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Blue's Clues to Trading: Timing Levels and Behaviour of Price

  • #581
  • Nov 3, 2025 2:52am Nov 3, 2025 2:52am
Quoting bluesteele
Just a few thoughts... I know there are many ways to trade the markets. There is no right way...it is what works for you. With that said... It is just my opinion that if you are daytrading and not using volume. You are flying at best with one eye open.
There is no right way... it is what works for you. Absolutely agree.

Trading can sometimes becomes an Art-form rather than a pure science, after all we are trading the psychology of the Markets, not just only the numbers.

Like a Doctor without doing any tests, from the symptoms he/she can diagnose possible conditions & rule out others purely from observation.

No doubt, trading can be one of the most difficult endeavours to master.

Set-Up patterns can be seen over & over again, like the IB hour or even dare I say the Quasimodo, occurs regularly enough to exploit.
It never gets easier, you just get better
  • #582
  • Nov 3, 2025 8:56am Nov 3, 2025 8:56am
Wheres Value ?
Wheres Balance ?

Overlapping Values anchor a FRVP
Look from Today
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Look from Last night at other Overlapping Value Areas
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Draw a FRVP...set your levels

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Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #583
  • Nov 3, 2025 10:30am Nov 3, 2025 10:30am
Nasdaq - Roadmap and vwap. Of course the ORB would have got you in earlier ?
5 minute UK time.
Just musings.
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every Saint has a past. Every Sinner has a Future
  • #584
  • Nov 3, 2025 4:58pm Nov 3, 2025 4:58pm
Quoting bluesteele
Volume Profiles are plotted for both the Overnight/Globex session and for the RTH session. What I am looking for is Overlapping Value Areas... Generally back 4periods(2days). As the week progresses I am looking at where is the majority of Value at. {image} Once I see Value overlapping I simply draw a FRVP to those sessions and that sets the levels into the nest trading session. {image}Here in below chart you can see both the VAL testes and then later on UK ? The VAH tested (orange dooted line) {image}
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Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #585
  • Nov 3, 2025 5:26pm Nov 3, 2025 5:26pm
NQ ... look at that spread ...

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Life itself is a privilege, but to live life to the fullest is a choice
  • #586
  • Nov 3, 2025 7:09pm Nov 3, 2025 7:09pm
Quoting bluesteele
Volume Profiles are plotted for both the Overnight/Globex session and for the RTH session. What I am looking for is Overlapping Value Areas... Generally back 4periods(2days). As the week progresses I am looking at where is the majority of Value at. {image} Once I see Value overlapping I simply draw a FRVP to those sessions and that sets the levels into the nest trading session. {image}Here in below chart you can see both the VAL testes and then later on UK ? The VAH tested (orange dooted line) {image}
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Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #587
  • Edited 1:20pm Nov 4, 2025 8:33am | Edited 1:20pm
Value Area Low of 2 different weeks.... see what happens next?
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  • #588
  • Nov 4, 2025 9:54am Nov 4, 2025 9:54am
Quoting deafpostman
Low value of 2 different weeks.... see what happens next? {image}
Love it ! Excellent
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #589
  • Nov 4, 2025 5:15pm Nov 4, 2025 5:15pm
Quoting CashBox
Robbins Cup winner. 500%+ verified returns. Scalper using profile and other things talked about in this thread. I watched this early today and enjoyed his process. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tvERE-Beu2U
So lala vid for me.
As a NQ scalper myself this guy is always too late to the party.
He has some "good" "approaches" and "explanations" but as a real OF scalper he misses too often too many good opportunities.
His whole setup is too slow and zoomed out not looking at the nano cosmos where the music is playing where it often reveals the direction.
  • #590
  • Edited 7:52pm Nov 4, 2025 7:32pm | Edited 7:52pm
Yearly look. Crazy volatility. Yellow levels are LVN, Red Levels are HVN or POC for clusters of price. Gold is declining, but where to and why? USDX is going up, bonds up a little. Once the feds are back to work, may cause some movement.
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  • #591
  • Nov 5, 2025 10:14pm Nov 5, 2025 10:14pm
400 hundred years ago… This man could have been a trader.
Musashi slicing the markets with VWAP..
Venerate, Wait, Accept, Profit.


Inserted Video
  • #592
  • Nov 6, 2025 8:39am Nov 6, 2025 8:39am
Quoting deafpostman
400 hundred years ago… This man could have been a trader. Musashi slicing the markets with VWAP.. Venerate, Wait, Accept, Profit. https://youtu.be/_zjR2I5TruA?si=x4kKSsKAe7xNcRpg
Geez I cant recall the last time I heard the word Venerate !

Awhile back in the thread I mentioned that when a new week or new month starts I anchor to the start of the week that just ended or the month that just ended.
Why? Well on a Weekly basis when Monday comes around the weekly starts fresh and I only have one days data.

