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EURUSD only

  • #218,921
  • Nov 27, 2025 1:27am Nov 27, 2025 1:27am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
M5: Here, the steep bear channel is intact... I keep selling! {image}
Great read on the price action. You read the market like a pro. Thanks for sharing.
  • #218,922
  • Nov 27, 2025 1:55am Nov 27, 2025 1:55am
M5: Taking profit of all short orders.. Now waiting on sidelines to watch reaction of H4: 1.1571/79 support area!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,923
  • Nov 27, 2025 2:04am Nov 27, 2025 2:04am
Quoting Satelly
I feel it is my responsibility to share this with you, colleagues. Since the day before yesterday, I haven't been able to stop thinking about interest rates. In December 2024, rates fell, but the dollar strengthened. Now, on December 1, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will remove quantitative tightening (QT). Then, on December 1, 2025. The Fed will stop reducing its balance sheet (assets in Treasury bonds and MBS), which means +assets -liabilities for the country. QT has been “absorbing” liquidity, which has made financing more expensive for the government...
Hi Satelly, regarding your comment, I strongly believe we’ll see a stronger Euro at least before the FOMC meeting, especially if today’s price is able to stay above 1.1600 (as you mentioned in your other comment). As you know, the market is mainly driven by expectations, and investors are already pricing in another 25 bp rate cut for December. If the Fed does cut rates, the key will be what they communicate about future cuts or the broader program—I personally expect a hawkish tone.
As we saw in September, the Euro rallied to the upside before the FOMC statement. However, after the release and Powell’s comments, the bearish trend resumed and has continued until today.
  • #218,924
  • Edited 2:40am Nov 27, 2025 2:17am | Edited 2:40am
H1: Bearish channel intact!I will try selling again once I see retests to 1.1584 area... As long as H1 candles open below it, I stay bearish!

*Main bearish target could be sitting around 1.1559
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,925
  • Nov 27, 2025 2:19am Nov 27, 2025 2:19am
I see a clear bullish market structure across most USD pairs. My stance on the Euro is straightforward: as long as the support area—marked by a 15-minute FVG and aligned with a bullish decisional OB—remains intact, we should still expect higher prices. Price is currently trading at a discount (below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement) relative to yesterday’s range. In my view, since the market has already taken internal sell-side liquidity and is now repricing discount inefficiencies, there’s still a strong probability of seeking higher prices.

That said, I’ll wait to see whether price trades further down and look for a market structure shift on the 15-minute timeframe before entering. Considering it’s Thanksgiving, I don’t expect significant volatility today or tomorrow, so I’d prefer a wider stop-loss and a more swing-oriented approach.

If price begins to move lower with strength and closes below the PDL on the 1H and 4H timeframes, then the bias would turn strongly bearish.
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  • #218,926
  • Nov 27, 2025 2:37am Nov 27, 2025 2:37am
M5: Bears have been stopped by the H4 supportive layers as anticipated... Now waiting for the retest to H1 resistance! No rush!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,927
  • Edited 3:03am Nov 27, 2025 2:49am | Edited 3:03am
Quoting s.jalili
{quote} Great read on the price action. You read the market like a pro. Thanks for sharing.
Thanks... and based on W1, please also keep in mind why bulls are facing trouble the closer they come to 1.1606!

*Meaning: bulls need a weekly candle close above 1.1606 for continuation!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,928
  • Nov 27, 2025 3:20am Nov 27, 2025 3:20am
M5: Bear journey continues.... I noticed the hidden MACD divergence and sold again...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,929
  • Nov 27, 2025 4:34am Nov 27, 2025 4:34am
My target was hit.

I set my Buy Limit at the POC (D 25+26 AVP) yesterday, which was your H4 Support Zone
  • #218,930
  • Nov 27, 2025 4:46am Nov 27, 2025 4:46am
I sell at 1.15863, stop of 10 pips and 31 profit
  • #218,932
  • Nov 27, 2025 6:32am Nov 27, 2025 6:32am
Quoting mhdzidan
hi since i'm a newbie, assumeing i can ask some qustions. idk if it's stupid but i see this corelated pair thing and GBPUSD and EURUSD are corelated right. so would this be of any use? like looking for key levels or highs or lows toching in GBP so that it would give us a bias on EURUSD ( i might have said somthing stupid, i just need a proper education )
This isn't a counseling center, you have to go somewhere else!
  • #218,933
  • Nov 27, 2025 6:40am Nov 27, 2025 6:40am
Quoting mhdzidan
hi since i'm a newbie, assumeing i can ask some qustions. idk if it's stupid but i see this corelated pair thing and GBPUSD and EURUSD are corelated right. so would this be of any use? like looking for key levels or highs or lows toching in GBP so that it would give us a bias on EURUSD ( i might have said somthing stupid, i just need a proper education )
You can't get any good financial advice here
Buh here's a tip, EU/GU pairs do correlate in movement but not analytically....do further research using AI or market analysis
  • #218,934
  • Nov 27, 2025 7:00am Nov 27, 2025 7:00am
If it stalls around 1.1595 in the next hour, I’ll go short. I’ve already explained the reasons for this in my previous posts. I think it should drop back to 1.1577, and then we’ll see what happens next.
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  • #218,935
  • Nov 27, 2025 7:59am Nov 27, 2025 7:59am
Let's go bears
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  • #218,936
  • Nov 27, 2025 8:32am Nov 27, 2025 8:32am
Ahhh. Eu
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  • #218,937
  • Nov 27, 2025 8:56am Nov 27, 2025 8:56am
Quoting mhdzidan
hi since i'm a newbie, assumeing i can ask some qustions. idk if it's stupid but i see this corelated pair thing and GBPUSD and EURUSD are corelated right. so would this be of any use? like looking for key levels or highs or lows toching in GBP so that it would give us a bias on EURUSD ( i might have said somthing stupid, i just need a proper education )
It would be kind to start with reading our rules on page 1... Thanks in advance...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,938
  • Nov 27, 2025 9:29am Nov 27, 2025 9:29am
M5: since candles started closing back above 1.15865 I stopped selling...

Now I am waiting to see if candles can close below 1.1593 to restart selling!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,939
  • Nov 27, 2025 9:35am Nov 27, 2025 9:35am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
M5: since candles started closing back above 1.15865 I stopped selling... Now I am waiting to see if candles can close below 1.1593 to restart selling! {image}
I'm looking forward towards Asian sesh LQ sweep, bear momentum is prolly loose due to holiday season
  • #218,940
  • Nov 27, 2025 10:30am Nov 27, 2025 10:30am
Sell: .1594
TP: 1.1535
My goal is what keeps me going...
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