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Waiting at the Riverband

  • #3,301
  • Jan 28, 2026 5:13am Jan 28, 2026 5:13am
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} it means continuation of strong momentum going up as already seen from asia session. it means very weak momentum going down during london session. london low may have already been set. {image}
I hope you are not right this time : ) But looking at that hammer candle with 10$ wick might be pointing to London Low
  • #3,302
  • Jan 28, 2026 5:21am Jan 28, 2026 5:21am
Quoting Msaman
{quote} I hope you are not right this time : ) But looking at that hammer candle with 10$ wick might be pointing to London Low
tonight there is the fomc.
they cannot just push the price all the way up or else will run out of steam.
they pushed the price down during london and with better price drives it back up and stay there until fomc.
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #3,303
  • Jan 28, 2026 6:34am Jan 28, 2026 6:34am
could the intention be sweeping london low?
but nyse open pushes price up.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #3,304
  • Jan 28, 2026 6:41am Jan 28, 2026 6:41am
Quoting Inthebox
could the intention be sweeping london low? but nyse open pushes price up. {image}
If they are keeping the rates the same should strengthen the dollar and that will be the drop.
London Low has been broken so many times. Today might be the exception
  • #3,305
  • Jan 28, 2026 6:46am Jan 28, 2026 6:46am
Quoting Msaman
{quote} If they are keeping the rates the same should strengthen the dollar and that will be the drop. London Low has been broken so many times. Today might be the exception
nowadays there are no logic.
i have seen gold, usd and us indices all moving in same direction.
the focus is always on the current market price reaction at snr.
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #3,306
  • Jan 28, 2026 6:47am Jan 28, 2026 6:47am
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} nowadays there are no logic. i have seen gold, usd and us indices all moving in same direction.
I do agree. I just trade the chart thanks to you mate.
I cant wait to tell my wife I am quitting driving and focusing on this one
  • #3,307
  • Jan 28, 2026 6:51am Jan 28, 2026 6:51am
Quoting Msaman
{quote} I do agree. I just trade the chart thanks to you mate. I cant wait to tell my wife I am quitting driving and focusing on this one
no. don't quit.
do parallel for 6 months first.
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #3,308
  • Jan 28, 2026 6:52am Jan 28, 2026 6:52am
do you believe that dow diverges from the rest?
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #3,309
  • Jan 28, 2026 6:54am Jan 28, 2026 6:54am
Quoting Inthebox
do you believe that dow diverges from the rest? {image}
No idea what I am looking at. Lol
It looks this way but I have no idea how to interpret the chart
  • #3,310
  • Jan 28, 2026 7:08am Jan 28, 2026 7:08am
talking about timing. got out in time.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #3,311
  • Jan 28, 2026 7:13am Jan 28, 2026 7:13am
Quoting Inthebox
talking about timing. got out in time. {image}
Wow what the heck happened I was considering a buy then I saw this, was this news? I dont think so

Edit: I think its Just USD
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  • #3,312
  • Jan 28, 2026 7:20am Jan 28, 2026 7:20am
Bessent says US 'absolutely not' intervening in Dollar-Yen
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/13...-in-dollar-yen
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #3,313
  • Jan 28, 2026 7:24am Jan 28, 2026 7:24am
Couldnt enter at 5236 ( and did it at 5247 and sold already : )
3000 pips in total today
11% today. I am shaking lol
  • #3,314
  • Jan 28, 2026 7:41am Jan 28, 2026 7:41am
@ITB, is this a valid setup?
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  • #3,315
  • Jan 28, 2026 7:45am Jan 28, 2026 7:45am
Quoting Inthebox
guys back test the following, or any method that suits you when not a trading day. everyday there is something. only thing is your patience to wait. traders often have problems with trend and entry level. the solution is 200ema (for those who need an indicator), trade during market session, riverbank pattern. 1. trend - up when price above 200ema 2. market session - trading period 3. riverbank pattern - m5/m15 for trade entry a. liquidity sweep b. break of structure (very important for containing fomo) c. pullback to engulf finding a method that...
Thanks for this ITB, I think I needed this to help me understand the model even more.
Still getting to grips with which timeframe suits me best, but slowing down and taking the build up of each step in phases has helped.
  • #3,316
  • Jan 28, 2026 8:46am Jan 28, 2026 8:46am
Quoting jeedy
@ITB, is this a valid setup? {image} {image}
remember to draw the h4 engulf just to give more confidence that htf engulf is backing up the ltf engulf.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #3,317
  • Jan 28, 2026 9:00am Jan 28, 2026 9:00am
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} tonight there is the fomc. they cannot just push the price all the way up or else will run out of steam. they pushed the price down during london and with better price drives it back up and stay there until fomc.
do you now see what are they doing?
they play you in the consolidation, up down up down, and finally bring it back to the top for fomc.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #3,318
  • Jan 28, 2026 1:56pm Jan 28, 2026 1:56pm
This is the second day it just goes ballistic after 20:00 GMT.
No comment
  • #3,319
  • Jan 28, 2026 5:27pm Jan 28, 2026 5:27pm
we have to be aware of our own performance that may not be due to our own very skills.
it can be just that we happend to be around in a super trend run.
we happen to be at the right place at the right time.
do not allow the gambling mode to be turned on. check our mental state of mind.
this bad habit will come back to you in future that can blow off your account.
be humble and have a teachable heart to learn from the market. check on our own ego.

we always lament on hardly there were any movements during consolidations.
consolidation can go both ways. however it becomes a strong zone of support and resistance from then on.
these 2 days there were periods of consolidations and gold shot up after new york lunch time.
so it depends which part of the globe you come from.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #3,320
  • Jan 28, 2026 5:38pm Jan 28, 2026 5:38pm
Quoting Inthebox
we have to be aware of our own performance that may not be due to our own very skills. it can be just that we happend to be around in a super trend run. we happen to be at the right place at the right time. do not allow the gambling mode to be turned on. check our mental state of mind. this bad habit will come back to you in future that can blow off your account. be humble and have a teachable heart to learn from the market. check on our own ego. we always lament on hardly there were any movements during consolidations. consolidation can go both...
OMG, Its a 750 pips $75 range.
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Success = Practice + Patience + Persistence
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