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Waiting at the Riverband

  • #2,061
  • Oct 16, 2025 10:29pm Oct 16, 2025 10:29pm
I dont want to pollute this thread with speculation .
this will the only one and last post for speculation.
NO 4H resistance yet, only 1H have.
For me it depend how 4365 act as resistance,
need to see this 4H close first.
if price play above it, becareful for short.
If below it also becareful for short,
Cause still no HTF resistance until 4H close red first.
The early drop from 1H 1B1B retrace 50%.(Today low)
Daily open ( today range 50%)
4H discount will be around 4230-4240.
Pay attention when price reach those lvl again.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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PA Return Today: 2.5%
  • #2,062
  • Oct 16, 2025 10:36pm Oct 16, 2025 10:36pm
ASIA did not give me (I failed to spot) any trade, based on this strategy.
Let's see, if FF/LO pulls back for another opportunity.

Looking for only buy, no short.
Success = Practice + Patience + Persistence
  • #2,063
  • Oct 16, 2025 10:43pm Oct 16, 2025 10:43pm
Quoting xiaotiao
So, my question is, is this a valid trade as long as the price doesn't close above and break the head (Fibo 100)? {image} Please feel free to give comments, thanks.
yes even if price violates above the head but closes below it.
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,064
  • Oct 16, 2025 10:55pm Oct 16, 2025 10:55pm
Quoting Inthebox
there is no daily resistant. anyway just observe candle 1 high. {image}
there is no candle close below candle 1 high so there should not be any selling based on h4.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,065
  • Oct 16, 2025 11:00pm Oct 16, 2025 11:00pm
Quoting fxpider
ASIA did not give me (I failed to spot) any trade, based on this strategy. Let's see, if FF/LO pulls back for another opportunity. Looking for only buy, no short.
daily open there is a buy set up.
1m CE
fibo is today range
PA Return Today: 2.5%
  • #2,066
  • Oct 16, 2025 11:44pm Oct 16, 2025 11:44pm
Quoting LeongPuiy
{quote} daily open there is a buy set up. 1m CE fibo is today range
I couldn't see any 1m setup in my chart. Even if I force myself, there could be only a BO opportunity, but how big is the stoploss??
Not my ideal setup.
Success = Practice + Patience + Persistence
  • #2,067
  • Oct 17, 2025 12:33am Oct 17, 2025 12:33am
Quoting fxpider
{quote} I couldn't see any 1m setup in my chart. Even if I force myself, there could be only a BO opportunity, but how big is the stoploss?? Not my ideal setup.
stop will be candle closed below that based low.
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PA Return Today: 2.5%
  • #2,068
  • Oct 17, 2025 12:41am Oct 17, 2025 12:41am
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PA Return Today: 2.5%
  • #2,069
  • Oct 17, 2025 1:36am Oct 17, 2025 1:36am
anyone is taking notice of gold's price action during european sessions for this week?
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,070
  • Oct 17, 2025 1:50am Oct 17, 2025 1:50am
Quoting Inthebox
anyone is taking notice of gold's price action during european sessions for this week? {image}
in past 3 days, Tokyo big up, pre FF or FF huge retrace.
but today different.
drop at tokyo.
PA Return Today: 2.5%
  • #2,071
  • Oct 17, 2025 1:53am Oct 17, 2025 1:53am
Quoting Inthebox
anyone is taking notice of gold's price action during european sessions for this week? {image}
how to pick first candle ?
and start to count 2,3 candle
PA Return Today: 2.5%
  • #2,072
  • Oct 17, 2025 1:54am Oct 17, 2025 1:54am
Quoting LeongPuiy
{quote} in past 3 days, Tokyo big up, pre FF or FF huge retrace. but today different. drop at tokyo.
this week european sessions either ranging or pullback
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,073
  • Oct 17, 2025 1:55am Oct 17, 2025 1:55am
Quoting LeongPuiy
{quote} how to pick first candle ? and start to count 2,3 candle
look at all my previous h4 charts. any candle that has high low snr that cuts through a candle body.
revert if still do not understand. i will indicate h/l and body on those charts.
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...5#post15435675
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...0#post15435890
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,074
  • Oct 17, 2025 2:18am Oct 17, 2025 2:18am
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} look at all my previous h4 charts. any candle that has high low snr that cuts through a candle body. revert if still do not understand. i will indicate h/l and body on those charts. https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...5#post15435675 https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...0#post15435890
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,075
  • Oct 17, 2025 2:23am Oct 17, 2025 2:23am
after my above post, sudden drop. the daily support is a key level to draw price towards it.
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,076
  • Oct 17, 2025 3:40am Oct 17, 2025 3:40am
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} this week european sessions either ranging or pullback
london session more than 150 pips ranging
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,077
  • Oct 17, 2025 3:48am Oct 17, 2025 3:48am
Daily open.
today range 50%.
1m bos,
5m havnt bos yet.
previous EG (OB)
no cmp EG form yet.
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PA Return Today: 2.5%
  • #2,078
  • Oct 17, 2025 3:55am Oct 17, 2025 3:55am
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} {image}
mean that 2nd candle closed or go above the 1st candle high, then 3rd cant close above or go higher then 2nd candle, possible reverse, am i right?
like this?
the 1-2-3 is that 3 green candles.
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PA Return Today: 2.5%
  • #2,079
  • Oct 17, 2025 4:05am Oct 17, 2025 4:05am
Quoting LeongPuiy
{quote} mean that 2nd candle closed or go above the 1st candle high, then 3rd cant close above or go higher then 2nd candle, possible reverse, am i right? like this? the 1-2-3 is that 3 green candles. {image}
Quoting LeongPuiy
{quote} mean that 2nd candle closed or go above the 1st candle high, then 3rd cant close above or go higher then 2nd candle, possible reverse, am i right?
2nd candle can close above or below 1st candle high. it is the body you have to look.
bullish or bearish does not matter. i repeated that more than 3 times since yesterday.
it is bearish red here for 2nd candle. https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...0#post15435950
best to have 3rd candle closing below candle 1 high. but the 4th, 5th, 6th ............ etc candle also can. the further away it is the less effective it becomes.
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #2,080
  • Oct 17, 2025 4:08am Oct 17, 2025 4:08am
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} {image}
Interesting.....
I did a visual back testing and seems like more suitable for pullback continuation trade than reversal trade.
Success = Practice + Patience + Persistence
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