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  • #218,901
  • Nov 26, 2025 4:33pm Nov 26, 2025 4:33pm
Well, here is my plan for today: Asia will finish what NY started, and we will start selling again until we reach the support level of 1.1572.
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Don't fear risk; fear your ignorance.
  • #218,902
  • Nov 26, 2025 7:16pm Nov 26, 2025 7:16pm
I am currently short.
Don't fear risk; fear your ignorance.
  • #218,903
  • Nov 26, 2025 8:54pm Nov 26, 2025 8:54pm
I feel it is my responsibility to share this with you, colleagues. Since the day before yesterday, I haven't been able to stop thinking about interest rates. In December 2024, rates fell, but the dollar strengthened. Now, on December 1, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will remove quantitative tightening (QT). Then, on December 1, 2025. The Fed will stop reducing its balance sheet (assets in Treasury bonds and MBS), which means +assets -liabilities for the country. QT has been “absorbing” liquidity, which has made financing more expensive for the government and businesses. Its end releases pressure, lowers interest rates, and facilitates fiscal spending (e.g., subsidies, defense, infrastructure). Is there any risk now? Yes. It could fuel inflation if combined with fiscal proposals such as $2,000 checks financed by tariffs (still under discussion, not approved). The euro has not managed to reach the 38% drop that our colleague Lester predicted, and I remain concerned. I need more data, but I have not yet been able to obtain it all. What do you think about all this? Will the price of the euro fall to 1.13, or should we remain optimistic for the rest of the year, regardless of whether interest rates fall? I would very much like to hear your opinion.
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Don't fear risk; fear your ignorance.
  • #218,904
  • Nov 26, 2025 9:03pm Nov 26, 2025 9:03pm
Please understand that I don't want to change your plan. Believe me, I'm just trying to open your eyes to a broader perspective. Keep this in mind, that's all. Once again, I would appreciate your opinion.
Don't fear risk; fear your ignorance.
  • #218,905
  • Nov 26, 2025 10:07pm Nov 26, 2025 10:07pm
Morning. I am looking to short @1.16180.
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #218,906
  • Nov 26, 2025 11:51pm Nov 26, 2025 11:51pm
Generate liquidity
Hunt liquidity
Rebalance inefficiencies
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  • #218,907
  • Nov 27, 2025 12:03am Nov 27, 2025 12:03am
Quoting Exzmpted
Generate liquidity Hunt liquidity Rebalance inefficiencies {image}
Honestly, that's their next plan..lol
  • #218,908
  • Nov 27, 2025 12:15am Nov 27, 2025 12:15am
Above 1.1577 it’s technically still a long, but the pair remains inside the down-channel that’s been intact since late September. To break out, it needs a close above 1.1627 today, 1.1624 tomorrow, etc. — sustained trading above that zone would be required to flip the broader structure bullish. I’m staying cautious; I trade the chart, not my wishes. There’s a bit more upside room, but it’s getting tight. A sustained move above 1.1620 could open the door toward 1.18 and then 1.19 on the daily. But short term, I’m still leaning bearish as long as we’re below 1.1620. My two cents.
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  • #218,909
  • Nov 27, 2025 12:30am Nov 27, 2025 12:30am
Quoting Leser
Above 1.1577 it’s technically still a long, but the pair remains inside the down-channel that’s been intact since late September. To break out, it needs a close above 1.1627 today, 1.1624 tomorrow, etc. — sustained trading above that zone would be required to flip the broader structure bullish. I’m staying cautious; I trade the chart, not my wishes. There’s a bit more upside room, but it’s getting tight. A sustained move above 1.1620 could open the door toward 1.18 and then 1.19 on the daily. But short term, I’m still leaning bearish as long as...
Well, now he's respecting the area, but the question is: to what extent? We have to be cautious.
Don't fear risk; fear your ignorance.
  • #218,910
  • Edited 1:03am Nov 27, 2025 12:47am | Edited 1:03am
Quick H4 Outlook (Edit)

Today all I care is ~1.1605 area resistance... I will stay a seller and watch what happens around 1.1579 area...

I will avoid buying dips for today because I expect further bearishness as long as ~1.1605 area resists. (and I anticipate it will keep resisting)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,911
  • Nov 27, 2025 1:00am Nov 27, 2025 1:00am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Quick H4 Outlook Today all I care is 1.1608 area resistance... I will stay a seller and watch what happens around 1.1579 area... I will avoid buying dips for today because I expect further bearishness as long as 1.1608 resists. (and I anticipate it will keep resisting) {image}
Took a Short at 1.16100 since Asian sesh.... Frankly wasn't expecting anything until London, this indicates strong bear signals.... Will be looking forward to add positions while looking at 1.158 & 1.1555 as pivot points
  • #218,912
  • Nov 27, 2025 1:14am Nov 27, 2025 1:14am
M5: Here, the steep bear channel is intact... I keep selling!
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,913
  • Nov 27, 2025 1:42am Nov 27, 2025 1:42am
Inserted Video
  • #218,914
  • Nov 27, 2025 1:47am Nov 27, 2025 1:47am
Net SELL EURUSD
  • #218,915
  • Nov 27, 2025 2:04am Nov 27, 2025 2:04am
Quoting Satelly
I feel it is my responsibility to share this with you, colleagues. Since the day before yesterday, I haven't been able to stop thinking about interest rates. In December 2024, rates fell, but the dollar strengthened. Now, on December 1, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will remove quantitative tightening (QT). Then, on December 1, 2025. The Fed will stop reducing its balance sheet (assets in Treasury bonds and MBS), which means +assets -liabilities for the country. QT has been “absorbing” liquidity, which has made financing more expensive for the government...
i firmly believe the bounce in dollar is short lived and euro should appreciate into the year end but, my actions (buy/sell) are not dictated by my beliefs. I have to see what the price is doing. Nothing else. Have a good day
  • #218,916
  • Nov 27, 2025 2:04am Nov 27, 2025 2:04am
still buy side, 1.15800 is 50% of yesterday NY low and todays ASIA high, thinking to buy att 1.15787, 1.15700,
thats my idea only, trade safe
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  • #218,917
  • Nov 27, 2025 2:20am Nov 27, 2025 2:20am
Quoting adrielt
{quote} Played out just like I was thinking, did get 14pip down move within the hour unfortunately had to sleep early so was relying on a pending long order which it missed by 5pips but not a big deal, did go up into my retrace zone a bit higher then expected but nonetheless my shorts are entered and will see how it plays out tonight.
Went a bit higher then anticipated, previous shorts got stopped out at -12,25 pips, Im still looking for shorts until price breaks 1.16200, if that happens ill start looking for longs but I think the 1.16130 high formed during asian is the highest retrace we will get if its still going short, so Ill be looking for shorts tonight around 1.16000.
  • #218,918
  • Nov 27, 2025 2:43am Nov 27, 2025 2:43am
I think we still bearish. target 1.15500
  • #218,919
  • Nov 27, 2025 2:46am Nov 27, 2025 2:46am
Quoting Bloodwish
https://youtu.be/gM8VEX_VClA
Extremely new to trading, this video actually helps explain what the fuck is going on with price right now and what to look for, thanks
  • #218,920
  • Nov 27, 2025 3:11am Nov 27, 2025 3:11am
EURUSD remains within a rising corrective channel. Price is currently retracing toward the upper supply zone, where I'll be watching for a rejection and bearish order-flow shift. A clean break of the internal structure may confirm continuation toward lower liquidity targets.
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“Fall seven times, stand up eight.”
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