Key Global Insights - Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest:

Global markets traded cautiously on Thursday as investors weighed the economic fallout of the ongoing U.S. government shutdown—the longest in history—against signs of stabilization in Asia. The U.S. Dollar Index hovered near 100.00 while gold and silver eased modestly following a rebound in private payrolls. Meanwhile, speculation over potential Bank of Japan policy shifts and China’s latest yuan fixings kept cross-asset volatility elevated.

• Gold (XAU/USD) slipped below $4,000 as stronger payrolls trimmed safe-haven demand; support $3,960–$3,920, resistance $4,030–$4,080.

• Silver (XAG/USD) softened near $49.00 amid profit-taking; support $48.40–$47.80, resistance $49.35–$50.20.

• US Dollar Index (DXY) held near 100.00 as shutdown uncertainty limits upside momentum; support 99.30–98.80, resistance 100.40–101.00.

• USD/CNY hovered around 7.09 after the PBoC fixed a firmer yuan midpoint; support 7.0700–7.0500, resistance 7.1000–7.1150.

• USD/JPY steadied near 154.00 as markets assess BoJ policy signals; support 153.20–152.50, resistance 154.50–155.20.

Key Economic Events (GMT):

• U.S. CPI (MoM) – Oct 16, 12:30 GMT
• PBoC Midpoint Fix – Oct 17, 01:15 GMT
• BoJ Governor Ueda Speech – Oct 17, 04:00 GMT
• U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims – Oct 17, 12:30 GMT
• Fed Chair Powell Remarks – Oct 18, 15:00 GMT

Market sentiment remains cautious yet data-dependent as traders weigh U.S. fiscal gridlock against shifting Asian policy dynamics. With inflation readings and central bank guidance in focus, volatility is expected to stay elevated heading into the weekend.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Dollar Slips, Gold Softens as Shutdown Drags On | 6th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest:

Global FX markets shifted cautiously on Friday as investors reacted to weak Chinese trade data and firm U.S. yields. The U.S. Dollar regained footing after a volatile week, with risk-linked currencies such as the Aussie and Kiwi under pressure following signs of slowing global demand. Meanwhile, the Yen eased after a brief rally, and USD/CAD hovered near six-month highs amid soft crude prices and steady U.S. data.

• USD/CAD stayed firm above 1.4100 as softer oil prices and strong U.S. yields underpinned the greenback; support 1.4050–1.3980, resistance 1.4165–1.4230.

• NZD/USD traded below 0.5650 as weaker Chinese exports weighed on sentiment; support 0.5600–0.5560, resistance 0.5685–0.5720.

• AUD/USD hovered near 0.6400, pressured by weaker China trade figures; support 0.6360–0.6310, resistance 0.6450–0.6510.

• USD/JPY steadied near 151.50 as BoJ hesitancy offset weak domestic data; support 150.90–150.30, resistance 151.85–152.30.

• US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded toward 100.00, buoyed by risk aversion and firm U.S. data; support 99.80–99.40, resistance 100.45–100.90.

Key Economic Events (GMT):

• U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Oct) – Oct 17, 14:00 GMT
• China CPI & PPI (YoY) – Oct 18, 01:30 GMT
• Australia Employment Report – Oct 18, 00:30 GMT
• U.S. CPI (MoM, YoY) – Oct 22, 12:30 GMT
• Japan CPI (Tokyo) – Oct 23, 23:30 GMT

Market sentiment remains cautious but data-driven, as traders weigh firm U.S. fundamentals against soft global growth signals from China. With inflation and central bank commentary in focus next week, FX volatility is expected to remain elevated across major pairs.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Global Currencies React to Shifting Trade Data and Central Bank Policies Amid Mixed Dollar Performance | 7th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest:

Global FX markets opened the week on a steadier note as optimism grew around a potential resolution to the prolonged U.S. government shutdown. The U.S. Dollar firmed modestly, while precious metals such as Gold and Silver extended gains amid expectations for Fed rate cuts. Energy markets stabilized with oil near recent highs, while commodity-linked currencies like the Aussie and Kiwi saw mild pressure. USD/CAD rebounded on renewed greenback strength as investors priced in improving U.S. fiscal prospects.

• Gold (XAU/USD) climbed above $2,400, supported by softer U.S. data and easing Treasury yields; support $2,370–$2,420, resistance $2,440–$2,460.

• Silver (XAG/USD) traded near $31.00, buoyed by safe-haven demand and Fed rate-cut expectations; support $30.50–$30.00, resistance $31.50–$32.00.

• AUD/USD remained subdued near 0.6550 as optimism toward the USD limited gains; support 0.6520–0.6480, resistance 0.6580–0.6620.

• NZD/USD softened below 0.5650 amid weak domestic and Chinese data; support 0.5620–0.5580, resistance 0.5680–0.5720.

• USD/CAD rebounded toward 1.4050, supported by firm U.S. yields and stable oil prices; support 1.4000–1.3950, resistance 1.4080–1.4120.

