S&P500 trading

Very correct observation

Shared both to compare adx pattern

Low volume is accumulation and high volume is exit from trading

1h uptrend easy to follow here

SP500 weekly chart:
blue ABC
black ABC
red external retracement
all three lead to 7500

SP500 scaled daily chart:
The 45° inclined line is holding the trend. The yellow circle with the first upswing radius generates resistance just below 6800 and indicates a "probable" setup between September 20th and 21st... so since it's a weekend, let's see if it's just before or just after. The blue line starting from the previous top is inclined 15°.

even the blue circle determines the same level of resistance for me....the blue circle has a radius equal to the last downswing

Mathematically speaking...the 2009 low of 666 brings me to 6800.....will it be pierced like butter and then go to 7500?? Or will it act as an insurmountable wall??

1) Monthly, Weekly and Daily charts are quite bullish. Overall trend is up.
2) Quite reachable targets are 7000 for monthly, 6800 for weekly, 6700 for daily chart. In a few candle distance, we can reach to those targets at each timeframe. Of course, there will/can be some pullbacks on the way.
3) I will be longing SP500 with proper lot size.
4) Trend is clear for me. It looks to me that only I can achieve losing money in this trend if I use too much leverage. And actually, I have a lot of sad memories with that bad trading habit. I/We should avoid overleveraging and grow gradually even if a harsh pullback occurs

Your next cycle low for the S&P is the 20th Oct. Are you still expecting a low or is it too late for that and possibly have a reverse cycle and have the top come in around that date? your thoughts

Hi

Yes still expecting - it is NOT allowed to be a high - you can never say never in this game, but if its a high, it will be the 1st time in history that its happened

It doesn't have to be a major or significant low either - the last time it happened all we had was a timid 4 week decline - all that may happen is a tiny correction, then reversal

These cycles shown are what I term "Internal" - 80% of them will work, 20% fail - and you never know (until you get close to the cycle date) whether they will be a high or a low, apart from this Oct'25 date, which should based on prior occasions, be some type of swing low

I decided just to show these dates in advance to prove that markets aren't random and that they are playing out to the tune of cycles - static, dynamic and planetary

The ones that have the absolute certainty of knowing high or low and time are the cycles that contain these Internal cycles, but they only happen years and years apart

The expectation, is some sort of decline, then upwards into the "BEAST" 666 cycle, due spring'26 - this so far in history has always been some sort of high - just go backwards in time 13 years from spring'2026 and you'll see how it performed in May [from memory] 2013, then the 2000 high, then Aug 1987 etc (the months change because the cycle is planetary and planets don't orbit in perfect circles)

The BIG cycles that contain current price action turned UP in 2016, that does not end until 2034, so we are literally half way through the cycle - this is akin to stepping on a up escalator, if you fall off it (market crashes/plunges/bear markets etc) the expectation is a quick recovery, like the 2022 bear market, 2020 plunge etc

So to trade these, you just watch, take the DEC 2018 date, this was planetary timing AND in OCT'2018 we were expecting the 4 year cycle low - well that was a high, so we could have traded the market down into the cycle low expectation, then when DEC'18 arrived it was pretty clear that these 2 cycles were syncing up - this was backed up by the Indicators (and they tell you you can't use Indicators!) and right off the lows you started to see all those things that confirm a trend, higher highs/lows, moving average crossovers etc and remember the overall big cycle direction is UP, so all these plunges and corrections should quickly resolve themselves and that is exactly what happened

Take the 2020 high - This coincided with COVID-19 - you NEVER know how much a correction will fall, so you can risk trading the correction or just wait for it to bottom and then buy low, sell much higher - did exactly what we expected

(When the overall big cycle is DOWN, you have to have a slightly different game, as the overall pressure on price is down, so you can't just buy and hold as easily as the overall up cycle)

We are also right at the seasonal time where markets tend to rally upwards into the new year

Now you might have read about the war cycle - if not, then its due July 2026 - BUT, it has a VERY wide window around it - USA boots on the ground - we can "technically" say that USA support of Ukraine/Israeli attacks on Iran and USA troops on USA city streets qualifies as the cycle hitting, but it has always had USA troops in some sort of combat fight, the reason for the unrest in the USA is because the cycle is back EXACTLY where it was for the civil war and revolutionary war!

So, we just cannot rule out further USA war machine showing up - I have a book on my bookshelf that was published in 1993 predicting this war cycle - when you're years away from it, you think "really"? but as we've got closer, its just amazement

There is also a 4 year LOW [dynamic] due for 2026, see below, I'll explain the chart

The TEAL coloured cycle line is the STATIC 4 year cycle EXPECTATION date - we know static cycles never constantly repeat exactly, so its a GUIDE

The RED cycle line is the ACTUAL time that the 4 year cycle put in its low

The BLUE cycle line is just the AVERAGE time after the 4 yr cycle low for which highs happen - again this is an average and not something to trade

If you look in the bottom Indicator window - you will see TIMING BANDS and their DATES - this is once again GUIDES, as to when the cycle shows up early or late, based on PAST cycle events

As you can see we are now in that expectation zone right through until Sept'26



We've just got to wait and watch for this one, as it is impossible to predict the exact low, but at least we KNOW its due - most people are blind to timing and cycles, so we have an edge over the masses - Prices will at some point decline and with that it will drag the Indicators downwards to, the DTStoch will go down with price and WHEN it turns up, it will signal the cycle completion

