When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
- #222,521
- Feb 19, 2026 7:04pm Feb 19, 2026 7:04pm
- Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Fooled by randomness | 8,365 Posts
- #222,523
- Feb 19, 2026 11:07pm Feb 19, 2026 11:07pm
- Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Risk comes from not knowing what to | 2,235 Posts
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
- #222,524
- Feb 20, 2026 12:30am Feb 20, 2026 12:30am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,215 Posts | Online Now
M15: For me, the trend here stays bearish while candles open below 1.1783.... Only selling until we arrive at 1.1710/20 area...
Happy Friday folks
Happy Friday folks
Focus only on what truly matters!
- #222,525
- Feb 20, 2026 12:40am Feb 20, 2026 12:40am
Good morning guys.
I see how active this thread is, and I wanted to show you some of my way of thinking. I made another post yesterday if you want to go and check it out so you can get the full story.
This is my analysis and thought process, of course I couldn't everything that goes in my head there as it would need a book to do that, but I hope you enjoy, and get some value from that.
Please, do not let my analysis distract you or give you false bias.
Best regards, Kejdi.
I see how active this thread is, and I wanted to show you some of my way of thinking. I made another post yesterday if you want to go and check it out so you can get the full story.
This is my analysis and thought process, of course I couldn't everything that goes in my head there as it would need a book to do that, but I hope you enjoy, and get some value from that.
Please, do not let my analysis distract you or give you false bias.
Best regards, Kejdi.
- #222,526
- Feb 20, 2026 12:52am Feb 20, 2026 12:52am
My overall bias remains bullish based on the 1W structure, where price is still holding within a broader upward context.
However, on the 1D timeframe, price has recently struggled to sustain above the 0.618 Fibonacci level, suggesting a possible loss of short-term momentum.
Given this, I'm watching for a potential deeper retracement toward the 0.786 Fibonacci zone, which comes in around 1.1685- 1.1655.
I don't have a fixed timing for this move, but structurally it feels likely that price may revisit this area before any continuation higher.
For now, I'm staying patient and observing how price behaves if it approaches this zone.
However, on the 1D timeframe, price has recently struggled to sustain above the 0.618 Fibonacci level, suggesting a possible loss of short-term momentum.
Given this, I'm watching for a potential deeper retracement toward the 0.786 Fibonacci zone, which comes in around 1.1685- 1.1655.
I don't have a fixed timing for this move, but structurally it feels likely that price may revisit this area before any continuation higher.
For now, I'm staying patient and observing how price behaves if it approaches this zone.
“Fall seven times, stand up eight.”
- #222,529
- Feb 20, 2026 2:12am Feb 20, 2026 2:12am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,215 Posts | Online Now
This week: One final day of struggle and week will end around 1.1860 I guess... Next week: I expect complete bearishness down until 1.1710/30-ish levels... then a stall again... The week after next week: Bulls kick back in and price attacks 1.20 levels again... In other words: Sideaways....Down 1.17....Sideways...Up 1.20 Just thinking out loud..{image}
1) Last week truly ended around 1.1860
2) Now.. this week.. Can bears push price down to 1.1710/30 levels? Almost there!
3) Then shall come a week of sideways movement..
4) And finally a week where bulls rally to 1.20 levels...
Step by step...
Focus only on what truly matters!
- #222,540
- Feb 20, 2026 6:47am Feb 20, 2026 6:47am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,215 Posts | Online Now
Focus only on what truly matters!