Key Economic Events (GMT):

• U.S. CPI & PCE Inflation – Nov 12, 12:30 GMT
• U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls – Nov 12, 12:30 GMT
• RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement – Nov 13, 01:00 GMT
• China CPI & PPI – Nov 13, 01:30 GMT
• BoC Policy Announcement – Nov 14, 15:00 GMT

Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic as traders monitor U.S. shutdown progress alongside upcoming inflation and employment data. Safe-haven flows support gold and silver, while USD strength continues to pressure commodity-linked currencies. FX volatility is expected to remain elevated until clarity emerges on fiscal and monetary policy directions.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Markets Calm as Shutdown Nears End | 11th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest:

Global markets opened the week on a steadier note as optimism grew around a potential resolution to the prolonged U.S. government shutdown. Investors welcomed signs of bipartisan progress, helping risk sentiment recover after days of political gridlock and uncertainty. The U.S. Dollar firmed modestly, while precious metals like Gold and Silver extended gains as traders continued to price in potential Federal Reserve rate-cuts amid lingering economic headwinds. Energy markets also stabilised, with WTI Crude Oil holding near recent highs as demand forecasts improved. Commodity-linked currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand Dollars saw mild pressure, while USD/CAD rebounded on renewed greenback strength. Overall, the improving outlook for U.S. fiscal negotiations injected a cautiouslypositive tone across global markets.

• Gold (XAU/USD) climbed above $4,000, supported by softer U.S. data and easing Treasury yields; support $3,970–$3,940, resistance $4,050–$4,080.

• Silver (XAG/USD) traded near $51.00, buoyed by safe-haven demand and Fed rate-cut expectations; support $50.00–$49.20, resistance $51.50–$52.00.

• AUD/USD remained subdued near 0.6550, pressured by a stronger U.S. Dollar as optimism toward the shutdown resolution limited gains; support 0.6520–
0.6480, resistance 0.6580–0.6620.

• NZD/USD softened below 0.5650, extending mild losses as optimism over a U.S. deal lifted the greenback and regional data remained weak; support 0.5620–0.5580, resistance 0.5680–0.5720.

• USD/CAD rebounded toward 1.4050, supported by firm U.S. yields and stable oil prices; support 1.4000–1.3950, resistance 1.4080–1.4120.

Key Economic Events (GMT):
• U.S. CPI & PCE Inflation – Nov 12, 12:30 GMT
• U.S. Non-farm Payrolls – Nov 12, 12:30 GMT
• RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement – Nov 13, 01:00 GMT
• China CPI & PPI – Nov 13, 01:30 GMT
• BoC Policy Announcement – Nov 14, 15:00 GMT

Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic as traders monitor U.S. shutdown progress alongside upcoming inflation and employment data. Safe-haven flows support gold and silver, while U.S. Dollar strength continues to pressure commodity-linked currencies. FX volatility is expected to remain elevated until clarity emerges on fiscal and monetary policy directions.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: WTI Steadies Above $60 as Reopening Hopes Rise | 12th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest:

Global markets opened Wednesday with a renewed appetite for metals, as expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut continued to drive investor sentiment. Gold extended its rally toward the $4,200 mark, while Silver hovered near a four-week high, both supported by easing U.S. yields and a softer dollar. The prospect of lower borrowing costs boosted the appeal of non-yielding assets, even as risk sentiment stayed cautiously positive across equity markets.
Elsewhere, Australia’s labor market data showed a slight decline in unemployment, reinforcing the RBA’s balanced stance, while China’s PBOC maintained a steady yuan fixing, signaling stability amid broader market optimism. In the UK, upcoming GDP figures are expected to show modest growth, keeping BoE policy bets tilted toward a dovish bias.

• Gold (XAU/USD) rallied toward $4,180, extending its three-week climb as dovish Fed bets supported metals; support $4,130–$4,080, resistance $4,200–$4,230.

• Silver (XAG/USD) consolidated near $52.80, supported by firm industrial demand and softer yields; support $52.20–$51.60, resistance $53.40–$54.00.

• AUD/USD hovered around 0.6570, pressured by mixed local data and China’s slowing trade; support 0.6520–0.6480, resistance 0.6610–0.6650.

• USD/CNY steadied near 7.0865, with the PBOC signaling currency stability; support 7.0800–7.0650, resistance 7.0950–7.1000.

• GBP/USD held near 1.2760, awaiting UK GDP data amid BoE’s dovish tone; support 1.2700–1.2650, resistance 1.2820–1.2870.

