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  • #218,061
  • Nov 3, 2025 2:46pm Nov 3, 2025 2:46pm
Based on H1, I am marking 1.1525 as nearest resistance.. while H1 candles open below it, no buying for me... only selling!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,062
  • Nov 3, 2025 4:53pm Nov 3, 2025 4:53pm
The US dollar index is still showing good performance. The USD has strengthened in recent days, and it is expected to continue its strengthening.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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I trade at FXOpen
  • #218,063
  • Nov 3, 2025 11:12pm Nov 3, 2025 11:12pm
Quoting bartholemew
This market gave itself permission to trade all the way down to 1.14 last Friday. Not that it's guaranteed, as nothing ever is, but the remaining pips to get there are like a half of a pizza - you already ate the first half for real, and you're now eating the second half in your mind, so what is there left to pretend?
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  • #218,064
  • Nov 3, 2025 11:31pm Nov 3, 2025 11:31pm
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If nearest support zone hold & trendline breaks possible reversal might start
  • #218,065
  • Nov 4, 2025 12:25am Nov 4, 2025 12:25am
Time to go up.
  • #218,066
  • Nov 4, 2025 12:35am Nov 4, 2025 12:35am
We're seeing bulls come in, in a big way, but I have a feeling there will be another low before we go up.
  • #218,067
  • Nov 4, 2025 12:40am Nov 4, 2025 12:40am
H1: Today is decision day!

Will bulls break above the yellow zone on chart?: 1.1529/49-ish area...
OR
Will bears kick in and make price bounce back down? Time will tell... Don't rush... trade according to signs and clues!

Happy trading day folks
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,068
  • Nov 4, 2025 12:56am Nov 4, 2025 12:56am
Quoting adrielt
{quote} Moved down and hit my tp at 1.15064 before moving up so I didn't enter an additional short yet again, both shorts are now closed out, my short opened early October closed out at +210 pips, my short from Wednesday closed out for +120 pips. Weeks of patience finally payed off for quite a large pay off. I will start trading more daily-weekly swing positions as testing it out this last month has been a lot easier psychologically when it comes to not over trading and actually following my rules.
So we are finally at the point where a retrace up is very possible but market could move down a bit more to around 1.14850 level before going up as well, because of this im iffy on trading tonight but id be looking for price to head up to 1.15490, 1.15960 eventually before a bigger move down and would stop looking for shorts if price were to close above 1.14680. So for the night I will wait for a closure above 1.15330 to enter a long, and if price is to close below low at 1.14984 then id place a pending long at 1.14896 targeting 1.15490 and one tp at 1.15960 as I think market will retrace into these levels before going lower towards 1.14600.
  • #218,069
  • Nov 4, 2025 1:45am Nov 4, 2025 1:45am
H4: IF 1.1533 area doesn't reject, next we would have 1.1550.... For now, I focus on 1.1533...
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,070
  • Nov 4, 2025 2:34am Nov 4, 2025 2:34am
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  • #218,071
  • Nov 4, 2025 2:46am Nov 4, 2025 2:46am
On M30 chart previous candle's high still unbroken.
  • #218,072
  • Nov 4, 2025 2:57am Nov 4, 2025 2:57am
I think the price is rapidly preparing for a new 4-hour candle. The trend we've pulled back from is actually significant. We've pulled back four times, but if it tries again, it could break above. It could start to fade. If it doesn't head there again, I'll assume it's eager for a break below.
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I write my posts with translation. There may be spelling mistakes.
  • #218,073
  • Nov 4, 2025 3:47am Nov 4, 2025 3:47am
M5: closed all short orders here at 1.1509.... Waiting on sidelines!
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,074
  • Nov 4, 2025 3:50am Nov 4, 2025 3:50am
Bears have reversed daily candle and H4 from bullish into bearish, 10 minutes left for H4 close. We are below daily open 1.1516
  • #218,075
  • Nov 4, 2025 3:51am Nov 4, 2025 3:51am
The closing price of current H1 candle matters a lot... Beware dear bears! 8 more minutes until candle close!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,076
  • Nov 4, 2025 4:01am Nov 4, 2025 4:01am
Next: As soon as I see any M5 candle close above 1.1502, I will open long! Otherwise I stay out!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,077
  • Nov 4, 2025 4:06am Nov 4, 2025 4:06am
Too high of a close on M5... I will try to buy dips to 1.1503... or any other upcoming dip as long as I can buy as low as I can all works..
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #218,078
  • Nov 4, 2025 4:10am Nov 4, 2025 4:10am
The direction of the wicks can also be a determining factor. It's also important to track micro-movements.
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I write my posts with translation. There may be spelling mistakes.
  • #218,079
  • Nov 4, 2025 4:13am Nov 4, 2025 4:13am
1.15 is not strong support IMO - it's more of a precarious toe-hold above the plunge to 1.14. Prior to all the noise in the media last summer about weakening US labor markets, "too late Powell," demands for the Fed to not be the Fed and just do whatever POTUS and his proxies wanted, the plunge to 1.14 looked like there wasn't much support there back then either.

1.11 target is still in play IMO.
  • #218,080
  • Nov 4, 2025 4:19am Nov 4, 2025 4:19am
Quoting bartholemew
1,15 seviyesi bence güçlü bir destek değil; daha çok 1,14'e düşüşün üzerinde tehlikeli bir tutunma noktası. Geçen yaz medyada ABD işgücü piyasalarının zayıflamasıyla ilgili çıkan tüm gürültüden, "çok geç Powell"dan, Fed'in Fed gibi davranmaması ve ABD Başkanı ve vekillerinin istediğini yapması yönündeki taleplerden önce, 1,14'e düşüş o zamanlar da pek destek yokmuş gibi görünüyordu. Bence 1,11 hedefi hâlâ geçerli.

It's a long way off. A lot can change before that level. There are so many metrics that move the market. We need to update our levels and set short-term targets every day, sometimes even every 4-12 hours. Otherwise, the price will certainly reach 1.11 one day. But what matters to us is where it will be today/tomorrow.
I write my posts with translation. There may be spelling mistakes.
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