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EURUSD only

  • #221,141
  • Jan 28, 2026 1:42am Jan 28, 2026 1:42am
Attached is the market sentiment and the 4H chart for DXY and EURUSD. The market sentiment didn't change much from yesterday. Stay safe guys.
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  • #221,142
  • Jan 28, 2026 1:50am Jan 28, 2026 1:50am
Exy status.
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  • #221,143
  • Jan 28, 2026 1:59am Jan 28, 2026 1:59am
Quoting Lhelene
In my opinion, today's FOMC meeting will determine whether to continue trading EUR/USD. My hope is that interest rates will rise. If that happens and the market doesn't fall, then I'll have to stop trading EUR/USD because it would be like gambling, which is not my goal. If interest rates do fall slightly, the price should stabilize because it's already significantly overvalued by about $0.04. If the rate doesn't move, then the market should fall. If EUR/USD still doesn't follow the fundamentals, I'll stop trading this asset for a while and switch...
I think you made perfect sense. However, I thought forex is traded by very smart people. But recently instead of the news to be digested. Investors react to just headline. It felt exhausting. I may be wrong though.
  • #221,144
  • Jan 28, 2026 2:10am Jan 28, 2026 2:10am
Inserted Video
  • #221,145
  • Jan 28, 2026 2:25am Jan 28, 2026 2:25am
Quoting Michaelin008
{quote} I think you made perfect sense. However, I thought forex is traded by very smart people. But recently instead of the news to be digested. Investors react to just headline. It felt exhausting. I may be wrong though.
People are afraid of the dollar, but as a result, we're just doing psychology. If I had wanted to study psychology, I would have become a psychologist. However, the markets reflect the current population, which is to say, reactionary. Between trading algorithms that panic at the slightest provocation and the scourge of technical analysis that thinks it can replace fundamentals, we end up with completely incoherent exchange rates like EURUSD. But let's look at the FOMC; we'll learn more about market psychology.
  • #221,146
  • Jan 28, 2026 3:29am Jan 28, 2026 3:29am
Placing a cheeky little long here for the funsies.

No analysis just pure vibes

Long @1.19836

1.19929 is looking like a key resistance
Do or do not, there is no try - Master Yoda
  • #221,147
  • Jan 28, 2026 3:39am Jan 28, 2026 3:39am
Quoting Vikolee
{quote} We've have have come to a junction where he intentionally makes the market erratic with his tweets. The Tarrif clown
Not surprising to me. Erratic communication has been part of his style for years, including suggesting injecting disinfectant during the pandemic.

My focus, therefore, is on adjusting position sizing and expectations to the current market conditions — however difficult that may be.
When the trumpet sounds, you won't be able to hear the techno anymore.
  • #221,148
  • Jan 28, 2026 3:39am Jan 28, 2026 3:39am
Quoting BenWarburton
Placing a cheeky little long here for the funsies. No analysis just pure vibes Long @1.19836 1.19929 is looking like a key resistance
Quick in and out - took profits at 1.19929.

Am I the market maker?
Do or do not, there is no try - Master Yoda
  • #221,149
  • Jan 28, 2026 3:47am Jan 28, 2026 3:47am
Quoting BenWarburton
Big move means high Historical Volatility and a real big peak. The largest spike on the 1m timeframe for the past 3 years (as far back as my chart can go). {image} Price point to watch out for: 1.20486 If I were biased short I would place an entry next time it touches. I am biased long so I will wait for a breakthrough and retest.
If you had a short bias and placed an order here you could have caught a nice and easy 2:1 trade