Key Economic Events (GMT):

• Australia Employment Report – Nov 13, 00:30 GMT
• U.S. PPI (MoM, YoY) – Nov 13, 13:30 GMT
• China Industrial Production (YoY) – Nov 14, 03:00 GMT
• U.K. GDP (Q3) – Nov 14, 07:00 GMT
• U.S. CPI (MoM, YoY) – Nov 14, 13:30 GMT

Market sentiment remains constructive as traders position for a potential Fed rate cut cycle in early 2026. Metals continue to outperform on easing yield pressures, while commodity-linked and European currencies trade mixed ahead of key inflation and growth data later in the week.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Metals Advance as Fed Rate Cut Bets Drive Market Sentiment | 13th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest:

Asian markets opened Thursday with a broadly constructive tone as fresh signals from China helped stabilize risk sentiment across currencies. The PBoC’s slightly stronger-than-expected yuan fixing, along with mixed but steady Chinese data, provided support for high-beta currencies such as the AUD and NZD. Meanwhile, the USD eased modestly, allowing major pairs to find short-term footing ahead of a light U.S. data session. With Asian FX responding directly to shifts in China’s policy stance, today’s market narrative leans firmly toward improving risk appetite across the region.

• USD/CNY edged lower to 7.0825 after a firmer PBoC fixing, reflecting stabilization efforts; support 7.0700, resistance 7.0900.

• NZD/USD held above 0.5650 as steady China data bolstered risk appetite; support 0.5600, resistance 0.5700.

• AUD/USD remained firm near 0.6570, benefiting from improved Chinese demand expectations; support 0.6530, resistance 0.6620.

• USD/JPY hovered near multi-month highs at 153.50–154.80 as a soft yen and BoJ caution limited downside; support 153.50, resistance 154.80.

• EUR/USD traded below 1.1650, consolidating near mid-1.1600s with limited momentum; support 1.1580, resistance 1.1650.

Key Economic Events (GMT):

• China Industrial Production (YoY) – Nov 14, 03:00 GMT
• Japan CPI (Tokyo) – Nov 14, 23:30 GMT
• U.S. CPI (MoM, YoY) – Nov 14, 13:30 GMT
• Australia Retail Sales – Nov 15, 00:30 GMT
• Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment – Nov 15, 10:00 GMT

Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic as China’s policy signals continue to guide early-session flows. Risk currencies such as the AUD and NZD show upside potential, while the USD faces modest pressure. The EUR and JPY remain sensitive to broader yield and sentiment dynamics. Traders are positioned ahead of upcoming U.S. inflation data and regional economic releases for confirmation of this risk-friendly tone.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: China Signals Boost Risk Currencies | 14th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest

Global markets opened the week with a firmer US Dollar as fading global rate-cut expectations shifted sentiment toward safety and yield stability. The Greenback advanced across major currencies, supported by resilient US data and ongoing uncertainty in Europe, the UK, and China. Risk-sensitive currencies such as the NZD, GBP, and EUR faced renewed downside pressure, while commodity-linked FX lagged amid softer oil prices. With central banks turning cautious and investors scaling back aggressive easing bets, USD strength remained the dominant theme through early trading.

• NZD/USD slipped toward 0.5670 as renewed USD safe-haven demand pressured the Kiwi; support 0.5630, resistance 0.5700.

• EUR/USD fell toward 1.1600, weighed by weak Eurozone data and firmer USD momentum; support 1.1580, resistance 1.1650.

• GBP/USD held near 1.3150, under pressure from soft UK data and BoE easing expectations; support 1.3100, resistance 1.3200.

• USD/CNY remained firm near 7.0816, reflecting PBoC stabilization efforts amid mixed Chinese data; support 7.0700, resistance 7.0900.

• USD/CAD traded near 1.4050, supported by weaker oil prices and broad USD strength; support 1.4000, resistance 1.4080.


Key Economic Events (GMT)

• US Retail Sales – Nov 18, 13:30 GMT
• China Activity Data – Nov 18, 03:00 GMT
• UK CPI – Nov 20, 07:00 GMT
• Eurozone GDP (Final) – Nov 20, 10:00 GMT
• BoC Governor Speech – Nov 20, 16:00 GMT

Market sentiment remains tilted toward caution as traders reassess global monetary trajectories. Risk currencies continue to face headwinds from softer data and fading easing expectations, while the USD benefits from defensive flows and a resilient macro backdrop. The EUR and GBP remain vulnerable to regional growth concerns, and the NZD stays sensitive to Chinese data trends. With key US releases and central-bank commentary ahead, short-term volatility is likely as markets position around shifting rate expectations.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Dollar Strengthens as Global Rate Cut Bets Fade | 17th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest

The Australian Dollar slipped lower as traders reacted to the latest RBA Minutes, which revealed a notably cautious policy tone. With the central bank signaling patience amid rising economic uncertainty, the AUD struggled to gain traction even as broader markets attempted to stabilize. Meanwhile, USD strength—supported by firm economic data and hawkish Federal Reserve commentary—continued to weigh on commodities and risk currencies. Gold remained under pressure following a sharp pullback, while NZD and JPY saw renewed weakness on policy divergence and softer domestic fundamentals.

• Gold (XAU/USD) held just below $4,050 after a sharp decline driven by USD strength and hawkish Fed remarks; support $4,050, resistance $4,125.

