The Swamp

Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Ukraine has been detoured from putting a drone sinking ships in the oil ports of Russia. They could block shipping.. Taking out storage tanks in those ports can do the job too. Those drones are bad ass. Ukraine can take away Putin's credit card. I suspect they will at some point. Than China/N Korea will have no use for him. His people will bring out the gallows Israel can stop Iran from pumping if it came to that. The rest of the non opec dont want that.

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} The non oil rise, may be the thinking that things are not so bad ( ME war wise). Can anyone remember a time when Israel and M.E. tensions did not cause a rise after a bombing? In that price chart, one can see the price dropping since June 22. That covers last October till now. The week of October 7 closed at 71.81, on October 10 2023. 1 year later after bombing Iran (last week). This month may close below 71.81. ATM that doesn't look good for oil. When it's broken down with the fundies before a possible adding of Tariffs. Oil is volatile...

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Quoting gatorinla

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Storage is in the low area of the last 5 years. Yet price is so far, not rising. The last time storge was this low was july 2022. Price was near the high of the last 5 years. With storage at the lows 2024-25. And price at the lows. Does anyone think oil companies want to "drill drill drill"? Price is on the edge of falling. It can go up. Storage is growing slightly. That's just the reality. A dropping price, on rising storage = less demand. Or at least the demand is not causing a rise in price. On a rising storage. So if we see a further drop in...

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Today's storage is less than July 2022. But the price is 57% less. Price was 121$ pb in July 2022. Today about 71$ PB. Something is going on. Price should of risesn as storage fell. That so far has not happened. If "drill drill drill happens. We may see negative prices again. Price should be going up. The reality is, its not. Subject to change.

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} I dont want to give you false hope. You should always have a stop loss when the trae it taken. You should always know your risk limitation and have it set before taking the trade. Anyway 1.4106, 1.4133, or in this chart. The 1.4136 area may give you something back. Here you can go back to the year open close or quarter. Just fill in the blanks to see what it has in the larger fibs. https://www.pivotpointcalculator.com/#google_vignette The ypp is 1.4027 it may be pulling it there. {image} {image}

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Quoting Dhruv2002

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please any one give me some advise i am long in USDCAD from 1.46742 and it is becoming night mare i am wating to see if in march USD might get stronger i am in big loss

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Its given some back since the low. You want it to hold above 1.4178.. Friday closed the week above. {quote} {image}

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Quoting Dhruv2002

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{quote} yes i accept that it was big mistake that being said i still have 250% margin level , i can wait till march perhaps till 1st april,the last hope is reciprocal tariffs and it will hit CA economy , at that time even i manage to recover 50% i will have no regret

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Yeah the tariff should be inflationary (usd/cad rise). If investors from other countries are selling their U.S. holdings. That may stop the usd from rising. Crazy shit is happening out of normal. We dont know if treasury games are being played. Plus at any moment jawboning the interest rate can happen. An attempt to fire Fed members could sink the usd. We will hear more jawboning. I expect tweet X pressure on Powell. When that happens, not if. You dont want to be on the wrong side of the reactions.

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Quoting Dhruv2002

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{quote} Jawboning can shake the market short-term, but Fed policy is data-driven, not just political noise i guess..

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Most traders dont have a few hundred pips in cushion.

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Yeah the tariff should be inflationary (usd/cad rise). If investors from other countries are selling their U.S. holdings. That may stop the usd from rising. Crazy shit is happening out of normal. We dont know if treasury games are being played. Plus at any moment jawboning the interest rate can happen. An attempt to fire Fed members could sink the usd. We will hear more jawboning. I expect tweet X pressure on Powell. When that happens, not if. You dont want to be on the wrong side of the reactions.

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Quoting gatorinla

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I had hoped the eu would come back to 0429/0442 area. So far, nothing.

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Quoting Dhruv2002

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{quote} {image}

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Quoting Dhruv2002

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{quote} are you shorting ??

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} You mean like Carrier, and Foxconn did last time? Those auto parts are moved several times through the borders. Car prices will surely rise. That taxes me.

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Quoting Dhruv2002

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{quote} right now i just hope for best,anything can happen one thing sure is you can't trust USA .sometimes trump him self don't realise what he is speaking i live in canada ,interest rate are cut down for now becasue of that idiot and i saw no changes in that and i will only exit my position once it below 1.39 (y not take risk if i already fall this much)

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} I had hope this 12h candle would yield a 2X at 1.4282 for ya. {image}

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