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EURUSD only

  • #217,801
  • Oct 29, 2025 2:39pm Oct 29, 2025 2:39pm
Tomorrow will hit hard on EUR...
  • #217,802
  • Oct 29, 2025 2:41pm Oct 29, 2025 2:41pm
Can anyone enlighten me? What did Powell say this time that he doesn’t usually say?
When the trumpet sounds, you won't be able to hear the techno anymore.
  • #217,803
  • Oct 29, 2025 2:41pm Oct 29, 2025 2:41pm
If buyers are unable to push the price above 1.15865, the target for W1 is in the region of 1.1555
"No pain no gain"
  • #217,804
  • Oct 29, 2025 2:42pm Oct 29, 2025 2:42pm
Quoting Pozemstan
Uvidíme, co nám řekne předseda... ale myslím si, že podle H4 se před větším růstem posuneme někam mezi 1,15551 a 1,16 za lepší ceny, nebo půjdeme rovnou nahoru s možným odrazem, například od 1,16, a do konce týdne uzavřeme nad úrovní 1,1717, takže půjdeme nahoru a nahoru... takže sledujme, co se stane, a buďme opatrní. * jinak bych osobně preferoval uzavření pod 1,15551 do konce týdne a pokračující posilování medvědů ... Dlouhodobé...
I only hold shorts and now they all have SLs in the green at 1.16223 and the bulls are not protesting yet, so hopefully the bears have the strength to keep it at least below 1.16 today... if not, at least I will have a clean chart after a long time ... TP 1.15051 GLA
Nothing is impossible.
  • #217,805
  • Oct 29, 2025 2:43pm Oct 29, 2025 2:43pm
Quoting Terges
{quote} I hope it was not too painful. Just pull back, regroup and get ready for next battle
I am still waiting for this pullback to this FVG coincides with the 0.786 fib.

Hope that i am not going to be waiting too long.
IMO this gap must be filled, and the market is looking for reason to go there.

i think that 1.14900 is on the cards.

My2cent
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Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #217,806
  • Oct 29, 2025 2:47pm Oct 29, 2025 2:47pm
Expecting a short term pullback on H4 candle to at least 50% before resuming Bearish movement.
Probably looking at resuming tomorrow

My
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Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #217,807
  • Oct 29, 2025 2:51pm Oct 29, 2025 2:51pm
Quoting GainingBucks
Jerome Powell and the fed move markets, sometimes/ often times drastically. Big candles show up like they have now and technical trading takes a back seat on FOMC days. Expect big moves and be pleasantly surprised if they don’t happen. Staying on the sidelines is smart especially for those who base their trades mostly on technicals. {image}
In 2009 the average daily range was 150-200 pips throughout the day, with the FOMC/NFP day reaching 300 pips. It's good that the EUR is moving a bit from time to time

We have nice FVG M15 - H4
  • #217,808
  • Oct 29, 2025 3:02pm Oct 29, 2025 3:02pm
4 minutes left and we have USA data: Microsoft Q1 Earnings, Alphabet Q3 Earnings, Starbucks Q4 Earnings, Ebay Q3 earnings
  • #217,809
  • Oct 29, 2025 3:12pm Oct 29, 2025 3:12pm
M5: Overall, while candles open inside channel and below 1.1611 this chart is bearish...