• AUD/USD hovered near 0.6510, pressured by cautious RBA minutes and firm USD demand; support 0.6455, resistance 0.6585.

• NZD/USD traded around 0.5650, weighed by dovish RBNZ signals and weak growth indicators; support 0.5580, resistance 0.5700.

• USD/JPY remained elevated near 152.00 as Japan unveiled a ¥17 trillion stimulus while BoJ stayed dovish; support 149.00, resistance 152.00.

• GBP/JPY climbed toward 204.50, marking a five-week high on strong GBP momentum and persistent Yen weakness; support 201.70, resistance 204.65.

Key Economic Events (GMT)

• Australia Employment Data – Nov 21, 00:30 GMT
• Japan CPI – Nov 21, 23:30 GMT
• U.S. FOMC Meeting Minutes – Nov 21, 19:00 GMT
• New Zealand Trade Balance – Nov 22, 21:45 GMT
• U.K. PMI Data – Nov 22, 09:30 GMT

Market sentiment remains defensive as traders digest the RBA’s cautious stance alongside hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. The AUD, NZD, and JPY continue to face headwinds from policy divergence, while gold struggles under the weight of a stronger USD. With key data and central bank communications ahead, volatility is expected to stay elevated across major FX pairs and commodities as markets reassess global monetary trajectories.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Australian Dollar edges lower despite RBA Minutes signaling a cautious stance | 18th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest:

Global FX markets are trading cautiously as traders brace for the upcoming Federal Reserve Minutes and react to fresh inflation signals. With rate-cut expectations cooling, the U.S. Dollar holds steady while major pairs see mixed flows. Risk-sensitive currencies remain pressured, and commodity-linked FX tracks broader shifts in global sentiment.

• EUR/USD consolidated just under 1.1600 as fading Fed rate-cut bets supported the USD; support 1.1550–1.1500, resistance 1.1620–1.1650.

• GBP/USD hovered near 1.2500 with traders awaiting key UK CPI data; support 1.2450–1.2400, resistance 1.2550–1.2600.

• USD/CAD climbed toward 1.4000 as weaker oil prices and USD strength pressured the CAD; support 1.3950–1.3880, resistance 1.4050–1.4100.

• USD/JPY remained elevated above 155.00, weighed down by weak Japanese data and firm U.S. yields; support 154.50–153.80, resistance 156.00–156.50.

• US Dollar Index (DXY) traded just above 99.50 ahead of the Fed Minutes, holding a mild recovery tone; support 99.20–98.80, resistance 100.00–100.40.

Key Economic Events (GMT):

• U.S. FOMC Meeting Minutes – Nov 19, 19:00 GMT
• U.S. CPI & Retail Sales – Nov 19, 13:30 GMT
• UK CPI – Nov 20, 07:00 GMT
• Japan CPI – Nov 20, 23:30 GMT
• Canada Retail Sales – Nov 21, 13:30 GMT

Market sentiment remains cautious as traders weigh persistent U.S. inflation pressures against slower global growth. With the Fed Minutes set to guide expectations on the rate path, FX volatility is likely to stay elevated as major pairs react to shifting policy signals.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Major Forex Moves & Inflation Data Shape Market Sentiment Ahead of Fed Minutes | 19th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest:
Precious metals and major FX pairs saw notable intraday swings as markets reacted to fresh economic signals, including the delayed U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report and updated guidance from China’s central bank. Safe-haven demand lifted gold and silver, while crude oil firmed following a reported EIA inventory drawdown. Across FX markets, shifting expectations around global rate cuts and commodity dynamics shaped cross-asset sentiment.

• Gold (XAU/USD) held firm above $4,100 as traders positioned defensively ahead of the delayed U.S. NFP release; support $4,085–$4,050, resistance $4,130–$4,150.

• Silver (XAG/USD) steadied near $50.00, supported by industrial demand prospects and a firm 200-SMA on H4; support $49.75–$49.50, resistance $50.60–$51.00.

• WTI Crude Oil (WTI/USD) drifted higher toward $59.50 after EIA inventory drawdowns boosted demand expectations; support $58.75–$58.20, resistance $60.00–$61.35.

• USD/CAD consolidated above 1.4050 as softer oil prices and fading Fed cut expectations supported USD strength; support 1.4015–1.3980, resistance 1.4100–1.4140.

• USD/CNY held steady after the PBOC set the reference rate at 7.0905, signaling continued yuan stabilization efforts; support 7.0800–7.0700, resistance 7.1000–7.1100.

