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The Swamp

  • #126,401
  • Jan 26, 2026 9:51am Jan 26, 2026 9:51am
Quoting johncen
{quote} as of now i guess we have to prepare that we may see a new high before any retracement given it is so bullish
I'm just waiting..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,402
  • Jan 26, 2026 9:55am Jan 26, 2026 9:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm just waiting..
same here. Too high for me to buy. Too risky to sell
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,403
  • Jan 26, 2026 10:14am Jan 26, 2026 10:14am
Quoting gatorinla
Missed the EA buy earlier. {image}
If you bought, you may want to tp a little and b.e..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,404
  • Jan 26, 2026 1:37pm Jan 26, 2026 1:37pm
That yen move was big.. On the uj with 10 moves in the last 6 moves. it retraced 8 of them big, like 158.10. 156.41 don't seem asking too much
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,405
  • Jan 26, 2026 4:08pm Jan 26, 2026 4:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If you bought, you may want to tp a little and b.e.. {image}
its up to you now..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,406
  • Jan 26, 2026 6:15pm Jan 26, 2026 6:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
That yen move was big.. On the uj with 10 moves in the last 6 moves. it retraced 8 of them big, like 158.10. 156.41 don't seem asking too much
not too sure about UJ as if intervention from both boj and fed. It can go very oneway
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,407
  • Jan 26, 2026 8:04pm Jan 26, 2026 8:04pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} not too sure about UJ as if intervention from both boj and fed. It can go very oneway
Yeah.. most of these you should take some profit at 75 90 pips. The EU is not likely to give that 175x entry. If it did, being above 1743 could allow it to run.
I just think it cant be overlooked it going back to the b/o point.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,408
  • Jan 26, 2026 8:09pm Jan 26, 2026 8:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah.. most of these you should take some profit at 75 90 pips. The EU is not likely to give that 175x entry. If it did, being above 1743 could allow it to run.
so far no sign of coming back down. Sustained above 1843
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,409
  • Jan 26, 2026 8:14pm Jan 26, 2026 8:14pm
If it closes the 6h (and 12h) below 1862.. You may see some retrace tomorrow. In 2hs the 6h will close.
If above, its unlikely weakness in the bull.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,410
  • Jan 26, 2026 8:32pm Jan 26, 2026 8:32pm
Quoting gatorinla
If it closes the 6h (and 12h) below 1862.. You may see some retrace tomorrow. In 2hs the 6h will close. If above, its unlikely weakness in the bull.
yea no sign at this stage. But without pull back i m also reluctant to buy given we are pushing towardsasf high and 1.2.

we might sail through without any issue given usd is so weak but its a area that we should monitor closely
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,411
  • Jan 26, 2026 8:34pm Jan 26, 2026 8:34pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} so far no sign of coming back down. Sustained above 1843
If the cad can rise a little more.. With a short signal off 3734/54. it may be worth it.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,412
  • Jan 26, 2026 9:02pm Jan 26, 2026 9:02pm
eu 1909.6 is a 2x move. Lets see if the chain works.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,413
  • Jan 26, 2026 11:42pm Jan 26, 2026 11:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} With 2 weeks left to go this month. We may see oil slip. Russia is likely in trouble below 54.82 sustained for a year or more. The lower it goes, the faster the trouble for Russia. This week did close below 70.78. {image} {image}
It came almost to the penny. Oil is bearish testing the break support. 54.82 if it gives along with the limited oil from sabotage, and ship sanctions. Its back to 60 but under R.. It may slip below.. 54.82
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,414
  • Jan 27, 2026 1:17am Jan 27, 2026 1:17am
Quoting Avir
Guys, I’ve got a prediction — only for EUR/USD, because that’s the only pair I trade. The structure of this post might look AI-styled, yes — but the numbers are 100% mine. My levels, my read, my analysis. So here it is… My EUR/USD Year-End → 2026 Forecast. EUR/USD POWERZONE MATRIX – YEAR-END TO Q1 2026 (Daily → Weekly → Monthly confluence. Zones are 7-pip bands.) BULLISH POWERZONES (Upside Targets / Magnets) 1.1784 – 1.1791 Daily Breaker + Weekly Pivot R1 Small...
