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EURUSD only

  • #217,261
  • Oct 17, 2025 3:31am Oct 17, 2025 3:31am
Quick WEEKLY Outlook

Once day ends, we will have a new "end of week" again. BUT this week, candle close above or below 1.1714 area matters a lot.

IF bulls achieve a close above it, next week: bullish!
If they fail, next week could become temporarily bearish. Let's see! Trade extra careful from this point on forwards folks!

My two cents
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #217,262
  • Oct 17, 2025 3:47am Oct 17, 2025 3:47am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
M15: I don't trade this TF but traders who do can risk selling touches to upper trendline: 1.17175 area.. then watching if 1.1697 area breaks...
My plan.
When the trumpet sounds, you won't be able to hear the techno anymore.
  • #217,263
  • Oct 17, 2025 4:45am Oct 17, 2025 4:45am
Waiting for H4 to close below 50% Fib 1.16992 for bearish confirmation...
"No pain no gain"
  • #217,264
  • Oct 17, 2025 4:49am Oct 17, 2025 4:49am
Quoting jonasdao
{quote} My plan.
Since this is the M15... just make sure to constantly update your plan.. Nothing stays as it was..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #217,265
  • Oct 17, 2025 5:32am Oct 17, 2025 5:32am
Closing my buy trades. Market seems to be shifting bearish. Staying out of the market for now. Just keeping watch.
It is what it is!
  • #217,266
  • Oct 17, 2025 5:39am Oct 17, 2025 5:39am
Quoting Itiswhatitis
Closing my buy trades. Market seems to be shifting bearish. Staying out of the market for now. Just keeping watch.
Not the market... The timeframe you are looking at...

Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #217,267
  • Oct 17, 2025 5:44am Oct 17, 2025 5:44am
Quoting Itiswhatitis
Closing my buy trades. Market seems to be shifting bearish. Staying out of the market for now. Just keeping watch.
I beg your pardon. I should have specified .

I meant to say that M15 seems to be turning bearish.
It is what it is!
  • #217,268
  • Oct 17, 2025 5:45am Oct 17, 2025 5:45am
Meanwhile, on H4....

Watch 1.1690.... Nearest resistance at ~1.1717...

If bears keep going, my nearest potential-bounce target is ~1.1666
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H4.png Size: 20 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #217,269
  • Edited 6:18am Oct 17, 2025 6:04am | Edited 6:18am
I'll try to go long today at the New York open.
This is likely the bulls’ last gasp for the week — so by the end of the day, we could see some panic closing, and things might get messy in either direction.
For now, though, I’ll look to enter a long position targeting 1.1720.

Note: Keep in mind that 1.1670 is a major stop-loss cluster for the bulls.
If that level breaks, it could trigger a domino effect to the downside.
Currently, around 71% of traders are stuck in losing SELL positions, and by the end of the week,
they’ll probably start closing out, which could add more fuel to the move (they will BUY BACK).

and if you want to be profitable, just bet against me
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Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #217,270
  • Oct 17, 2025 6:05am Oct 17, 2025 6:05am
My first post on this thread... btw. I have become more focused on this pair mainly because of the price action being more active than any other pair, currently anyway IMHO. Right now I am watching the 1.7000 area pre-New York Session to see if it is a fake out or reversal. I did not expect to see it come back into the recent 'head and shoulders" this far but this could be a retest and the beginning of more down side. I believe is this is a pivotal area this morning but I'm 50/50 on it for now. Cheers!
  • #217,271
  • Edited 7:41am Oct 17, 2025 6:53am | Edited 7:41am
Quoting halkins
I'll try to go long today at the New York open. This is likely the bulls’ last gasp for the week — so by the end of the day, we could see some panic closing, and things might get messy in either direction. For now, though, I’ll look to enter a long position targeting 1.1720. Note: Keep in mind that 1.1670 is a major stop-loss cluster for the bulls. If that level breaks, it could trigger a domino effect to the downside. Currently, around 71% of traders are stuck in losing SELL positions, and by the end of the week, they’ll probably start...
It looks like catching the long-stops first is easier and not that too distant. That would give NY a lower-low for the day (as for now) too.

P.S. -> as I suggested.
  • #217,272
  • Oct 17, 2025 7:26am Oct 17, 2025 7:26am
Meanwhile, on M15...

M15 candles are slowly nearing my H4 target... Let's see what happens there..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-M15.png Size: 25 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #217,273
  • Oct 17, 2025 7:44am Oct 17, 2025 7:44am
I'm looking at a (plain ole) weekly bar chart for sentiment longer term. (Old School) If it works it way down below 1.600 there are slew of longer term bulls that will be getting restless with a 50% retracement of this weeks rise. As someone else mentioned, Friday also plays a factor. We are now below the entire range of two weeks ago. My thoughts are if it can't climb back into the 70's (within the first hr of NY) I'll be looking for a break to the downside.
  • #217,274
  • Oct 17, 2025 7:56am Oct 17, 2025 7:56am
Looking at the 4-hour chart, a new H4 session is about to start, and to avoid FVG (Fair Value Gap) they should close the gap.
  • #217,275
  • Oct 17, 2025 8:23am Oct 17, 2025 8:23am
Quoting Cavar
Looking at the 4-hour chart, a new H4 session is about to start, and to avoid FVG (Fair Value Gap) they should close the gap.
You know your stuff impressive
  • #217,276
  • Oct 17, 2025 8:45am Oct 17, 2025 8:45am
H4: with every bit of new data I can project better... Now I have 1.1658-ish area as support and bouncing spot...

If channel keeps supporting, we should have a bounce up towards 1.1707 area...

If channel breaks, we will visit deeper levels... but for now, focus on support!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H4.png Size: 20 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #217,277
  • Oct 17, 2025 9:07am Oct 17, 2025 9:07am
I could open long at 1.1659... Let's see how it goes...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #217,278
  • Oct 17, 2025 10:43am Oct 17, 2025 10:43am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
I could open long at 1.1659... Let's see how it goes...
Same a bit higher.
Good news for us, the train seems to be departing !!
1.1670 now, US bulls should aim higher than EU bulls, let s say 1.1735?
This Friday will be a long one.....
Happy trading to all
  • #217,279
  • Oct 17, 2025 10:53am Oct 17, 2025 10:53am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
I could open long at 1.1659... Let's see how it goes...
Moving stop to break even... zero risk..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #217,280
  • Oct 17, 2025 11:11am Oct 17, 2025 11:11am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
I could open long at 1.1659... Let's see how it goes...
Trailing stop to 1.1661... +2 pips locked...
Focus only on what truly matters!
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