Key Economic Events (GMT):

• U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (Delayed Release) – Nov 20
• U.S. Initial Jobless Claims – Nov 20, 13:30 GMT
• China Loan Prime Rate (LPR) Decision – Nov 21, 01:15 GMT
• EIA Crude Oil Inventories – Nov 21, 15:30 GMT
• Canada CPI – Nov 21, 13:30 GMT

Market sentiment leans cautiously optimistic as investors navigate NFP uncertainty, shifting Fed expectations, and evolving signals from China. Precious metals remain supported by safe-haven flows, while FX pairs reflect diverging monetary paths and commodity influences. With key data releases ahead, volatility is likely to stay elevated across metals, energy, and currency markets.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Precious Metals and Forex Markets React to Key Economic Shifts | 20th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest:

Global FX markets moved on mixed economic data and shifting policy signals on Friday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) eyeing its best week in over a month. A mixed U.S. jobs report lowered odds of a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve, supporting the dollar, while the Japanese Yen briefly strengthened on speculation of intervention by Tokyo. Meanwhile, the Euro slid toward two-week lows amid weak regional data.

• US Dollar Index (DXY) rose toward ~100.20, supported by fading Fed-cut expectations; support 99.30–99.00, resistance 100.60–101.00.

• EUR/USD last traded near $1.1528, with downward pressure after the mixed jobs report; support 1.1500–1.1450, resistance 1.1580–1.1640.

• GBP/USD hovered around $1.3084 amid global USD strength and weak UK data; support 1.3000–1.2950, resistance 1.3150–1.3210.

• AUD/USD rose modestly to ~$0.6446 as Australia PMI data improved, but still under pressure; support 0.6400–0.6360, resistance 0.6480–0.6520.

• USD/JPY hovered near 157, the yen’s weakness raising intervention concerns in Japan; support 155.00–154.00, resistance 158.00–159.00.

Key Economic Events (GMT):

• Japan Core CPI – Oct 31, 23:30 GMT
• U.S. Unemployment Rate & Non-Farm Payrolls – Nov 1, 12:30 GMT
• Australia Manufacturing PMI – Nov 2, 00:30 GMT
• China Trade Balance – Nov 2, 03:00 GMT
• U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI – Nov 3, 14:00 GMT

Market sentiment remains cautious and data-driven, as traders process an ambiguous U.S. labour market and heightened yen intervention risk. The dollar holds strength, albeit under pressure from emerging currency policy themes and regional data slumps. FX volatility is expected to remain elevated ahead of major central bank commentary and labour releases.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: https://www.monetamarkets.com/markets/global-currencies-move-on-mixed-economic-data-and-policy-21st-november-2025/

Today’s Financial Digest

Rate cut expectations dominated market sentiment to start the week, with traders positioning ahead of December’s anticipated Federal Reserve policy shift. The US Dollar Index held firm near the 100.00 level as investors weighed mixed U.S. data against growing confidence in upcoming monetary easing. Precious metals surged, with gold breaking above $4,050 on strong safe-haven flows, while silver lagged as industrial concerns capped upside. Risk currencies such as AUD and CAD adjusted to shifting rate narratives, reflecting a market firmly driven by policy expectations and upcoming economic data.

• US Dollar Index (DXY) steady near 100.00 as markets price in Fed cuts; support 99.50–99.00, resistance 100.50–100.80.

• Gold (XAU/USD) breaks $4,050 on dovish Fed sentiment; support 4,050–4,000, resistance 4,100–4,150.

• Silver (XAG/USD) struggles below $50.00, showing bearish divergence from gold; support 49.50–49.00, resistance 50.00–50.50.

• AUD/USD holds steady ahead of Australia’s CPI release; support 0.6550–0.6500, resistance 0.6600–0.6650.

• USD/CAD trades below 1.4100 as Fed cuts weigh on USD; support 1.4050–1.4000, resistance 1.4150–1.4200.

Key Economic Events (GMT):

• Chicago Fed National Activity Index – 25 Nov
• Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index – 25 Nov
• ECB President Lagarde Speech – 26 Nov
• Australia Monthly CPI – 27 Nov
• US PCE Inflation – 27 Nov

Market sentiment remains cautious and data-dependent as traders await fresh catalysts. The Fed’s expected December rate cut is the central force shaping FX and commodities, boosting gold while keeping the Dollar in consolidation. Risk-linked currencies like AUD and CAD remain sensitive to both domestic and U.S. data, leaving markets poised for volatility ahead of key releases. With inflation data, central-bank commentary, and PMI figures on the calendar, traders should remain alert to rapid shifts in market direction.

Stay tuned to Moneta Markets for real-time insights, charts, and intraday analysis. Global Currencies Move on Mixed Economic Data and Policy | 24th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest:

Global markets turned their focus to crude oil on Monday as WTI retreated to near $58.50, driven by renewed peace hopes between Ukraine and Russia. The shift in geopolitical tone weighed on commodities and risk assets, while central bank expectations continued to steer broader FX sentiment. The US Dollar softened on rising Fed rate-cut bets, helping EUR and JPY stabilize, while commodity-linked currencies such as CAD and AUD reacted sharply to oil volatility.

• WTI Crude Oil fell to ~$58.50 as peace negotiations gained traction; support $57.70, resistance $59.50–$60.00.

• USD/CAD traded around 1.4100, moving with weakening oil prices; support 1.4075, resistance 1.4120.