Commander’s Market Log — EUR/USD
January 2026 | Happy New Year to all traders
First of all, wishing everyone a healthy, profitable, and disciplined New Year.
It’s been a while since my last post (early December), so this is a good moment to reset the map and update the bigger picture.
Back in December, my broader directional idea wasn’t wrong — but timing and structure evolved differently than expected. The market chose consolidation before continuation, which is something we always have to respect. No ego, just adjustment.
Current Structure Summary:
• The larger uptrend from the 2025 base remains intact
• A rising wedge formed on higher timeframes (bearish by textbook)
• That wedge has now FAILED to the upside
• Failed bearish structures are often bullish continuation signals
Price has broken and held above the wedge resistance, while respecting higher-low structure and dynamic support.
What Changed Since December:
• Short-term bearish compressions (descending wedge / symmetrical triangle) have resolved UP
• EMA structure remains supportive (price above key averages)
• Momentum expansion followed compression — not distribution
This shifts the bias back to continuation rather than range trading.
Key Levels I’m Watching:
Support:
• 1.1600 – 1.1650 (structure + demand)
• 1.1520 – 1.1550 (trend invalidation zone)
Resistance / Targets:
• 1.1900 – 1.2000 (current breakout / acceptance zone)
• 1.2150 – 1.2200 (measured expansion)
• 1.2300+ (HTF resistance if momentum sustains)
Invalidation:
A sustained daily close back below the broken wedge would neutralise the bullish continuation thesis.
I’m not chasing price — I’m letting structure confirm and doing what the market allows.
Trade safe, protect capital, and welcome to 2026.
Let’s see what the charts decide.
— Commander
https://djemkumar.com/
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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #126,415
  • Jan 27, 2026 1:29am Jan 27, 2026 1:29am
Quick Side Note — For Those Who Enjoy Sound While Trading
Since we’re heading into a new trading year and some of you have been asking what I’m up to outside charts, I’ll share this here once — no pressure, just for anyone interested.
Mixcloud (DJ EM K)
Real long-form mixes — no talking, no ads, just flow.
Perfect for London sessions, NY opens, or zoning out during ranges.
https://www.mixcloud.com/EmKumar/
MixVault
My free DJ mix archive — current releases at the top, classics below.
Built as a clean, no-noise listening vault for focus and endurance sessions.
https://djemkumar.com/mixvault/
X (Live this weekend)
I’ll be going live on X this weekend during US evening hours —
light chart commentary + live mixing.
No teaching, no hype — just structure, flow, and sound.
https://x.com/avirvisva
If it’s not your thing, all good — charts come first as always.
For those who like trading with rhythm in the background, you’re welcome.
— Commander
https://djemkumar.com/
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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #126,416
  • Jan 27, 2026 6:56am Jan 27, 2026 6:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If the cad can rise a little more.. With a short signal off 3734/54. it may be worth it. {image}
I closed.. It may go down further. 1.37066 may become a R ... One could try to short 3734 if it comes back with a short signal. But it may not be able to cross 3706xish. USD/CAD
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,417
  • Jan 27, 2026 7:21am Jan 27, 2026 7:21am
Quoting gatorinla
eu 1909.6 is a 2x move. Lets see if the chain works. {image}
we have set a new high!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,418
  • Jan 27, 2026 7:44am Jan 27, 2026 7:44am
Quoting johncen
{quote} we have set a new high!
Yeah... I probably should of kept the cad short.
I have a lot of pairs.. I'm afraid the short the gbp/jpy.. Its right at R
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,419
  • Jan 27, 2026 7:49am Jan 27, 2026 7:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah... I probably should of kept the cad short. I have a lot of pairs.. I'm afraid the short the gbp/jpy.. Its right at R {image}
It was at R, it started falling just a few minutes ago.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,420
  • Jan 27, 2026 7:52am Jan 27, 2026 7:52am
the ej and gy, are under large levels. The AJ is not. The AJ may drop hard to catch up.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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