Just Trades

TBH it doesn t fit my rules too, but each situation demands a different response, if catched there are 1400 pips at least, no hurry gaps can be filled even after weeks

did a dive into the jpy from ai

Here’s my clean, JPY‑only call, built from today’s price behavior and confirmed headlines.

1. Core driver (why JPY gapped/weakened)

1. Japan’s ruling party chose Sanae Takaichi as leader (likely PM), and markets immediately priced policy continuity: growth‑first, flexible fiscal, and no hurry to push the BoJ into faster normalization. In thin weekend liquidity, that repricing amplified into gaps as carry trades re‑engaged.

1. Base case path (what likely happens next)

1. Next 24–48 hours: JPY weaker 65%, sideways 25%, stronger 10%.

1. Expect a partial gap‑fill attempt on lower timeframes, then renewed JPY selling unless officials push back.

1. Next 3–5 days: JPY weaker 55–60%, sideways 25%, stronger 15–20%.

1. After brief consolidation, another leg of JPY weakness is favored if cabinet statements reinforce continuity and global risk stays steady.

1. 1–2 weeks: JPY weaker 55%, sideways 25%, stronger 20%.

1. Weak bias persists unless the new leadership signals greater FX‑volatility sensitivity or the BoJ hints at earlier policy normalization.

1. Why the weak bias holds (logic chain)

1. Leadership read‑through → continuity → low odds of near‑term hawkish BoJ pivot.

1. Carry demand resumes after gaps; funding currency gets sold on rallies.

1. No immediate sign of official FX pushback = market tests how far it can press.

1. What would flip this (clear invalidation cues)

1. Strong FX rhetoric from the Finance Ministry (language like “decisive measures,” “excessive volatility”), “rate‑check” leaks, or outright intervention.

1. A material risk‑off shock (equities drop hard) that lifts safe‑haven JPY.

1. BoJ/MOF comments or cabinet picks that imply earlier normalization or tighter FX vigilance.

1. How it likely trades (tactical shape)

1. Intraday: partial gap‑fills that stall under prior supply bands, then continuation legs.

1. Daily: failed attempts to reclaim recent breakdown zones keep the path of least resistance to further JPY weakness.

1. If an official headline hits: expect a sharp JPY rebound that can retrace a large chunk of the weekend move quickly; if it fades within a day, the weak trend resumes.

1. What to watch in real time

1. Official channels (BoJ/MOF/Kantei) for FX‑volatility language or cabinet signals.

1. Cross‑asset tone: firm global risk and steady US/global yields reinforce JPY‑weak.

1. Two consecutive sessions of broad JPY strength (not just one cross) = early reversal tell.

Bottom line

1. My best prediction: JPY remains weak in the near term (today/tomorrow) with only partial gap‑fills, and stays biased weaker over the week unless Japan’s authorities push back or global risk turns. Probability set: weaker 65% (24–48h), 55–60% (3–5d).

Crazy idea to short XAGUSD, rsi Daily approaching historic lvl @ 89.71

Goodmorning fRieNdz


I read through all the posts, except your long post blitz and the song you have shared Lux !

this will be the first two things I will do in sometime once I'm at my desk ! Until then I hope you all BREAK A LEG !

Rooting for this crazy idea of your’s to come true !

EJ triggered CHF seems the next

around 49 can be the top let s see i ll send just an explorer

DD Would be twice or more with a single trade, from here on the only work is to put on precision that would never END !

https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...0#post15418080

You are suspended.... go advertise your bullshit somewhere else

E U R E K A O25

Now we got numbers to work on !

in the disco vibe, heres 1 from my homeland

love it

We were attacked YESTERDAY ! LOL

not just here by a pissed off "EXPERT" but also on my server. I believe it was compromised. though me and the tech geek went to the end of it to conclude it might just be my assumption It's not acting weird anymore now ! ! A part of my server's screen can vouch how much I want it more than you It was around july when I changed this

Okey, yeah AI wraps up the context well. It definitely can help with some assumption but not in execution as per me. The one who are teaching building AI to trade profitably are another form of experts ! We all wish it to exist until it actually does. YOU'LL NEVER KNOW. but one must follow his heart mind and soul before one makes any call .

Something I am working on lately, I have named it "Eagle Eye"

the name just appeared on my mind based on its abstract but now I'll take it for a ride to know what it feels like in a real environment!

BY THE TIME GA reaches there. I'll have most of my answers !

Only decent human beings have EUREKA Moment every other month just to contradict it the next. you start having an idea, every eureka moment is to figure out the zones and levels and enter more precisely. I need to make my final CALL & choices by next Friday. even it concludes next Friday, I'll still be pushing it a week or two max for a proper conclusion. and tangible stats.

It's funny you can't extract a penny from my clients/partners unless they see something valuable in it for them, They can make you real money! I can't trade my personal money beyond a margin anymore I am and have to create wealth and it takes some time.


Little, Little. One day at a time !

Gbpusd.
Buy from the sellside liquidity.
Rr- 5.2