• AUD/USD steadied as markets digest CPI and oil-driven risk sentiment; support 0.6615, resistance 0.6670.

• EUR/USD edged up to 1.1525–30 amid a softer USD and dovish Fed expectations; support 1.1510, resistance 1.1555.

• USD/JPY eased toward 148–149 as JPY firmed on intervention concerns; support 148.25, resistance 149.80.

Key Economic Events (GMT):

• API Weekly Crude Oil Stock – Today, 20:30 GMT
• Australia CPI – Tomorrow, 00:30 GMT
• US CB Consumer Confidence – Tomorrow, 15:00 GMT
• US EIA Crude Oil Inventories – Wednesday, 15:30 GMT
• Fed Communications & Rate Outlook – Ongoing this week

Risk sentiment remains fragile as traders balance geopolitical optimism against global economic uncertainties. Oil’s decline has become a central driver across FX pairs, influencing CAD, AUD, and JPY in particular. With peace negotiations, CPI results, and API/EIA figures all in play, volatility is expected to remain elevated through mid-week.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: WTI Crude Oil Nears $58.50 Amid Ukraine Peace Hopes and Fed Rate Cut Expectations | 25th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest

Global FX markets were driven by a sharp rebound in the Japanese Yen and broad USD softness, as traders positioned ahead of key central bank decisions. The Yen surged on rising expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike, while dovish Federal Reserve sentiment continued to weigh on the US Dollar. Precious metals and oil prices pushed higher, supported by lower US yields and growing optimism over global demand. Market sentiment remains cautious but responsive to shifting policy expectations.

• EUR/JPY traded below 181.00, consolidating amid mixed ECB–BoJ signals;
Support: 180.00–179.40 | Resistance: 181.40–181.80

• Silver (XAG/USD) hovered just below $52, boosted by softer US yields and safe-haven demand;
Support: $51.50–$50.90 | Resistance: $52.70–$53.20

• USD/JPY extended declines, dropping toward multi-week lows on strong Yen momentum;
Support: 156.20–155.70 | Resistance: 157.80–158.40

• WTI crude oil climbed above $58.00, supported by Fed easing expectations and tighter US inventory outlook;
Support: $57.40–$56.50 | Resistance: $58.50–$59.20

• USD/CAD slipped to ~1.4080, pressured by dovish Fed expectations and better Canadian data;
Support: 1.4050–1.4020 | Resistance: 1.4130–1.4180

Key Economic Events (GMT)

• Japan Retail Sales – Nov 27, 23:50 GMT
• US Consumer Confidence – Nov 27, 15:00 GMT
• Australia CPI Monthly – Nov 28, 00:30 GMT
• US GDP (2nd Estimate) – Nov 28, 13:30 GMT
• BoJ Summary of Opinions – Nov 29, 23:50 GMT

Market sentiment is mixed but highly reactive to central bank policy expectations. Yen strength and USD softness continue to shape cross-asset flows as traders brace for high-impact data and policy commentary. Volatility is likely to remain elevated as markets await confirmation from the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan on their next policy moves.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Yen Strengthens on BoJ Bets, Global Markets Eye Fed Policy | 26th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest

Gold and silver were in sharp focus today as shifting Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations and a broadly softer US Dollar supported precious metals across the board. Investors balanced improved risk sentiment with continued safe-haven interest, while currency markets reacted to diverging central-bank paths, notably between the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, and Reserve Bank of Australia. Commodities such as crude oil softened as geopolitical headlines shifted toward a potential Ukraine–Russia ceasefire.

• USD/JPY extended declines as Yen strength grew on BoJ tightening bets;
Support: Recent troughs | Resistance: Latest breakdown zone

• Gold (XAU/USD) consolidated below a two-week high, supported by Fed-cut pricing and softer yields;
Support: Intraday lows → prior base | Resistance: Recent top

• Silver (XAG/USD) slipped below 53.00, entering a corrective pullback after its latest rally;
Support: Higher-low structure, then 50.00 | Resistance: 53.00 region

• AUD/USD pushed toward a 1.5-week high, lifted by USD softness and pro-risk flows;
Support: Latest breakout area | Resistance: Recent swing high

• WTI crude eased to ~58.30, pressured by ceasefire headlines and potential supply implications;
Support: Below 58.00 | Resistance: Prior session high / 60.00

Key Economic Events (GMT)

• US GDP (Second Estimate) – Nov 28, 13:30 GMT
• Australia CPI Monthly – Nov 28, 00:30 GMT
• US Core PCE – Nov 29, 13:30 GMT
• Japan Tokyo CPI – Nov 29, 23:30 GMT
• OPEC+ Meeting – Nov 30

Market sentiment today remains driven by shifting Fed expectations, geopolitical headlines, and the broader trend in US yields. Precious metals continue to react quickly to changes in rate-cut odds, while FX and commodities remain sensitive to policy divergence and news flow out of Eastern Europe. Volatility is likely to stay elevated as traders watch incoming US data and Fed communication for clues on December policy direction.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Gold and Silver in Focus: 5 Key Metals Headlines | 27th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest:

Major currency pairs moved broadly higher today as growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts weighed on the US Dollar. Sterling, the Aussie and the Kiwi gained on improving domestic signals, while China’s PBOC fixing kept Asian FX relatively stable. Softer oil prices added upward pressure on USD/CAD. Traders now look to upcoming US inflation prints and central bank commentary for the next major impulses.