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The past 2 weeks I have found my strategy working really well.
Do or do not, there is no try - Master Yoda
  • #221,150
  • Jan 28, 2026 3:49am Jan 28, 2026 3:49am
LONG AND HOLD IT LET'S SEE
“Fall seven times, stand up eight.”
  • #221,151
  • Jan 28, 2026 4:28am Jan 28, 2026 4:28am
Quoting arjunansh
LONG AND HOLD IT LET'S SEE
OUT -7PIPS
“Fall seven times, stand up eight.”
  • #221,152
  • Jan 28, 2026 4:50am Jan 28, 2026 4:50am
I think it is safe to say that Trump and his counterpart want a cheap dollar. So they can hoard it later and spike up the price. I remembered when he was about to be elected, i heard niggas saying its gonna benefit the stock market. Man got there and started moving mad.
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You can be wrong half of the time and still make a fortune
  • #221,153
  • Jan 28, 2026 5:22am Jan 28, 2026 5:22am
Looking for a long entry at 1.18845

Way to go before then but any longs before that point would be catching a falling knife.

Away from the charts for most of today - best of luck to all!
Do or do not, there is no try - Master Yoda
  • #221,154
  • Edited 6:16am Jan 28, 2026 5:35am | Edited 6:16am
Slow day today as it seems
2000 elo sometimes...
  • #221,155
  • Jan 28, 2026 6:32am Jan 28, 2026 6:32am
Whats everyone’s stance on high impact news days? Do you guys still trade or do you stand down and just observe? Do you wait for the news to hit and then trade on strategy? Also how do you guys think todays high impact news is going to effect the markets?
  • #221,156
  • Jan 28, 2026 7:10am Jan 28, 2026 7:10am
Quoting TomIsTheGoat
Slow day today as it seems
It's expected. Real movement start when the impact data/news/reports start dropping. For now, it's better to stay on the sidelines except if you are sure about the market sentiment and your entry. Bulls are active, Bears are ready. We are in a tight corner.
  • #221,157
  • Jan 28, 2026 7:22am Jan 28, 2026 7:22am
Quoting Lobogo
Whats everyone’s stance on high impact news days? Do you guys still trade or do you stand down and just observe? Do you wait for the news to hit and then trade on strategy? Also how do you guys think todays high impact news is going to effect the markets?
Best to observe a day like today if you're unsure.

Trading the news can be profitable but you have to understand that the institutions get the information seconds to minutes before we do - us retail traders are their exit liquidity. Unless you have a Bloomberg terminal or some insider knowledge you are really chasing (or guessing) direction when trading news.

For me, I like to find a direction (bias) and allow the news to settle before taking position. Price tends to retest multiple times so patience can pay off.
Do or do not, there is no try - Master Yoda
  • #221,158
  • Jan 28, 2026 7:37am Jan 28, 2026 7:37am
Quoting BenWarburton
{quote} Best to observe a day like today if you're unsure. Trading the news can be profitable but you have to understand that the institutions get the information seconds to minutes before we do - us retail traders are their exit liquidity. Unless you have a Bloomberg terminal or some insider knowledge you are really chasing (or guessing) direction when trading news. For me, I like to find a direction (bias) and allow the news to settle before taking position. Price tends to retest multiple times so patience can pay off.
Let's use yesterday's big move as fun example. Trump says he doesn't mind the dollar weakening - this confirms to institutional traders that the dollar is likely to weaken. We saw a huge push up on EUR/USD in reaction. I did not place a long trade because I don't have a clear target and the run could turn at any moment.

What we see today is a retrace from that quick move, price is likely to get back down to pre-news levels. This retrace is driven by institutions taking profits from the aforementioned retail traders (us). The difference is that we now know that institutions are okay with price as high at 1.208 (a target). It's just a matter of where you think a long will have a good enough risk:reward based on your own risk tolerance.

As mentioned before, my target is down at 1.18845
Do or do not, there is no try - Master Yoda
  • #221,159
  • Jan 28, 2026 7:59am Jan 28, 2026 7:59am
now price at 1.19525 H4 support , if break we will see 1.18845 soon. But if support price will going north back to 1.20000
Rising and falling like waves in the ocean
  • #221,160
  • Jan 28, 2026 8:20am Jan 28, 2026 8:20am
I’m honestly so fucking done with this pair, this is genuinely untradable, I’m going to reset today, I don’t think I am ever trading eurusd ever again…
2000 elo sometimes...
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