{quote} It's a baby bear.. it's a baby bearJokes aside...tests can take serious time.. No rush! One thing I spotted though is: No H1 candle has closed above 1.1648 yet!
Done
closed above 1.1648
.................
- #217,602
- Oct 27, 2025 2:08pm Oct 27, 2025 2:08pm
Happy beginning of the week my dear like-minded friends ! It is nice to read you all, no matter the share! oh nice we got intraday volatility war at last from one minute to 2H, let's dive in
, buying the high of the last 2 hours, buying at every pip from 1644 to 1744
!! Cheers ! P.S Maybe we never get back to 1644, but just in case, I am getting ready to: {image}
- #217,604
- Oct 27, 2025 3:06pm Oct 27, 2025 3:06pm
- Joined Sep 2018 | Status: Trader Man | 2,123 Posts
Possibility of escape, if that happens I have already left sell orders in the region... {image}
Just thinking...
"No pain no gain"
- #217,605
- Oct 27, 2025 3:29pm Oct 27, 2025 3:29pm
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,259 Posts
H1: from here on forwards no more new orders.. neither buying nor selling... I am watching from sidelines!
Bull momentum is small but it is there.. Let's see how this push onto 1.1648 will unfold..
Bull momentum is small but it is there.. Let's see how this push onto 1.1648 will unfold..
Focus only on what truly matters!
- #217,606
- Oct 27, 2025 3:35pm Oct 27, 2025 3:35pm
- Joined Sep 2018 | Status: Trader Man | 2,123 Posts
I had left a buy limit entry at the blue line... 1.16435
The price returned and closed the M1 candle at the price...
Order accepted...
Tight sl
The price returned and closed the M1 candle at the price...
Order accepted...
Tight sl
"No pain no gain"
- #217,607
- Oct 27, 2025 4:06pm Oct 27, 2025 4:06pm
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,259 Posts
H4 Wednesday-FED Rate Decision Analysis
- I marked the time when FED rates will be announced... probably there will be a cut, as experts anticipate!
- If so: Until that hour, candles will probably keep rising inside the mini bull channel but sell pressure to be expected from its upper edge... up until 1.1688 area!
- Meaning: a break above 1.1648 on H1 or H4 is only half of the story... Bulls have a lot more to do if they want a complete reversal! We are not even close there yet. So for now, I still keep my bearish bias!
- Meanwhile: I am enjoying watching the efforts of bulls trying to break above my red line: ~1.1648 area...
- If they succeed, nothing much will change and maybe price will continue to hesitantly rise until 1.1688...
- If they fail, bears will first attack the lower edge of the inner bullish channel and if they break below it, next would be the larger channel edge: 1.1603 area... So trade accordingly.. all step by step... no rush!
My two cents... I hope it helps... 
Focus only on what truly matters!
- #217,609
- Edited 5:56pm Oct 27, 2025 5:45pm | Edited 5:56pm
- Joined Aug 2024 | Status: Trader | 1,089 Posts
The red downtrend line has been broken, the blue line represents the levels of support from the bulls on the H4 chart. Currently, the black line indicates the support levels from the bulls on the H1 chart 
Bullish H4 candles with dominant strength. Long candles that cannot be beaten by bears
On the H1 chart, you can see increasingly higher lows 
Bullish H4 candles with dominant strength. Long candles that cannot be beaten by bears
On the H1 chart, you can see increasingly higher lows
- #217,610
- Oct 27, 2025 6:12pm Oct 27, 2025 6:12pm
- Joined Sep 2018 | Status: Trader Man | 2,123 Posts
Possibility of escape, if that happens I have already left sell orders in the region... {image}
It could hold this price of 1.16992 and fall to reach 100% at 1.14801.
Time will tell...
... Happy second trading session, everyone!
"No pain no gain"
- #217,611
- Oct 27, 2025 8:19pm Oct 27, 2025 8:19pm
- Joined Sep 2018 | Status: Trader Man | 2,123 Posts
Only 3 tickets left...
Adjusted price TP + sales limit... I hope to get there...
Adjusted price TP + sales limit... I hope to get there...
"No pain no gain"
- #217,615
- Oct 28, 2025 1:55am Oct 28, 2025 1:55am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,259 Posts
H4: Selling pressure started showing as soon as price nears the upper edge of inner channel... I believe it will repeatedly do that until FED...
Normally, while candles are above the dashed median line of inner channel I would not sell, but today, I could scalper sell the touches to upper edge... BUT whenever I do, I still wouldn't want to stay in for too long before FED data... Only quick hit and run type of orders...
Happy trading day folks
Normally, while candles are above the dashed median line of inner channel I would not sell, but today, I could scalper sell the touches to upper edge... BUT whenever I do, I still wouldn't want to stay in for too long before FED data... Only quick hit and run type of orders...
Happy trading day folks
Focus only on what truly matters!
- #217,616
- Edited 2:32am Oct 28, 2025 2:09am | Edited 2:32am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,259 Posts
{quote} Back home from out of the country, everythings going good so far, it went up from 1.15804 area just like I thought, I predicted a 50ish pip move up from there but it is going higher and because it closed above 1.16420 I am now expecting it to go up to 1.16836, once it hits that area I will enter another short and I am still targeting 1.15064.
But let's go step by step and leave the long-term aside..... We are day traders.. H4 still shows that micro bull channels are intact... Tomorrow's FED data will hopefully reveal more.. No rush!
Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
- #217,617
- Oct 28, 2025 2:40am Oct 28, 2025 2:40am
- Joined Aug 2024 | Status: Trader | 1,089 Posts
We touched yesterday's high 1.1652 and price bounced off it
and price bounced off it
- #217,618
- Edited 3:01am Oct 28, 2025 2:47am | Edited 3:01am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,259 Posts
Focus only on what truly matters!