• GBP/USD trades near 1.3250 after extending gains on renewed Fed rate-cut expectations; support 1.3180–1.3120, resistance 1.3300–1.3360.

• NZD/USD holds around 0.5730, close to monthly highs as RBNZ hawkish signals bolster the Kiwi; support 0.5700–0.5650, resistance 0.5755–0.5800.

• USD/CNY remained range-bound after today’s PBOC fixing, reflecting the central bank’s FX-stability bias; support 7.0620–7.0700, resistance 7.0850–7.0900.

• AUD/USD climbed on firmer domestic inflation data and a softer USD, with momentum intact above recent breakout levels; support 0.6660–0.6600, resistance 0.6720–0.6760.

• USD/CAD traded above the 1.4000 mark as weaker crude pressured the loonie; support 1.3980–1.3920, resistance 1.4050–1.4100.

Key Economic Events (GMT):

• US PCE Price Index – (Next major print)
• Fed Speakers / Commentary – Various, week ahead
• RBNZ / BoE Commentary – Scheduled commentary ahead
• China PMI Releases – (Next release)
• Oil Inventory Reports (API/EIA) – Weekly

Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic toward higher-beta currencies as Fed-cut expectations take center stage. Antipodean FX and sterling look well supported for now, but traders should watch US PCE and Fed commentary closely — a change in the Fed narrative or a renewed oil move could swiftly recalibrate flows.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Fed Cut Bets Lift Majors as Commodity FX Finds Support | 28th November 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest

Global markets were dominated by a surge in precious metals, with gold and silver hitting fresh highs as investors priced in growing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. The US Dollar softened, boosting demand for non‑yielding assets, while oil rallied on OPEC+ supply decisions. Major currencies responded to shifting monetary expectations and mixed global data, creating a cautiously optimistic trading environment.

• Gold (XAU/USD) extended gains above $4,200, supported by weaker US yields and safe-haven demand; support $4,150–$4,180, resistance $4,250–$4,280.

• Silver (XAG/USD) surged beyond $57.50, reaching record highs amid bullish metals sentiment; support $56.50–$56.00, resistance $58.20–$58.50.

• WTI Crude Oil climbed to near $59.30, boosted by OPEC+ halting supply hikes; support $58.20–$58.00, resistance $60.00–$60.50.

• EUR/USD trades above 1.1600, testing the 200-day SMA as the US Dollar weakens; support 1.1570–1.1550, resistance 1.1625–1.1670.

• USD/CNY remains under pressure after China’s Manufacturing PMI missed expectations; support 7.0750–7.0700, resistance 7.0900–7.0950.

Key Economic Events (GMT)

• US ISM Manufacturing PMI – Dec 1, 22:45
• US Non-Farm Payrolls & PCE Price Index – Dec 3, 13:30
• China PMI Final – Dec 2–3, 03:00
• OPEC+ Meeting – Dec 6 (tbd)
• Fed & PBOC Commentary – Ongoing

Market sentiment favors commodities and risk-linked assets amid dovish Fed expectations and softer US Dollar flows. Traders remain focused on upcoming US releases, central bank commentary, and global manufacturing data for cues on the next directional moves across metals, oil, and FX.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Metals Surge as Gold and Silver Break New Highs Amid Growing Fed Cut Expectations | 1st December 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest

WTI crude’s decisive move below the 59 handle weighed on risk sentiment, dragging energy-linked currencies lower and reinforcing concerns over demand in an already cautious global outlook. The Canadian Dollar softened alongside oil, while the Yen eased as equities stabilized and safe-haven demand faded. Precious metals saw orderly profit-taking after recent record runs, and the Chinese Yuan fix signaled steady, policy-guided moves as traders positioned ahead of key US data and central bank commentary.

1. WTI Crude Oil trades below 59.50 after breaking key support, with sentiment firmly bearish on demand concerns; support 58.70–58.10, resistance 59.80–60.50.
2. USD/CAD holds near 1.4000 as weaker oil undercuts CAD despite dovish Fed expectations; support 1.3980–1.3910, resistance 1.4050–1.4100.
3. USD/JPY pushes higher as risk-on tone limits demand for JPY, with bulls eyeing resistance at 152.40–153.00; support 151.60–151.00.
4. Silver (XAG/USD) corrects below 57.00 after a strong rally, but the broader uptrend remains intact; support 56.30–55.80, resistance 57.60–58.25.
5. USD/CNY fix set at 7.0794, a touch higher than the prior 7.0759, signaling controlled, modest USD favor within a managed band; support 7.0710–7.0650, resistance 7.0860–7.0930.

