap ....
but if not we can open sell position for target 1.16980
  • #222,645
  • Feb 22, 2026 12:33pm Feb 22, 2026 12:33pm
Quoting Twocans
{quote} Whenever any retail trader including me allows the Market Rulers (banks,etc) to induce emotional involvement and overtake ANY RATIONAL APPROACH that a trader makes based on their own terms it always goes against the trader. If price is non directional back away with higher time frames and WAIT till the trap is complete and you can smell the fear and feel the pain of the masses. Nothing is worse than trading in the middle of a tight sideways range out of BORDEM.
yep agreed, as per my original plan, no trade being taken until confirmation; had to pay back my lesson twice…
2000 elo sometimes...
  • #222,646
  • Feb 22, 2026 2:38pm Feb 22, 2026 2:38pm
Quoting TomIsTheGoat
{quote} yep agreed, as per my original plan, no trade being taken until confirmation; had to pay back my lesson twice…
In my experience the market usually provides a sweet entry shortly after whatever break happens. By sitting on your hands and resisting the initial gamble, you increase your odds to 50/50 which is all you need to be a winner.
  • #222,647
  • Feb 22, 2026 4:57pm Feb 22, 2026 4:57pm
I am currently at 1rr, I have placed my stop at breakeven (I am long).
  • #222,648
  • Feb 22, 2026 5:08pm Feb 22, 2026 5:08pm
Still way too early for me, and at first glance this is not looking like an impulsive monday. I am actually expecting price to come back to 1.1754, partially boosted by the gap left at today's open.
Should any h4 candles close below 1.1742, I will turn bearish, but for now I am bullish short term, I am expecting to see what happens at 1.18075.
2000 elo sometimes...
  • #222,649
  • Feb 22, 2026 5:56pm Feb 22, 2026 5:56pm
Quoting TomIsTheGoat
Still way too early for me, and at first glance this is not looking like an impulsive monday. I am actually expecting price to come back to 1.1754, partially boosted by the gap left at today's open. Should any h4 candles close below 1.1742, I will turn bearish, but for now I am bullish short term, I am expecting to see what happens at 1.18075.
Agree. This is a Bull trap. When is the last time you saw a breakout that didn't come back in the range. It happened sometimes for two or three days during the .com bubble but eventually rockets always turn to rocks. I'd rather watch for exhaustion of the Bulls when the 'uh-oh, oh-shit' moment comes and they start running for the fire exist to go short.
  • #222,650
  • Feb 22, 2026 6:00pm Feb 22, 2026 6:00pm
for those who followed the call 3.4rr in progress, you can close now or wait (personally I set my stop at 1rr (1.18)) My first goal is 1.185
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  • #222,651
  • Feb 22, 2026 6:09pm Feb 22, 2026 6:09pm
Quoting Twocans
{quote} Agree. This is a Bull trap. When is the last time you saw a breakout that didn't come back in the range. It happened sometimes for two or three days during the .com bubble but eventually rockets always turn to rocks. I'd rather watch for exhaustion of the Bulls when the 'uh-oh, oh-shit' moment comes and they start running for the fire exist to go short.
On the broader scale since March of last year several breakouts haven’t gone back March/ April/ November 2025 and also mid January 2026. Monthly chart is easiest to see but daily and 4hr show it as well. I’m sure you’re talking more about smaller timeframe breakouts but still these things do and have happened recently.
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Consistency is key
  • #222,652
  • Feb 22, 2026 11:51pm Feb 22, 2026 11:51pm
Well, it was a slight impulsive monday, and this confirms the trend is now bullish, however I would only enter long as soon as price pullbacks.Real target is still 1.175, but we'll see...
2000 elo sometimes...
  • #222,653
  • Feb 23, 2026 12:20am Feb 23, 2026 12:20am
Looks like it filled in all the trapped sellers and we didn't see a rejection.

My bias is bullish , sadly no entry yet , will be on the sidelines waiting!

Have a good day all!
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Emotions kill profits
  • #222,654
  • Feb 23, 2026 12:23am Feb 23, 2026 12:23am
Quoting TomIsTheGoat
Well, it was a slight impulsive monday, and this confirms the trend is now bullish, however I would only enter long as soon as price pullbacks.Real target is still 1.175, but we'll see...
Maybe one more 'push' up into the London Session before a collapse prior to the NY session and another round trip up. I'm looking for a spike above the current HOD 1.18345 into the order block on FEB. 17 and then a rug pull?
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  • #222,655
  • Feb 23, 2026 12:29am Feb 23, 2026 12:29am
Yeah i do also want to say even though I'm bullish today, it is extremely likely we are going to end up in a big bearish market by the end of the week.

Why? Well here is how weekly DXY chart looks like, no clear bias. But for me looking at the chart it screams bullish it wants to push up. Think we are going to be trapping bulls for the next 2-3 days and going to end with a big sell off. Could even happen today let's see
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Emotions kill profits
  • #222,656
  • Feb 23, 2026 12:40am Feb 23, 2026 12:40am
Quick H1 Outlook

  1. We arrived at some decision zone again...
  2. For now, as long as candles open above 1.1804, I go with rinse & repeat buying dips...

Happy new trading week to all

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #222,657
  • Feb 23, 2026 12:42am Feb 23, 2026 12:42am
Quoting Twocans
{quote} Agree. This is a Bull trap. When is the last time you saw a breakout that didn't come back in the range. It happened sometimes for two or three days during the .com bubble but eventually rockets always turn to rocks. I'd rather watch for exhaustion of the Bulls when the 'uh-oh, oh-shit' moment comes and they start running for the fire exist to go short.
it will be a bulls trap for those that do not have a good entry position and also do not place their SL in a good position away from liquidity-filled zone.

what i think about trading is that you focus on your strategy. Once all you parameters align, enter the trade with a good risk management system and forget about what big banks are doing.

The only result of any good trade, placed in accordance to your strategy and system is that either price hit SL or price hit TP. But if your strategy have an 80 percent win rate, you'll eventually be profitable.

I have a good system and strategy. So I personally don't carr about the banks. This morning, I have entered a long position, made profit and I'm out watching from sidelines. But I'm sure some people are still holding positions either because their strategy permits it or because they're ignorantly gambling.

We stay green this week fam...
  • #222,658
  • Feb 23, 2026 12:47am Feb 23, 2026 12:47am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Quick H1 Outlook We arrived at some decision zone again... For now, as long as candles open above 1.1804, I go with rinse & repeat buying dips... Happy new trading week to all {image}
On point my chief. I wait for dips to start happening. I'd buy again after a 45 pips dip
  • #222,659
  • Feb 23, 2026 12:49am Feb 23, 2026 12:49am
I would like to step out from the shadows to post my feedback from the ignoramus blaming Ata for their losses. You need to trade your strategy. This is not a copy trading service.

Ata has nothing close to the same strategy as me, yet we consistently align on our levels and biases. There are times I have it wrong and sometimes Ata has it wrong. That's trading. I follow Ata because I use his posts to see if my analysis aligns. If it does - that's a confluence for me. If it does not, I double check my analysis and either reconsider my position or I "go it alone" and stand strong in my belief in myself as a skilled trader.

Ata - you keep doing you! You are incredibly kind and generous with your time and responses. Simply ban people like this.
10% chart. 90% mind.
  • #222,660
  • Feb 23, 2026 12:53am Feb 23, 2026 12:53am
customs taxes are increasing EUR, however the story with Iran threatens to increase the dollar so I remain in position as long as there is no announcement which will indicate a change in price
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