The weekly levels from the prev week are still very pertinent ,,,,especially when price is in Value. Normally I always carry fwd last weeks VWAP to min. Tues.

Same holds true with the monthly Vwap,,,I will carry fwd last months Vwap at least one full week.

Heres an example from Yesterdays ES

Octobers Monthly VWAP simply carried fwd into November,,,,,,

Wheres Balance
Wheres Value,,,,,,


Heres a shot of it as the month turned. We can see on Fri 31st price bounced off 1SD staying in Price Discovery / Imbalanced
Mon Nov 3rd Price again bounced off 1SD and Tues Nov 4th price returns to Fair Value on the Monthly with a return to Value(VWAP)
and subsequent normal behaviour retests the 1SD(VAH) again...

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BTW I dont really trade the Rusty but have observed it on occasion... Its all the same no matter the market...These Institutional benchmarks/tools
are Universal..No need to tweak an indi to fit a certain mkt
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Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #593
  • Nov 6, 2025 9:00am Nov 6, 2025 9:00am
No comment.. have a look-see
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  • #594
  • Nov 6, 2025 9:11am Nov 6, 2025 9:11am
Live... but off to my '9-5'...
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  • #595
  • Nov 6, 2025 9:14am Nov 6, 2025 9:14am
Quoting deafpostman
No comment.. have a look-see {image}
Pivotal Level thats for sure

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Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #596
  • Nov 6, 2025 9:22am Nov 6, 2025 9:22am
As I have always said... OHLC
Pay attention to the Open and the Behaviour of Price ..applies to OHLC

Notice NQs Close and then Price behaviour at Open Every picture tells a story


Cheers and have a good day Postman and others



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Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #597
  • Nov 6, 2025 9:06pm Nov 6, 2025 9:06pm
Quoting bluesteele
As I have always said... OHLC Pay attention to the Open and the Behaviour of Price ..applies to OHLC Notice NQs Close and then Price behaviour at Open Every picture tells a story Cheers and have a good day Postman and others {image}
Interesting how well correlated they are.
The NAS ‘sweeps’ before the drop, S&P does not quite make the sweep. Pick one or trade both?
I was looking at if one leads the other…. I imagine algorithms take advantage if one does lead the other.
  • #598
  • Nov 6, 2025 10:07pm Nov 6, 2025 10:07pm
Quoting deafpostman
{quote} Interesting how well correlated they are. The NAS ‘sweeps’ before the drop, S&P does not quite make the sweep. Pick one or trade both? I was looking at if one leads the other…. I imagine algorithms take advantage if one does lead the other.
For me its pick one...I think a case can be made for watching both... Personally I trade NQ seldomly.. But I do watch it.
Highlighted some of the differences.... I think newer traders should not even bother as can be info overload...

I tend to watch for behaviour at the Opens and other key levels... I also like to observe the Initial Balance if one is breaking out
before the other..and holding... I have no rules around any of this its just extra confluences running in the background.

If I have a setup I take it regardless what any other indice is doing.

I recall Tom Hougaard is (was ?) always watching multiple indices whether Euro or US ones as somewhat of a leading indicator.
Very much in tune to the behaviour between them... Again I guess like a pilot stepping it up into a larger airplane and more to it..

Do we need it..nope...can it help...for some I think yes

Gotta love trading !

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Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #599
  • Nov 6, 2025 10:46pm Nov 6, 2025 10:46pm
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Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #600
  • Nov 9, 2025 3:01am Nov 9, 2025 3:01am
Quoting deafpostman
{quote} Interesting how well correlated they are. The NAS ‘sweeps’ before the drop, S&P does not quite make the sweep. Pick one or trade both? I was looking at if one leads the other…. I imagine algorithms take advantage if one does lead the other.
Hi deafpostman

I have been trading NQ & ES side by side for years, there is no trading edge in believing NQ leads ES as a trade setup.
The issue with Futures is Hedge funds or big player will often Sell say Apple or Microsoft Stock and then Hedge it with leveraged Futures by Buying NQ Future contracts.
Then they Buy or Sell either Stock or Future's Contracts if price moves away from Value on either market. If say NQ starts to trend long and say the big 7 are not moving, it means some big hedge fund probably has a Sell on Apple or microsoft (example) a few cents higher and they are trying to force a Buyer to hit their orders. Their trick is to create a bullish move on NQ contract or even ES Contract to sell out of a big 7 stock.

Where I do see a trading edge is when a Huge Buy or Sell order hits ES, NQ will react quicker and start to trend. An example of this was on Friday near close, a medium large order of 167 ES Contracts hit the tape, NQ immediately spiked downwards while ES took about 20 seconds to decide to move bearish.

Large trades leads price, not NQ leading ES.

Another good strategy also is probably to use an indicator like "TickStrike" which shows you what the big 7 are doing. If Tick strike is showing bullish signals, Buy NQ or ES.

Cheers
Trading thin liquidity at the boundary of the charts
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