Key Economic Events (GMT)

1. US ISM Manufacturing PMI – Dec 1, 22:45
2. US Non-Farm Payrolls & PCE Price Index – Dec 3, 13:30
3. China PMI Final – Dec 2–3, 03:00
4. OPEC+ Meeting – Dec 6 (tbd)
5. Fed & PBOC Commentary – Ongoing

Market sentiment today centers on oil’s decline, cautious risk appetite, and policy expectations from major central banks, with traders watching upcoming US data, Chinese indicators, and OPEC+ developments for the next directional push across WTI, metals, and FX.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: WTI Slips Below $59 as Bearish Outlook Weighs on Global Markets | 2nd December 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest

The US Dollar slipped ahead of key US economic releases, with traders positioning cautiously ahead of NFP, ISM, and PCE data. Commodity currencies, including AUD and NZD, held firm as markets leaned into Fed rate-cut expectations, while China-linked momentum influenced Asian FX. Risk sentiment remained mixed across majors as macro uncertainty stayed in focus.

• US Dollar Index (DXY) softened toward 99.20 as markets priced in December Fed cuts; support 99.20–98.80, resistance 100.00–100.40.

• AUD/USD traded near multi-week highs despite weak GDP, supported by a hawkish RBA; support 0.6670–0.6630, resistance 0.6750–0.6780.

• USD/CNY held slightly firmer after China’s Services PMI eased to 52.1, keeping growth concerns active; support 7.12–7.10, resistance 7.16–7.18.

• NZD/USD climbed toward 0.5750 as upbeat China PMI and dovish Fed expectations improved risk appetite; support 0.5700–0.5660, resistance 0.5780–0.5820.

• AUD/JPY stayed below 102.50 after weak Australian GDP weighed on sentiment; support 101.80–101.40, resistance 102.80–103.20.

Key Economic Events (GMT)

• US PCE Price Index – Nov 29, 13:30
• US ISM Manufacturing PMI – Nov 29, 15:00
• US Non-Farm Payrolls – Nov 29, 13:30
• Australia CPI – Nov 30, 00:30
• China Inflation, PBOC Fixing – Nov 30, 01:00–03:00

Market sentiment remains cautious as traders brace for US data that could determine the next major swing in USD momentum. With rate-cut expectations building and cross-asset flows shifting, volatility is likely to rise across FX, commodities, and Asia-linked pairs.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: US Dollar Slides Ahead of Key US Data Releases | 3rd December 2025 | Moneta Markets

Today’s Financial Digest

The US Dollar traded mixed as markets weighed dovish Fed expectations against resilient US data, while policy divergence and trade outcomes drove sharper moves in the Yen, Aussie, and China‑linked FX. Risk sentiment was balanced rather than directional, with safe‑haven JPY drawing support from BoJ normalization bets and pro‑cyclical AUD benefiting from a stronger trade surplus and reduced RBA‑cut odds.

1. USD/CAD held a mild positive bias above the mid‑1.3900s, but upside looked limited as softer US yields and steady oil capped broader USD strength; support 1.3920–1.3940, resistance 1.4000–1.4050.
   
2. JPY (USD/JPY) extended its pullback from recent highs as traders priced in further BoJ normalization versus looming Fed cuts; support near recent two‑week lows, resistance around the mid‑155.00 area.
   
3. NZD/USD eased toward 0.5750 on a modest Dollar rebound, though Fed rate‑cut expectations continued to cap the downside; support 0.5700–0.5720, resistance 0.5800–0.5830.
   
4. USD/CNY slipped after the PBOC set a slightly stronger fix at 7.0733 versus 7.0754 previously, signaling a preference for yuan stability; support 7.06–7.04, resistance 7.10–7.12.
   
5. AUD/USD held above 0.6600 at its highest since late October after Australia’s trade surplus beat expectations, with hawkish RBA pricing reinforcing the uptrend; support 0.6560–0.6580, resistance 0.6660–0.6700.

Key Economic Events (GMT)

1. Australia Trade Balance – Dec 4, 12:30
2. US Trade Balance – Dec 4, 13:30
3. US Weekly Jobless Claims – Dec 4, 13:30
4. US Challenger Job Cuts – Dec 4, 12:30–13:30 window
5. US Employment Situation, Core PCE (this week) – Dec 5, 13:30–14:00

Market sentiment remains cautious as traders position around early‑December US data that will help shape the next leg in Fed policy expectations and USD momentum. With cross‑asset flows rotating between havens and risk‑sensitive currencies, volatility is likely to stay elevated across FX and Asia‑linked pairs as the week’s key releases hit the tape.

For full charts, video analysis, and intraday updates, visit: Dollar Mixed as Yen Strengthens and AUD Gains on Trade Momentum | 4th December 2025 | Moneta Markets