Best estimate guesstimates, is that this will likely happen in 2026 because the BEAST cycle should cause the high, then into the lows which should be the 4 year cycle and then upwards to some degree

How far upwards, I'm not sure because we are still in a tricky period until 2028 - this could go sideways, wild swings etc or it might not be too much of an issue

We also have this little cycle that's been playing out pretty well - This is due for the LOW around DEC'25, so if we get declining prices down into DEC'25, its pretty high probability of a rally upwards there after - obviously at this stage this is just best guess expectation



EDIT - Forgot to say, that the OCT'25 DATE is NOT rigid, you always have to allow for a period of grace either side of an actual date - So we could have a low point sometime in Nov'25 and that is perfectly acceptable - I'm more focused on the Spring'26 dates than this one and the 4 year cycle low in 2026 - as from a trading POV we should get a high then low, which are all tradable - this OCT'25 date is just the mid-point of the overall cycle, in overall UP cycles, it's not that Important (but when it occurs in an overall DOWN cycle, the mid-point is extremely important)

Overall bullishness continue. 6800 and 7000 are still reachable targets in following weeks/months.

Today's drop at daily, can be good opportunity to buy cautiously.

I have small size long (0.5 minilot) positions from 6751, 6734 and 6722.

Until Monthly/Weekly trend changes, I will be longing in proper sizes in day trading which I am willing to hold for a while if needed.

SP500 is in mess thanks to Trump's China tweets on Friday. Weekly closed in red due to huge drop on Friday.

If the issue is solved, it can be nice buy opportunity, but if more escalation like retaliation from China, we can go quick to 6150 level.

Monday can be Black Monday with more sells, unless Trump u-turn.

Better wait and see developments in this week.

Another tweet from Trump which looks calming the markets. We can see nice up retracement today. Probably, it will open with up gap already.

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/13...na-it-will-all

Markets don't move on news

The planets and geometry rule I'm afraid

This is the true reason for Fridays sell-off

I'll let everyone else argue if it was Trump or not or if the planets caused Trump to do it on that day etc, all I know was I had that level based off geometry on the chart years ago

Remember Gann said "Past price levels are related to future price levels by some mathematical figure"

This set of level was compiled years ago, the screenshot was taken in 2023


These levels were on the chart above years ago - cleaned up the levels a little, but we can clearly see 1 point of a perfect hit!




Close up



2.236 is the DIAGONAL length of 2 adjacent squares

2.236 is the square root of 5

The 2.236 is......... the FEB 2020 HIGH price and MAR LOW 2009 PRICE RANGE multiplied by 2.236

(From 3492 Low → 6165 → 4842 → 7000 → Projection: 7240 → 7800)**
The structural rally in the S&P 500 from the 3492 cyclical panic low created a multi-year impulse that still remains intact. The first impulse leg pushed aggressively toward 6165, completing a wave consistent with a re-leveraging phase reinforced by liquidity expansion, narrowing volatility, and a notable shift in institutional COT positioning. The subsequent retracement toward 4842—which also aligns with the January 4th 2020 pre-COVID high at 4804—formed a technically significant pivot. This zone has acted as a primary consolidation shelf, where long-only funds and asset managers accumulated exposure while commercial dealer hedging decreased.
From that stabilizing base at 4842–4804, the index accelerated into a steep vertical ascent toward 7000, driven by a combination of trend-following flows and systematic volatility compression. The market behavior above 6900 has been consistent with the “parabolic exhaustion” pattern—a phase where leveraged funds aggressively add spreads while outright directional net long exposure begins to flatten or even decline. This phenomenon is visible in the COT structure: leveraged funds are holding large short positions as hedges, while asset managers still retain the majority long exposure. Dealer intermediaries remain heavily short because they absorb the other side of institutional demand, but their sharp weekly changes (+73k long, +140k spread) confirm increased hedging activity rather than new directional conviction.
The current price behavior, hovering near 7000 and pressing toward 7240, suggests the market is entering the late phase of an intermediate cycle. If the index clears 7240 with volume support, the next resistance cluster emerges around 7480–7550, but the stronger magnet remains the 7800 zone, which aligns with:

1. 1.618 extension of the 3492 → 6165 primary impulse
2. 2.0 extension of the 4804 → 7000 secondary leg
3. Planetary-based cycle timing: Saturn–Jupiter harmonic (Gann 180°/360° overlays)
4. Long-term 45-degree angle from the 3492 low (Gann Square of Price)

This confluence makes 7800 a high-probability terminal level for the next major swing.
Before that higher leg materializes, the market is likely to see a sharp corrective pullback from 7240, which is a natural exhaust point based on both time and momentum symmetry. A retracement toward 6600–6420 is reasonable, and in an extended flush, the mid-year cycle could test 5140, which is a historical magnet from longer-term Gann cycles and matches the midpoint of the 3492–7000 structure. This would not break the long-term bull trend but rather reset market internals before the final push toward 7800.
In summary, the structural trend remains bullish in the long horizon, but the market is entering a compression-to-exhaustion stage. A pullback from 7240 appears likely before a renewed surge into 7800+, which may complete the long-term expansion cycle begun at 3492. Traders should be prepared for heightened volatility, large hedging adjustments, and the possibility of a multi-week corrective phase before the final advance unfolds.

now !

Hi guys, I am a new at this , I have some qestions. What news are impoetant for s&p, and what hrs to trade as a daytrader for a good market?

UPDATE.