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EURUSD only

  • #218,701
  • Nov 21, 2025 6:45am Nov 21, 2025 6:45am
A reminder that long EURUSD is a risk-on trade - in spite of all the (IMO overblown) de-dollarization chatter, USD is still the safe haven when markets get nervous and sell off. Unless US equity markets bounce convincingly today, they are set to have a very bearish weekly close that will have people seriously wondering about AI bubble concerns. Additionally, next week is a shortened, low-liquidity holiday week in US markets, and there are still intractable differences on a Russia-Ukraine peace deal. Putin cannot afford to lose, and unless Ukraine caves in to unacceptable demands, apparently Putin loses, which leaves escalation. A close near the lows for US equity markets today would be bearish for EURUSD IMO.
  • #218,702
  • Nov 21, 2025 6:53am Nov 21, 2025 6:53am
Quoting bartholemew
A reminder that long EURUSD is a risk-on trade - in spite of all the (IMO overblown) de-dollarization chatter, USD is still the safe haven when markets get nervous and sell off. Unless US equity markets bounce convincingly today, they are set to have a very bearish weekly close that will have people seriously wondering about AI bubble concerns. Additionally, next week is a shortened, low-liquidity holiday week in US markets, and there are still intractable differences on a Russia-Ukraine peace deal. Putin cannot afford to lose, and unless Ukraine...
The spike was a statement from Fed William talking about a rate cut. Of course it was going to cause a spike. At the end of the day price ahould continue its original trajectory.
  • #218,703
  • Nov 21, 2025 7:08am Nov 21, 2025 7:08am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} The spike was a statement from Fed William talking about a rate cut. Of course it was going to cause a spike. At the end of the day price ahould continue its original trajectory.
EURUSD is overly focused on the Fed IMO. Just because you don't fight the Fed, it doesn't mean they are the only game in town.
  • #218,704
  • Nov 21, 2025 7:19am Nov 21, 2025 7:19am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
M5: Bulls coming in hot... slicing through previous bottlenecks... I am getting ready to begin buying dips.. {image}
Bulls want to go higher but mean bears have blocked the road with some heart-warming toys...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: blockage.png Size: 17 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-M5.png Size: 19 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,705
  • Nov 21, 2025 7:21am Nov 21, 2025 7:21am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Bulls want to go higher but mean bears have blocked the road with some heart-warming toys... {image} {image}
Let's see
“Fall seven times, stand up eight.”
  • #218,706
  • Nov 21, 2025 7:33am Nov 21, 2025 7:33am
I am also watching H4: Current candle must not close below 1.1515 because that would boost bear power!

*Bulls still have to achieve a candle close above 1.1526!

!!! 26 more minutes on my broker until H4 candle close !!!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,707
  • Nov 21, 2025 7:49am Nov 21, 2025 7:49am
Quoting bartholemew
A reminder that long EURUSD is a risk-on trade - in spite of all the (IMO overblown) de-dollarization chatter, USD is still the safe haven when markets get nervous and sell off. Unless US equity markets bounce convincingly today, they are set to have a very bearish weekly close that will have people seriously wondering about AI bubble concerns. Additionally, next week is a shortened, low-liquidity holiday week in US markets, and there are still intractable differences on a Russia-Ukraine peace deal. Putin cannot afford to lose, and unless Ukraine...

On the other hand, several Fed heads have been talking about market crash risk lately, and there is always the notion of the plunge protection team pulling strings behind the curtains... But even Fed wizards can't do anything about military operations.
  • #218,708
  • Nov 21, 2025 7:56am Nov 21, 2025 7:56am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Bulls want to go higher but mean bears have blocked the road with some heart-warming toys... {image} {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: mattbbaby_a_wallstreet_bull_charging_down_an_urban_street_tossi_b2e9c449-b865-4cd4-a1df-ce87354396d9 Size: 668 KB
  • #218,709
  • Nov 21, 2025 8:12am Nov 21, 2025 8:12am
Quoting mattbbaby
{quote} {file}
or maybe it’s this
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: mattbbaby_a_wallstreet_bear_charging_down_an_urban_street_runni_6aa16a64-7b29-4326-9fb9-31f0f1e8f0b5 Size: 483 KB
  • #218,710
  • Nov 21, 2025 8:27am Nov 21, 2025 8:27am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: istockphoto-1283989708-612x612.jpg Size: 24 KB
  • #218,711
  • Nov 21, 2025 8:33am Nov 21, 2025 8:33am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 57 KB
  • #218,712
  • Nov 21, 2025 9:19am Nov 21, 2025 9:19am
it looks like it's over for this week and it may close under 1.152x
  • #218,713
  • Nov 21, 2025 9:27am Nov 21, 2025 9:27am
H4 opening lvl 1.1520 While price is below I try sell
  • #218,714
  • Nov 21, 2025 9:27am Nov 21, 2025 9:27am
M5: 1.1510 is sort of supportive... but the hour is late... no need to watch the wishy-washy priceaction... calling it a day and week folks...

Enjoy your weekends... and we hopefully meet again on Monday...

Peace out....
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,715
  • Nov 21, 2025 9:53am Nov 21, 2025 9:53am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} The spike was a statement from Fed William talking about a rate cut. Of course it was going to cause a spike. At the end of the day price ahould continue its original trajectory.

  • #218,716
  • Edited 10:10am Nov 21, 2025 9:54am | Edited 10:10am
Took +25 pips on earlier trade from 1.15520
entered a short now @1.15075
lets see how it goes
Closed on +12 pips bottom of channel
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 37 KB
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #218,717
  • Nov 21, 2025 10:08am Nov 21, 2025 10:08am
I'm selling at 1.5134 in BK, waiting for a TP at 1.14879
  • #218,718
  • Nov 21, 2025 10:15am Nov 21, 2025 10:15am
Quoting Cavar
H4 opening lvl 1.1520 While price is below I try sell

My golden rule: Never trade against H4 opening lvl. I don't want to have a sell order above this level. And a buy order below this level. I prefer to flip with orders rather than get screwed.
  • #218,719
  • Nov 21, 2025 10:17am Nov 21, 2025 10:17am
Attached File(s)
File Type: mp4 bearvsbull.mp4   4.5 MB | 81 downloads


Today was another nice match but bears are bears, so the bull didn't stand a chance today and got a good slap in the face and the bear still hasn't finished.... but I preferred to move the SL to +30 pips
Nothing is impossible.
  • #218,720
  • Nov 21, 2025 10:31am Nov 21, 2025 10:31am
Quoting jhon117
I'm selling at 1.5134 in BK, waiting for a TP at 1.14879
I take profit at 1.14948 after taking liquidity at that low to avoid a pullback.
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