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  • #221,421
  • Feb 3, 2026 7:40am Feb 3, 2026 7:40am
Market still looks bearish overall.
For now, I'm treating rallies as sell opportunities - rise on sell bias remains intact.
That said, there's some uncertainty with the US government shutdown situation. I don't have a strong read on how much impact it'll have, but clearly risk has increased, so position sizing and execution need extra
For now, sticking with structure and letting price confirm. Let's see how it plays out - will reassess as things develop.
“Fall seven times, stand up eight.”
  • #221,422
  • Feb 3, 2026 7:48am Feb 3, 2026 7:48am
Quoting thevine0
I don't understand forex factory, I see a red folder in the news area does that mean today is a bad trading day?
Forex Factory assigns a flag colour to indicate the degree to which the news to be released is of fundamental importance: red (high degree importance); orange (mid degree importance); yellow (low degree importance).
No follow-up questions here, please. We are breaking house rules as it is. Do further due deligence outside the group thread.
I see Beasts. I drop my scalpel and beckon to theatre nurse: "Charts!&
RubiconFund Return Today: 38.4%
  • #221,423
  • Feb 3, 2026 7:58am Feb 3, 2026 7:58am
It may have been early, but I'm holding it until 1.7906, closing below it, cutting my losses.
Dare to think simply, try it, it will be good!
  • #221,424
  • Feb 3, 2026 8:04am Feb 3, 2026 8:04am
Bearish day
1760 magnet
  • #221,425
  • Feb 3, 2026 8:07am Feb 3, 2026 8:07am
I once learned: we see the same chart, just not in the same way.
Dare to think simply, try it, it will be good!
  • #221,426
  • Feb 3, 2026 8:08am Feb 3, 2026 8:08am
This is either the longest bear trap of all time or I am completely wrong in my thesis. Time will tell.
Do or do not, there is no try - Master Yoda
  • #221,427
  • Feb 3, 2026 8:11am Feb 3, 2026 8:11am
Most critical hour of the day.. The retest of 1.1780.... Let's see when bulls will kick in... Stepping down to M5 to catch earliest buy signal...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #221,428
  • Feb 3, 2026 8:15am Feb 3, 2026 8:15am
a nice pullback not over yet.
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  • #221,429
  • Feb 3, 2026 8:38am Feb 3, 2026 8:38am
It will still be good for the long run. I was probably early, my wife always says so too
Dare to think simply, try it, it will be good!
  • #221,430
  • Feb 3, 2026 8:39am Feb 3, 2026 8:39am
1.1776 is my current support zone. I am waiting for the trend to either sweep and continue ipwards with momentum, or a continuation until the imbalance in the 1hr fvg at 1.176. My idea of trend is still bearish like yesterday, and to really change I would wait first for a close above yesterday’s high at 1.182. Obviously if the structure respects the 1.1776 support.
2000 elo sometimes...
  • #221,431
  • Feb 3, 2026 8:47am Feb 3, 2026 8:47am
Quoting BenWarburton
This is either the longest bear trap of all time or I am completely wrong in my thesis. Time will tell.
possibility is people are waiting for jolts openings, yesterday we had good us news, so chances are news will affect the markets.

nvm just found out about us gov shutdown, so another news is president lagarde’s speech…
2000 elo sometimes...
  • #221,432
  • Feb 3, 2026 8:58am Feb 3, 2026 8:58am
Quoting TomIsTheGoat
{quote} possibility is people are waiting for jolts openings, yesterday we had good us news, so chances are news will affect the markets. nvm just found out about us gov shutdown, so another news is president lagarde’s speech…
Funny week. Probabaly no NFP data on friday again. Get your night vision for trading in the fog.
  • #221,433
  • Feb 3, 2026 9:00am Feb 3, 2026 9:00am
2nd time price bounce off M30 middle Bollinger
  • #221,434
  • Feb 3, 2026 9:00am Feb 3, 2026 9:00am
Quoting GodsClown
{quote} Funny week. Probabaly no NFP data on friday again. Get your night vision for trading in the fog.
Correct, no NFP, what a crazy time to be alive ours…
2000 elo sometimes...
  • #221,435
  • Feb 3, 2026 9:20am Feb 3, 2026 9:20am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Most critical hour of the day.. The retest of 1.1780.... Let's see when bulls will kick in... Stepping down to M5 to catch earliest buy signal...
I have bought every bounce off 1.1780 - now have no more liquidity. I am all in long on this pair. Any breakdown I will have to sell some of my initial longs from 1.04 - which is hefty profit but not ideal compared to if I took them this time last week.
Do or do not, there is no try - Master Yoda
  • #221,436
  • Feb 3, 2026 9:29am Feb 3, 2026 9:29am
Quoting BenWarburton
{quote} I have bought every bounce off 1.1780 - now have no more liquidity. I am all in long on this pair. Any breakdown I will have to sell some of my initial longs from 1.04 - which is hefty profit but not ideal compared to if I took them this time last week.
Wishing you humongous profits then...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #221,437
  • Feb 3, 2026 9:37am Feb 3, 2026 9:37am
Quoting BenWarburton
{quote} I have bought every bounce off 1.1780 - now have no more liquidity. I am all in long on this pair. Any breakdown I will have to sell some of my initial longs from 1.04 - which is hefty profit but not ideal compared to if I took them this time last week.
1.04...!!
You must be an ancient-of-days long-termer!
I see Beasts. I drop my scalpel and beckon to theatre nurse: "Charts!&
RubiconFund Return Today: 38.4%
  • #221,438
  • Feb 3, 2026 9:46am Feb 3, 2026 9:46am
Quoting surgeon
{quote} 1.04...!! You must be an ancient-of-days long-termer!
haha yes I have sat on my hands for over a year now. My average position is down at 1.11 - my target has always been all the way up at 1.3
Reason? Musk did a nazi solute on-stage and nobody in US government criticised him... Quite simply I lost faith in the US democracy. I am fortunate to have friends across Europe who have noticed a strengthening between European countries, finding a common ground "how dumb can the USA be?"

I guess my analysis is purely "feel", nothing technical. Though I only place positions where volatility has peaked in the past. Places of high liquidity and so fast confirmations too.
Do or do not, there is no try - Master Yoda
  • #221,439
  • Feb 3, 2026 9:47am Feb 3, 2026 9:47am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Most critical hour of the day.. The retest of 1.1780.... Let's see when bulls will kick in... Stepping down to M5 to catch earliest buy signal...
where is the target Ata-Turkoglu
  • #221,440
  • Feb 3, 2026 10:33am Feb 3, 2026 10:33am
Quoting BenWarburton
{quote} You're welcome brother. I know it's easy to get wrapped up in seeing big winners on these forums; particularly when (and I am making big assumptions here) we are all looking to make a living out of trading. Big wins feel great but none of us can hit 100% of the time, so what we risk is big losses. If your account size is £1k - then making £10 a week is market beating and actually incredible gains. It's in our nature to want more, hubris and therefore pride always leads to a fall. I am lucky to have never blown my account but in my first...
Bro cut soap for me, I have blown all my live and demo accounts, the only strategy I have now only works if the anchor range of my support and resistance zone is not greater than 60pips (too volatile) and no trade in this eurusd is even less than 200pips anchor range the volatility has been crazy I can't find any entry
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