1.1597 is most current median line resistance...
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #217,810
  • Oct 29, 2025 3:19pm Oct 29, 2025 3:19pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
M5: Overall, while candles open inside channel and below 1.1611 this chart is bearish... 1.1597 is most current median line resistance... {image}
1,15988 yes.
  • #217,811
  • Oct 29, 2025 3:23pm Oct 29, 2025 3:23pm
Quoting Pozemstan
{quote} Držím jen shorty a teď mají všechny SL v zelené ceně na 1,16223 a býci zatím neprotestují, takže doufejme, že medvědi budou mít sílu to dnes udržet alespoň pod 1,16... pokud ne, tak alespoň budu mít po dlouhé době čistý graf... TP 1,15051 GLA
Now I've been watching the wick of my last H4 candle closely and although it broke my 3-5 pips rule by less than 1 pip, it's still very calm, so I'm also calm... FOR NOW ...
Nothing is impossible.
  • #217,812
  • Oct 29, 2025 3:28pm Oct 29, 2025 3:28pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Coffee time ...
"No pain no gain"
  • #217,813
  • Oct 29, 2025 3:33pm Oct 29, 2025 3:33pm
Quoting Insider00
{quote} 1,15988 yes.
That's maybe YOUR resistance... 1.1597 is MY resistance...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #217,814
  • Oct 29, 2025 4:00pm Oct 29, 2025 4:00pm
H1: Watch 1.1610/20 area for bearish pressure during Asia...

I am calling it a day folks... If God allows, I will be back after London opening...

Peace out...
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #217,815
  • Oct 29, 2025 4:26pm Oct 29, 2025 4:26pm
Should’ve waited for Powell’s speech — rookie mistake.
Lucky it didn’t flush to 1.154. Still holding 1.164 long.
Over 1.166 and I’ll claim it was all part of the plan.
— polished by AI
When the trumpet sounds, you won't be able to hear the techno anymore.
  • #217,816
  • Edited 5:05pm Oct 29, 2025 4:41pm | Edited 5:05pm
Quoting Pozemstan
{quote} Teď jsem pozorně sledoval knot své poslední H4 svíčky a i když porušila mé pravidlo 3-5 pipů o méně než 1 pip, je to stále velmi klidné, takže jsem taky klidný... PROZATÍM...
SL moved to 1.16161 ... and I tried to buy at 1.16010 (based on MY DISOBEDIENT H4 FED candle) ... *SL=BE ... trade just for the last coffee but mainly I don't like the constant hovering around the 1.16 level ... money has to work nonstop
Nothing is impossible.
  • #217,817
  • Oct 29, 2025 4:50pm Oct 29, 2025 4:50pm
Quoting Terges
{quote} I hope it was not too painful. Just pull back, regroup and get ready for next battle
I wasn't long, haven't been bullish, still not bullish. It continues to look like the longer-term rollover on the daily chart is developing. The 1.11 target I have mentioned several times is still in play IMO. Banks have higher targets for EURUSD but that doesn't mean they will be hit.
  • #217,818
  • Oct 29, 2025 5:53pm Oct 29, 2025 5:53pm
The Fed finally decided to cut interest rates by 25 bps. The short-term market response was USD strengthening, as evidenced by the rising DXY. If the strengthening continues, it may break the low, but conversely, if the USD weakens again, EURUSD is expected to rise.
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I trade at FXOpen
  • #217,819
  • Oct 29, 2025 6:14pm Oct 29, 2025 6:14pm
Quoting adrielt
{quote} Fed cut tmrw will give a lot more insight , what I think can happen before then is for market to go down a bit tonight-early morning and then wick up into 1.16836 area once the cut happens tmrw then establish solid bearish momentum towards my target after the fakeout wick , this would be the ideal scenario but many things can play out so im not placing any additional trades tonight and will simply wait for after the meeting tomorrow before making any decisions.
I will now wait for price to retrace into 1.16216 before adding additional short and then a pending short order at 1.16395 as well as it can definitely push a bit higher then 1.162 before dipping, that retrace up would likely happen during london session tonight and then new york pushes it down to close past 1.15771. Previous shorts(1.17210,1.17100) are now up around +100 pips yet again, still holding for my target of 1.15064.
  • #217,820
  • Oct 29, 2025 7:43pm Oct 29, 2025 7:43pm
The price apparently made a double bottom on 10/22...
I waited a bit and decided to buy at the close of the M15 candles, 10/23... image.
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I intend to reserve this entry for Swing...
"No pain no gain"
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